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ORST

Oregon State 23 at Washington State 52

WSU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:09 · Nick Porebski punt for 39 yds, downed at the OrgSt 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+39.0Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:54: Ryan Nall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +6.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 1:52: Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:36: Ryan Nall run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +5.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:19: Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 57 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ORST made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:54ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:09ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:30ORST 4th & 11 at WSU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00ORST 4th & 11 at WSU 35, down 5
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:09WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:37ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 18, down 5
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:52WSU 4th & 2 at ORST 2, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:58ORST 4th & 12 at ORST 40, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:04WSU 4th & 8 at ORST 8, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:08ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 35, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:25ORST 4th & 1 at WSU 34, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:08WSU 4th & 8 at ORST 38, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:35WSU 4th & 5 at ORST 5, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44ORST 4th & 11 at ORST 24, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:09WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:46WSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:54ORST Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:52WSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:04WSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:36ORST Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:19WSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:56WSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:25ORST Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:569% → 9%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
91.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Seth Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
91.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-2
90.9%
Darell Garretson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
90.8%
Nick Porebski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3991% → 90%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
90.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 14 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
90.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-4
90.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Shemar Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
90.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
90.2%
Erik Powell punt for 51 yds, downed at the OrgSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5110% → 10%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
90.3%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
90.1%
Jake Luton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 7
0
90.1%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 8
OWN 7
0
90.2%
Nick Porebski punt for 39 yds, downed at the OrgSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:5190% → 91%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
90.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 11 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
90.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
90.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
89.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
89.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-5
89.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
90.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 21 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:2510% → 10%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
90.2%
OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+19
90.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 19 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+8
89.9%
Ryan Nall run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
50
+15
89.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 15 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-12
89.4%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the WshSt 32 OREGON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 22
OPP 47
+11
89.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 11 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
89.5%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
89.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 35 yds, downed at the WshSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
88.8%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:0711% → 12%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
89.1%
Ryan Nall run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
88.8%
Ryan Nall run for 11 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
88.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 10 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
87.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
87.8%
Jake Luton run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-1
87.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Seth Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 6
OPP 30
-5
88.0%
OREGON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 35
0
88.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4688% → 86%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
87.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+13
87.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 13 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
87.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+5
87.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Erik Powell punt for 55 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for no gain to the OrgSt 25 OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2712% → 12%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
87.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
87.8%
Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+4
88.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Ryan Nall for 4 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
88.0%
Nick Porebski punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:3987% → 92%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
87.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 8 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
87.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
50
+27
88.0%
James Williams run for 27 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
88.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
91.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:469% → 16%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Trevorris Johnson run for no gain to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
90.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Seth Collins for 12 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.0%
Trevorris Johnson run for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
90.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
89.7%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
89.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 13 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
89.3%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
89.0%
Ryan Nall run for 8 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+6
90.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Seth Collins for 6 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.0%
Ryan Nall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5787% → 91%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Shemar Smith) to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
87.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 21 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
87.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+26
87.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 26 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
87.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
87.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
87.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
86.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13FUMBLE
9 plays · -5 yds · 0:439% → 9%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
91.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Ryan Nall for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
91.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 7 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
90.2%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
90.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-7
90.6%
Jake Luton sacked by Mason Vinyard for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 12
OWN 40
-14
91.1%
Nick Porebski run for a loss of 14 yards to the OrgSt 26 Nick Porebski fumbled, recovered by WshSt Gerard WicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:4692% → 97%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
92.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 21 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
91.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds to the OrgSt 3Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
90.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
89.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jay Irvine) to the OrgSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 3:4696% → 96%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
95.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Jamire Calvin) to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+27
95.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
96.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 8 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+9
96.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+17
96.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 17 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
96.4%
James Williams run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
96.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
96.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 1 yd to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q3 11:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+9
96.3%
Erik Powell 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray Jonathan Willis return for 9 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:195% → 11%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
94.8%
Jake Luton run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+13
95.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 13 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
94.6%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
94.6%
Jake Luton pass complete to Seth Collins for 17 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
94.6%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Artavis PierceSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
89.3%
Ryan Nall run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:0692% → 97%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
91.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+13
91.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 13 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
92.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+8
92.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 8 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
91.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 4 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
92.2%
Luke Falk sacked by Baker Pritchard and Austin Hudson for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 17
OWN 48
-5
91.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Kalani Vakameilalo for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 22
OWN 43
+57
96.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 57 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:575% → 5%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
95.2%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+2
95.3%
Jake Luton run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+6
95.4%
Jake Luton run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Ryan Nall run for no gain to the OrgSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:0497% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
97.2%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+26
97.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 26 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 10 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-4
99.6%
Jake Luton pass complete to Seth Collins for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+18
99.6%
Jake Luton run for 18 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+40
99.8%
Jake Luton sacked by Marcellus Pippins for a loss of 6 yards Jake Luton fumbled, forced by Marcellus Pippins, recovered by WshSt Frankie Luvu , return for 0 yards , return for 40 yds, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22TD
15 plays · 87 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.9%
Artavis Pierce run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 6 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Artavis Pierce run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Ryan Nall for 6 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 12 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah TogiaiSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.9%
Jake Luton run for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+6
99.8%
Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
99.9%
Darell Garretson run for 18 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Seth Collins for 10 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23FG
19 plays · 71 yds · 7:35100% → 100%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.7%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+8
99.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 8 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
99.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+7
99.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 7 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Davontavean MartinSimilar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+18
99.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 18 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds to the OrgSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 2:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q4 2:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+21
99.9%
Erik Powell 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
100.0%
OREGON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+2
100.0%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+10
100.0%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 10 yds to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Darell Garretson sacked by Garrett McBroom for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-2
100.0%
Nick Porebski punt for 44 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 8 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:04
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 4:54
Ryan Nall run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q3 8:36
Ryan Nall run for 45 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)
-5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com