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SJSU

San José State 16 at Utah 54

UTAH
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—UTAH 99.9%Matt Gay 20 yd FG GOODAWAY 16 - HOME 47 · Q4 3:48
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:48 · Matt Gay 20 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Pregame prior+4.9Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+29.0Garbage-time factor+12.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.8Blowout margin+12.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:44: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:34: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:08: Bryce Crawford 51 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:46: Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 47 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:36: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:35UTAH 4th & 3 at SJSU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:05UTAH 4th & 11 at SJSU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:05SJSU 4th & 7 at UTAH 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:07SJSU 4th & 2 at UTAH 7, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.2%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:07UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:36UTAH 4th & 9 at SJSU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:44SJSU 4th & 20 at SJSU 15, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:34SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:08SJSU 4th & 6 at UTAH 34, down 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00SJSU 4th & 10 at UTAH 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:18UTAH 4th & 8 at SJSU 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:25SJSU 4th & 21 at UTAH 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:20SJSU 4th & 10 at UTAH 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:21SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:08UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:22UTAH 4th & 1 at SJSU 10, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:48UTAH 4th & 2 at SJSU 2, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:44UTAH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:34UTAH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:32UTAH Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:46SJSU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:36UTAH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:21UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:58UTAH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:2597% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
96.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 27 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
96.6%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
96.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+12
96.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 12 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
96.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 20 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
96.6%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
96.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
96.0%
Matt Gay 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Malike Roberson run for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
96.0%
Montel Aaron sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 16Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+16
96.1%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 57 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 16 yds to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1396% → 96%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
95.8%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Moss, Zack for loss of 2 yards to the UTAH41 (GINDA, Frank), PENALTY SJ offside (AIMONETTI, Nico) 5 yards to the UTAH48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+15
95.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 15 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
95.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
95.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 7 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
95.9%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 1
OPP 28
-10
95.8%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 22 yards to the SJ6 (BIERRIA, Trevon), PENALTY UTAH holding (Agasiva, Jordan) 10 yards to the SJ38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 11
OPP 38
+56
95.6%
Matt Gay 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.6%
Montel Aaron run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 20Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+30
95.6%
Montel Aaron pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
50
+6
95.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-3
95.4%
Zamore Zigler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
95.5%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 46 yds, downed at the Utah 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
95.3%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
95.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Utah 15 Tyler Huntley fumbled, forced by Nico Aimonetti, recovered by SJSt Ethan AguayoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:035% → 5%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
95.0%
DeJon Packer run for 8 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
95.0%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 2
OPP 7
0
95.0%
Montel Aaron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
94.7%
Bryce Crawford 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.7%
Samson Nacua run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-7
94.7%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Ethan Aguayo for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-4
94.6%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
94.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
94.3%
Montel Aaron pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 5 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
94.1%
Montel Aaron run for 10 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
94.1%
Montel Aaron sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 33 Montel Aaron fumbled, recovered by Utah Bradlee Anae , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5594% → 94%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
94.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
94.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 1 yd to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
94.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+50
94.4%
Matt Gay 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10INT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
93.9%
ZIGLER, Zamore rush for loss of 2 yards to the UTAH41 (Anae, Bradlee), PENALTY SJ holding (KOWALSKI, Troy) 10 yards to the UTAH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 20
OPP 49
-12
94.1%
Montel Aaron run for a loss of 12 yards to the SJSt 42 Montel Aaron fumbled, recovered by SJSt Zamore ZiglerSimilar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 29
OWN 42
+10
94.3%
Montel Aaron run for 10 yds to the Utah 48 Montel Aaron fumbled, recovered by SJStSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 19
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Sam Allen pass intercepted Sunia Tauteoli return for no gain to the SJSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:4195% → 96%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
94.5%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+12
94.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 12 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
94.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
94.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
94.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Jermaine Kelly) to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
94.5%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for 1 yd to the SJSt 7Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
95.3%
Sam Allen sacked by Kavika Luafatasaga for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSt 12Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+3
95.3%
Sam Allen run for 3 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
95.3%
Sam Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+36
95.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 55 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 36 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
95.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+3
95.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
95.9%
Kyle Fulks run for 5 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+8
95.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
95.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 7 yds Samson Nacua fumbled, recovered by SJStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.9%
Sam Allen run for 2 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
95.0%
Sam Allen pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 11 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
94.9%
Malike Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
94.9%
Sam Allen pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 4 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
94.8%
Sam Allen pass intercepted Julian Blackmon return for no gain to the SJSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:0196% → 98%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
95.7%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+10
95.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 10 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
95.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-5
95.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+26
97.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.4%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
97.4%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+43
97.5%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 62 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 43 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:3698% → 99%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
97.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 26 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
97.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 8 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+9
97.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:241% → 3%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
99.5%
DeJon Packer run for 12 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+15
99.5%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to OSSAI, William, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Guidry, Javelin) 15 yards to the UTAH38, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-1
99.4%
Malike Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
97.2%
Bryce Crawford 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.2%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Trevon Bierria return for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:143% → 5%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.1%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
94.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 47 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.0%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.6%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
95.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 8 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.5%
Josh Love run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+24
95.4%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 24 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
95.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Marquise BlairSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
95.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by Boobie HobbsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
95.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
95.6%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+8
95.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
95.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
95.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 9 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
95.8%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
95.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 7 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
95.6%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
95.3%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
95.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
95.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Malike Roberson for 15 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
95.7%
Sam Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 29 Sam Allen fumbled, recovered by SJSt Sam Allen , return for 5 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+33
95.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 33 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
95.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 1 yd to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
95.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-7
95.6%
Josh Love sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 44 Josh Love fumbled, recovered by SJSt Jeremiah Kolone , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 16
OPP 44
-5
96.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 21
OPP 49
0
96.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:2097% → 99%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
96.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 17 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
96.9%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+10
96.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 10 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+15
96.9%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to Carrington, D. (KELLY, Jermaine), PENALTY SJ pass interference (KELLY, Jermaine) 15 yards to the SJ42, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
97.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Kyle Fulks for 14 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
97.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
97.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 5 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+3
96.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
97.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 3 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
99.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 3:161% → 1%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
98.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
98.7%
Malike Roberson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+8
98.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 8 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Corrion BallardSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.7%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+13
98.7%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 13 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
98.5%
Zamore Zigler run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+10
98.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 10 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by Javelin GuidrySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
98.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
99.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan BlackwellSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
98.9%
Bryce Crawford 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:5999% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 7 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-10
99.1%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 2 yards to the SJ36 (GINDA, Frank), PENALTY UTAH holding (Agasiva, Jordan) 10 yards to the SJ48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+11
99.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 11 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
99.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+18
99.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
99.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Francoise Sims II for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by Leki FotuSimilar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 41 yds, downed at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Samson NacuaSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 30FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 2 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Zamore Zigler run for 12 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-13
99.9%
Josh Love sacked by Caleb Repp for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSt 19 Josh Love fumbled, recovered by Utah John Penisini , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 31FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the SJSt 2Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
99.9%
Matt Gay 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 32FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 38 Tyler Nevens fumbled, forced by Leki Fotu, recovered by Utah Nick HeningerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 33TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
100.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 12 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+16
100.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 16 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 34END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for no gain to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
100.0%
Zamore Zigler run for 4 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:08
Bryce Crawford 51 yd FG GOOD
-2.2
TD · Q2 0:46
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 47 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q3 2:36
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com