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UNCO

Northern Colorado 21 at Colorado 41

COLO
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUNCO aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUNCO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:53 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:21: Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 28 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:23: Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 29 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:23: Jacob Knipp pass complete to Alex Wesley for 52 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK) — UNCO win probability +2.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:28: Jacob Knipp pass complete to Michael McCauley for 27 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK) — UNCO win probability +4.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:35: Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 14 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK) — COLO win probability +4.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UNCO made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01UNCO 4th & 9 at UNCO 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:16COLO 4th & 10 at UNCO 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45UNCO 4th & 10 at UNCO 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:32COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40UNCO 4th & 10 at UNCO 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:40UNCO 4th & 8 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:21UNCO 4th & 8 at UNCO 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:26UNCO 4th & 10 at UNCO 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:30COLO 4th & 11 at UNCO 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:13UNCO 4th & 1 at UNCO 44, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 21 at COLO 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:47UNCO 4th & 12 at UNCO 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:35UNCO 4th & 9 at UNCO 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:15COLO 4th & 4 at UNCO 17, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:15UNCO 4th & 5 at UNCO 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNCO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:08UNCO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:19COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:01COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:21COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:23COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:23UNCO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:28UNCO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:35COLO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.8%
Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoCol 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 2TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:311% → 2%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.7%
Trae Riek run for 6 yds to the NoCol 36Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
98.7%
Trae Riek run for 1 yd to the NoCol 37Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+5
98.7%
RIEK,Trae rush for 4 yards to the NC41 (Worthington, Ev), PENALTY COLO offside defense (McCartney, Dere) 5 yards to the NC42, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.7%
Jacob Knipp run for 5 yds to the NoCol 47Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
98.7%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 9 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
98.7%
Jacob Knipp run for 11 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.3%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Alex Wesley for 33 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4998% → 98%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
98.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 37 yds to the NoCol 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the NoCol 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 18 yds to the NoCol 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the NoCol 7Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the NoCol 4Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 4 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · -20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Trae Riek run for 3 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
98.2%
Trae Riek run for 3 yds to the NoCol 31Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-26
98.3%
Team run for a loss of 26 yards to the NoCol 5 Team fumbled, recovered by Colo Jacob CallierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
COLORADO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NoCol 30Similar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
98.3%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Nic Vinson for 7 yds to the NoCol 37Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-4
98.3%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for a loss of 4 yards to the NoCol 33Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 7
OPP 0
0
98.2%
KNIPP,Jacob pass complete to WESLEY,Alex for 10 yards to the NC43, PENALTY COLO offside defense off-setting, PENALTY NC holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-5
98.3%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the NoCol 28Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+3
98.3%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Theron Verna for 3 yds to the NoCol 31Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Keifer Glau punt for 42 yds, downed at the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
98.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 4 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
98.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+4
98.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 4 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
98.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Stone KaneSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyre, broken up by Michael WalkerSimilar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for no gain to the NoCol 46Similar
Q1 5:16
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
98.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ellis Onic II at the NoCol 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:242% → 2%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
97.6%
Anthony Davis run for 3 yds to the NoCol 19Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
97.6%
Jacob Knipp run for 2 yds to the NoCol 21Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
97.6%
KNIPP,Jacob pass incomplete to WESLEY,Alex (Oliver, Isaiah), PENALTY COLO pass interference (Oliver, Isaiah) 5 yards to the NC26, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
97.6%
Trae Riek run for 2 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+19
97.6%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 19 yds to the NoCol 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.3%
Jacob Knipp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Theron VernaSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Keifer Glau punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
97.5%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Fields, Shay, PENALTY COLO holding (Lynott, Tim) 10 yards to the COLO16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+7
97.5%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+9
97.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 9 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+2
97.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 2 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 14:32
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 45 yds , Ellis Onic II returns for no gain to the NoCol 34 NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Offensive holding (Michael Walker) to the NoCol 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
97.3%
Trae Riek run for no gain to the NoCol 11Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
97.3%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Alex WesleySimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
97.4%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Trae Riek, broken up by Timothy ColemanSimilar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
97.4%
Keifer Glau punt for 37 yds , Team returns for no gain to the NoCol 48 Team fumbled, recovered by NoCol James RiddleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.0%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.0%
Trae Riek run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 8
50
0
97.0%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 8
50
0
97.1%
Keifer Glau punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jay MacIntyre at the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1897% → 98%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 4 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
97.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
96.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
97.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 32 yds to the NoCol 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
97.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
97.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyre, broken up by Luke NelsonSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+28
97.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 28 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.6%
Hakeem Deggs run for 9 yds to the NoCol 34Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.4%
Jacob Knipp run for 2 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
97.5%
Trae Riek run for 2 yds to the NoCol 38Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Alex WesleySimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Hakeem Deggs, broken up by Evan WorthingtonSimilar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Keifer Glau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jay MacIntyre at the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0998% → 99%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
97.6%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Lindsay, Philli, QB hurry by PHILLIP,Kadim, PENALTY NC roughing passer (PHILLIP,Kadim) 15 yards to the COLO42, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+11
97.6%
Steven Montez run for 11 yds to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the NoCol 38Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
97.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the NoCol 36Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
97.6%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the NoCol 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 29 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 15TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:551% → 3%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
98.7%
Trae Riek run for 3 yds to the NoCol 13Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
98.7%
Frank Stephens run for no gain to the NoCol 13 Frank Stephens fumbled, forced by Terran Hasselbach, recovered by NoCol Theron VernaSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+15
98.7%
KNIPP,Jacob pass incomplete to DEGGS,Hakeem, PENALTY COLO unsportsmanlike conduct (Laguda, Afolabi) 15 yards to the NC28, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
98.7%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Alex Wesley for 8 yds to the NoCol 36Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+3
98.6%
Trae Riek run for 3 yds to the NoCol 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
98.6%
Trae Riek run for 9 yds to the NoCol 48Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+52
96.6%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Alex Wesley for 52 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.4%
Montez, Steven sacked for loss of 9 yards to the COLO29 (NELSON,Luke), PENALTY NC substitution infraction 5 yards to the COLO43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+30
97.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 30 yds to the NoCol 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.5%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
97.4%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+44
97.3%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Stone Kane return for 44 yds to the NoCol 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 17INT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:063% → 3%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
96.7%
Jacob Knipp sacked by Derek McCartney for a loss of 6 yards to the NoCol 42Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 16
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Alex WesleySimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 16
OWN 42
0
97.3%
Jacob Knipp pass intercepted Isaiah Oliver return for no gain to the Colo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:323% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Alex Wesley for 8 yds to the NoCol 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.5%
Trae Riek run for 3 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Jacob Knipp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.7%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 5 yds to the NoCol 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
96.7%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Jerone Jackson for 4 yds to the NoCol 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+5
96.7%
KNIPP,Jacob pass incomplete to WESLEY,Alex, PENALTY COLO offside defense 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
96.4%
Trae Riek run for 8 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+15
96.4%
KNIPP,Jacob pass incomplete to STEPHENS,FRANK (Udoffia, Trey), PENALTY COLO roughing passer (Franke, Jase) 15 yards to the COLO27, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
92.3%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Michael McCauley for 27 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:0094% → 95%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
94.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 16 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 41Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
94.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 12 yds to the NoCol 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
94.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the NoCol 39Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+5
94.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 5 yds to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
94.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 15 yds to the NoCol 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
94.7%
Michael Adkins II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 20 Michael Adkins II fumbled, forced by Sherand Boyd Jr., recovered by NoCol Willie FairmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.1%
Anthony Davis run for 4 yds to the NoCol 24Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
93.0%
Jacob Knipp run for no gain to the NoCol 24Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
93.4%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 9 yds to the NoCol 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
92.9%
Anthony Davis run for 2 yds to the NoCol 35Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-2
92.9%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Ellis Onic II for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 33Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
93.4%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Trae RiekSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
93.6%
Keifer Glau punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:1394% → 94%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
94.1%
Steven Montez run for 17 yds to the NoCol 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
94.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 9 yds to the NoCol 34Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
94.5%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the NoCol 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
94.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the NoCol 25Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+10
94.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 10 yds to the NoCol 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
94.5%
Lindsay, Philli rush for 2 yards to the NC13 (STELZNER,Henry), PENALTY COLO holding (Haigler, Aaron) 10 yards to the NC25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 20
OPP 25
-3
94.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for a loss of 3 yards to the NoCol 28Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 23
OPP 28
0
94.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 23
OPP 28
+12
93.7%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the NoCol 16Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
93.8%
James Stefanou 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:176% → 7%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.7%
Trae Riek run for 5 yds to the NoCol 30Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
93.4%
Trae Riek run for 5 yds to the NoCol 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.4%
Trae Riek run for 1 yd to the NoCol 36Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
93.4%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Hakeem Deggs for 7 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
93.1%
Anthony Davis run for 1 yd to the NoCol 44Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
92.9%
Keifer Glau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:0893% → 92%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
93.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 9 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-9
93.4%
Lindsay, Philli rush for 1 yard to the COLO29 (NELSON,Luke;STELZNER,Henry), PENALTY COLO holding (Kough, Gerrad) 9 yards to the COLO19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
93.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+24
92.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 24 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST down NORTHERN COLO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
93.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
93.9%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-8
93.4%
Steven Montez sacked by Keifer Morris for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 37 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 37
-5
92.6%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (Drew Lewis) to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 32
0
92.3%
Alex Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ellis Onic II at the NoCol 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 1:067% → 6%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.1%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Frank Stephens for 8 yds to the NoCol 33Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
92.0%
Trae Riek run for 3 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
92.3%
KNIPP,Jacob pass incomplete to STEPHENS,FRANK, QB hurry by Mulumba, Chris, PENALTY COLO roughing passer (Mulumba, Chris) 15 yards to the COLO49, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.3%
Conor Regan pass incomplete to Hakeem DeggsSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
92.7%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, false start (Theron Verna) to the NoCol 46Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+12
93.9%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Frank Stephens for 12 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-4
92.6%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Trae Riek for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 7
OPP 46
-5
93.5%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoCol 49Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
94.2%
Keifer Glau punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:5593% → 99%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
93.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+11
93.4%
Steven Montez run for 11 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
93.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kyle Evans for 6 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+12
93.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 12 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
94.1%
COLORADO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+9
93.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Laviska Shenault Jr. for 9 yds to the NoCol 49Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+18
94.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 18 yds to the NoCol 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Michael WalkerSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+17
94.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 17 yds to the NoCol 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
94.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the NoCol 14Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 14 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Alex Wesley for 1 yd to the NoCol 26Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.8%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Frank Stephens, broken up by Nick FisherSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.9%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Anthony DavisSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.9%
Keifer Glau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:2398% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 13 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the NoCol 47Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-5
98.4%
Montez, Steven pass complete to Bobo, Bryce for 11 yards to the NC36, out-of-bounds (CAMERON,Marshau), PENALTY COLO ineligible downfield on pass (Irwin, Jeromy) 5 yards to the COLO48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+11
98.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the NoCol 41Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+7
98.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 7 yds to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
98.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the NoCol 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
98.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 24Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+7
98.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the NoCol 17Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
99.4%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
99.8%
James Stefanou 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Conor Regan pass complete to Noah Sol for no gain to the NoCol 25Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Zachary Lindsay run for 5 yds to the NoCol 30Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Conor Regan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Keifer Glau punt for 36 yds , Ronnie Blackmon returns for no gain to the NoCol 26 Ronnie Blackmon fumbled, recovered by Colo Ronnie Blackmon , return for 40 yds to the NoCol 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
99.8%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoCol 31Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 15
OPP 31
-1
99.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:35
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 14 yds for a TD, (James Stefanou KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 12:28
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Michael McCauley for 27 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK)
-4
TD · Q2 1:23
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Alex Wesley for 52 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com