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UCLA

UCLA 45 at Memphis 48

MEM
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:42 · Riley Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior−8.1Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.2Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:42: Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 33 yds for a TD, (Spencer Smith KICK) — MEM win probability +18.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:58: Josh Rosen pass intercepted for a TD Tim Hart return for 60 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +21.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:29: Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 21 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +17.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 11:51: Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 22 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +31.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:56: Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 3 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +29.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:58UCLA 4th & 6 at MEM 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:59UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:42MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:35MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:44UCLA 4th & 6 at MEM 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:15MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:40UCLA 4th & 11 at MEM 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:08MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:41UCLA 4th & 10 at MEM 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:41MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−2.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:54UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−3.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:08MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:03MEM 4th & 2 at UCLA 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−6.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−6.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:01MEM 4th & 5 at UCLA 16, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−19.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:56UCLA 4th & 5 at MEM 46, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%
    23% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−6.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:32MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:19UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:42UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:44MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:48MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:22UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:42MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:03MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:16UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:58MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 5:29UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 11:51UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 9:56MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:2960% → 59%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
40.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 7 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+7
40.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 7 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
40.6%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+4
40.8%
Rosen, Josh pass incomplete to Lasley, Jordan, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference 4 yards to the UCLA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
40.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
40.9%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+6
41.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for 6 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
41.2%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 38 yds, downed at the Memph 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
3 plays · 91 yds · 0:1141% → 43%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+80
41.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 80 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
42.0%
Ferguson, Riley pass incomplete, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Meadors, Nate) 9 yards to the UCLA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q1 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 2 yds for a TD, (Spencer Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1757% → 56%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
42.8%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
43.4%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
43.3%
Darren Andrews run for 8 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-3
43.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
44.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+9
44.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 49 yds , John Williams returns for 9 yds to the Memph 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2845% → 45%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
44.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 2 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
45.0%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
44.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 8
OWN 20
+30
44.6%
Spencer Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Darren Andrews at the MEMPHIS 35, MEMPHIS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:4256% → 58%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
50
+36
44.5%
Brandon Stephens run for 36 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
44.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-7
44.3%
Brandon Stephens run for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 17
OPP 21
+19
45.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 19 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
44.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 7Similar
Q1 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
41.6%
Jalen Starks run for 7 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:2343% → 44%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
43.1%
Tony Pollard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
43.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
42.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 10 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
43.0%
Riley Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
43.7%
Riley Ferguson pass intercepted Adarius Pickett return for 1 yd to the Memph 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
42.3%
Brandon Stephens run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 41 Brandon Stephens fumbled, forced by Emmanuel Cooper, recovered by Memph Emmanuel CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:2844% → 43%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
44.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
43.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
43.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
43.0%
Nick Jacobs punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darren Andrews at the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 3:3657% → 58%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
43.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Demetric Felton for 1 yd to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
43.4%
Josh Rosen run for 6 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
43.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 6 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
42.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
42.6%
Josh Rosen run for 6 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
42.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
42.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 8 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
42.1%
Jalen Starks run for 3 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
42.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 17 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
41.5%
Rosen, Josh pass sacked for loss of 9 yards to the MEMPHIS29 (Johnson, Christian), PENALTY UCLA intentional grounding (Rosen, Josh) off-setting, PENALTY MEMPHIS 12 Men on the Field off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
41.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
41.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
42.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
42.0%
JJ Molson 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1042% → 41%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
42.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-4
42.6%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 24Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
41.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
41.3%
Spencer Smith punt for 31 yds, downed at the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:2259% → 64%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+50
41.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jalen Starks for 50 yds to the Memph 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
35.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Wilson for 5 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3135% → 45%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 9 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-10
36.0%
Henderson, Darrell rush for no gain to the MEMPHIS34, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Woodard, Dustin) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
35.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+25
34.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 25 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
36.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
44.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 47 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:4058% → 58%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+22
42.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Christian Pabico for 22 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
40.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 14 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Giovanni GentosiSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-1
40.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 49Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
40.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
42.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 43 yds, downed at the Memph 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2042% → 40%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
41.9%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Rick Wade) to the Memph 11Similar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 5
OWN 11
-3
41.4%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 8Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
40.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+3
40.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 5
OWN 11
0
39.8%
Nick Jacobs punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2061% → 59%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
38.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
38.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-3
39.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Demetric Felton for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
40.8%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 37 yds, downed at the Memph 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 1:4441% → 54%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
41.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 8 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+22
41.7%
Anthony Miller run for 7 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Nate Meadors) to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
41.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+19
44.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 19 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
44.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
54.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 42 yds for a TD, (Spencer Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:0948% → 65%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
51.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
52.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 9 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+11
51.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 11 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
50.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 17 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
48.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 17 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
46.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Bolu Olorunfunmi for 7 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
46.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+16
47.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 16 yds to the Memph 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
46.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 3 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.1%
Josh Rosen run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 0:2840% → 58%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
39.7%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Jacob Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+41
39.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 41 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
57.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 33 yds for a TD, (Spencer Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Bolu Olorunfunmi for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:5753% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
53.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 20Similar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
54.5%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 18Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+20
54.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Matt Dickerson) to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
56.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
57.0%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Darrell HendersonSimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
55.1%
Ferguson, Riley pass incomplete to Mayhue, Phil, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Meadors, Nate) 9 yards to the MEMPHIS49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
58.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-5
58.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 48Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-5
57.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 43Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+9
56.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 9 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+19
57.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 19 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
59.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+10
60.0%
John Williams run for 10 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
72.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 12 yds for a TD, (Spencer Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:2631% → 45%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
68.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+65
54.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 65 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:3556% → 55%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
56.2%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Memph 20Similar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
55.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Darrell HendersonSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
56.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 6 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
55.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
54.7%
Spencer Smith punt for 45 yds , Darren Andrews returns for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23INT TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2045% → 27%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
55.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
54.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+14
56.6%
Josh Rosen run for 14 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
52.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 14 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
51.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-10
51.9%
Josh Rosen sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 19
50
+60
73.0%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted for a TD Tim Hart return for 60 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:0829% → 48%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
71.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Brandon Stephens for 10 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
70.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 17 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
69.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
69.8%
Brandon Stephens run for 4 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
52.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 21 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:2159% → 64%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.2%
Anthony Miller run for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
59.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 10 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
60.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-14
60.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 39 MEMPHIS Penalty, Tripping (-15 Yards) to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 24
OWN 24
+35
58.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 35 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
63.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 43 Patrick Taylor Jr. fumbled, forced by Keisean Lucier-South, recovered by UCLA Jacob Tuioti-MarinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5845% → 39%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
54.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jalen StarksSimilar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-2
56.0%
Jalen Starks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
60.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
61.5%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 37 yds , John Williams returns for no gain to the Memph 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:2760% → 64%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
59.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+9
60.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 9 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
60.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
63.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 39Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+7
61.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 7 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
64.5%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Chigozie Nnoruka for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
61.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+7
64.2%
Sean Dykes run for 7 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
64.2%
Nick Jacobs punt for 52 yds, downed at the UCLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 1:5236% → 73%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+22
63.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 22 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
62.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 5 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+13
62.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 13 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
60.3%
Jalen Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+33
58.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 33 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
27.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 22 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:2737% → 74%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
36.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 20 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
38.6%
Ferguson, Riley pass incomplete to Dykes, Sean, PENALTY UCLA targeting (Odighizuwa, Osa) 15 yards to the UCLA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS. Odighizuwa ejected.Similar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+40
44.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 34 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
44.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 3 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 3 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30INT
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:4338% → 41%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
61.9%
Jalen Starks run for 6 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
59.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
59.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
58.1%
Jalen Starks run for 2 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+7
58.7%
Josh Rosen run for 7 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
58.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+17
58.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 17 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
55.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
55.6%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+42
59.5%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Terrell Carter return for 42 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 31INT
14 plays · 32 yds · 3:3875% → 85%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
75.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
75.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+3
74.8%
Riley Ferguson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+5
72.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 5 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
78.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+8
82.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 8 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
83.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
83.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
86.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the UCLA 16Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 5
OPP 16
0
84.8%
Riley Patterson pass intercepted, touchback. Octavius Spencer return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 32DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:5115% → 15%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
85.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 9 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+8
84.6%
Josh Rosen run for 8 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
85.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
80.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 6 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
80.4%
Rosen, Josh pass incomplete to Howard, Theo, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Howard, Theo) 15 yards to the UCLA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 25
OWN 34
0
84.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jalen StarksSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 25
OWN 34
0
85.1%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 25
OWN 34
+20
87.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jalen Starks for 20 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
84.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:3693% → 94%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
92.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+5
91.0%
UCLA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 20
OWN 36
-1
93.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 35Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 21
OWN 35
-2
93.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:51
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 22 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-31.6
TD · Q4 9:56
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 3 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+29
TD · Q3 6:58
Josh Rosen pass intercepted for a TD Tim Hart return for 60 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+21.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com