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WEB

Weber State 20 at California 33

CAL
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+7.9CAL 72.1%Matt Anderson 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 20 · Q4 13:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:26 · Matt Anderson 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+14.4Home team on offense+2.9Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:23: Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 55 yds for a TD, (Trey Tuttle KICK) — WEB win probability +7.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: WEB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Trey Tuttle 45 yd FG GOOD — WEB win probability +3.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: WEB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:26: Matt Anderson 40 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +7.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:37: Patrick Laird run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +16.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:48: Patrick Laird run for 73 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson PAT BLOCKED) — CAL win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 12:31CAL 4th & 15 at WEB 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:56WEB 4th & 8 at CAL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:05CAL 4th & 2 at CAL 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:06CAL 4th & 14 at WEB 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:01WEB 4th & 10 at CAL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:42CAL 4th & 5 at WEB 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:53WEB 4th & 4 at CAL 14, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%−0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:53CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:23WEB 4th & 10 at CAL 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00CAL 4th & 1 at WEB 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−3.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−13.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:26CAL 4th & 8 at WEB 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−11.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:24WEB 4th & 10 at CAL 36, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:24WEB 4th & 10 at CAL 13, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%−2.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−8.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:36WEB 4th & 5 at CAL 5, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:31CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:10WEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:51CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:23WEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:37CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:48CAL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:2995% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
94.8%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Cal 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-1
94.8%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+12
94.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
94.8%
Demetris Robertson run for 6 yds to the WebSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+10
94.8%
Tre Watson run for 10 yds to the WebSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
94.5%
Demetris Robertson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.5%
Tyjuan Prince run for 7 yds to the WebSt 32 Tyjuan Prince fumbled, forced by Cameron Goode, recovered by Cal James LooneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
94.5%
Patrick Laird run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 33Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
94.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 11
OPP 33
-4
94.5%
Ross Bowers sacked by McKay Murphy for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 37Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
94.4%
Ross Bowers punt for 25 yds, downed at the WebSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 4FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:006% → 7%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
94.2%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 6 yds to the WebSt 18Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+1
94.1%
Stefan Cantwell run for 1 yd to the WebSt 19Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+7
94.2%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Tyjuan Prince for 7 yds to the WebSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+52
94.1%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Darryl Denby for 52 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
93.9%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 4 yds to the Cal 18Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-2
93.9%
Stefan Cantwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 20Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
94.0%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Darryl Denby WEBER ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
93.3%
Trey Tuttle 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
93.2%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
93.2%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-1
93.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 26Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
93.1%
Dylan Klumph punt for 51 yds , Xequille Harry returns for no gain to the WebSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 6TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:027% → 9%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
93.0%
Darryl Denby run for 9 yds to the WebSt 32Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+12
92.9%
Kevin Smith run for 12 yds to the WebSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+47
92.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 47 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.6%
Stefan Cantwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
90.9%
Stefan Cantwell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Trey Tuttle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
91.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tre Watson for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 28Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+9
91.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 9 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton IIISimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
91.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xequille Harry at the WebSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:509% → 10%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
90.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 5 yds to the WebSt 31Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
90.6%
Tyjuan Prince run for 4 yds to the WebSt 35Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
90.6%
Stefan Cantwell run for 4 yds to the WebSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.5%
Stefan Cantwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 38
-4
89.7%
Stefan Cantwell sacked by Raymond Davison III for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 34 Stefan Cantwell fumbled, recovered by Cal Devante Downs , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.6%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Kevin Smith for 12 yds Kevin Smith fumbled, forced by Devante Downs, recovered by WebSt for a 1ST down WEBER ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WebSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 41
-3
89.7%
Kevin Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the WebSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:3491% → 89%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
90.5%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 39Similar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+3
89.9%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the WebSt 36Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+8
90.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 8 yds to the WebSt 28Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+10
90.2%
Bowers, Ross pass incomplete, PENALTY WSU holding (JOHNSON, Taron) 10 yards to the WSU18, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
90.5%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 5 yards to the WebSt 23Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+1
90.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 1 yd to the WebSt 22Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
89.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+39
89.3%
Matt Anderson 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
88.9%
Stefan Cantwell run for 4 yds to the WebSt 26Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+28
88.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 28 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.0%
Stefan Cantwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
88.1%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 5 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
88.2%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew VollertSimilar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-5
88.5%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 46Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
89.0%
Jacob DeMaio punt for 44 yds, downed at the Cal 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 1:5589% → 92%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
88.6%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 1Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+4
88.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 4 yds to the Cal 5Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+12
88.2%
Tre Watson run for 12 yds to the Cal 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+24
88.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 24 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
89.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 8 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+51
92.0%
Patrick Laird run for 51 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 12TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:229% → 18%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.2%
Stefan Cantwell run for 1 yd to the WebSt 21Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
91.2%
Stefan Cantwell run for 10 yds to the WebSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
91.0%
Rashid Shaheed run for no gain to the WebSt 31Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
90.5%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Treshawn Garrett for 8 yds to the WebSt 39Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
89.9%
Stefan Cantwell run for 6 yds to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
82.5%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 55 yds for a TD, (Trey Tuttle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13FUMBLE
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:3887% → 88%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
87.0%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 46Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+16
86.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 16 yds to the WebSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
87.1%
Ross Bowers sacked by Justus Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the WebSt 45Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 17
OPP 45
+12
86.8%
Patrick Laird run for 12 yds to the WebSt 33Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
87.4%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+15
86.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 15 yds to the WebSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
87.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 14 yds to the WebSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
87.9%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 8Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+13
87.9%
Ross Bowers sacked by Cardon Malan for a loss of 16 yards to the WebSt 37 Ross Bowers fumbled, recovered by WebSt Jonah Williams , return for 0 yards , return for 13 yds to the WebSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 14FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:5118% → 24%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.2%
Stefan Cantwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
82.4%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Treshawn Garrett for 7 yds to the WebSt 44Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
80.9%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 4 yds to the WebSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
81.0%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 25 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
79.0%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Treshawn Garrett for 4 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-5
79.0%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (McKay Murphy) to the Cal 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+45
75.9%
Trey Tuttle 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
76.6%
Treshawn Garrett run for 5 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-1
76.3%
Stefan Cantwell sacked by Devante Downs for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 44Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+9
77.0%
Stefan Cantwell run for 9 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
76.0%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Drew Batchelor for 15 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
75.8%
Stefan Cantwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 22Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+8
76.0%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Tyjuan Prince for 8 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
76.6%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew VollertSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 4
OPP 14
0
78.0%
Stefan Cantwell run for no gain to the Cal 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
79.5%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 19
-9
79.6%
Enwere, Vic rush for 7 yards to the CAL26 (TESCH, Auston), PENALTY CAL holding (Ooms, Addison) 9 yards to the CAL10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+1
79.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Enwere for 1 yd to the Cal 11Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+16
78.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 16 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
79.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
79.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 7 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
80.3%
Ross Bowers run for 2 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
79.3%
Dylan Klumph punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Xequille Harry at the WebSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
71.2%
Kevin Smith run for 6 yds to the WebSt 24Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
70.6%
Kevin Smith run for 5 yds to the WebSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
70.9%
Kevin Smith run for 7 yds to the WebSt 36Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
69.8%
Kevin Smith run for 5 yds to the WebSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
69.2%
Kevin Smith run for 5 yds to the WebSt 46Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
69.1%
Treshawn Garrett run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 1
50
+9
68.8%
Treshawn Garrett run for 9 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
68.5%
Kevin Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 44Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+3
69.2%
Stefan Cantwell run for 3 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
69.2%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Rashid Shaheed, broken up by Luke RubenzerSimilar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
71.5%
Jacob DeMaio punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:1565% → 72%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
65.4%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Cal 11Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+5
65.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 5 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+15
64.3%
Ross Bowers run for no gain to the Cal 16 for a 1ST down WEBER ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jordan Preator) to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
66.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 33 yds to the WebSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
70.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
70.5%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 41Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+14
68.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Veasy for 14 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
70.3%
Ross Bowers run for no gain to the WebSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
65.2%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the WebSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
69.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
69.6%
Ross Bowers run for a loss of 5 yards to the WebSt 30 Ross Bowers fumbled, recovered by Cal Ross BowersSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+7
64.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 7 yds to the WebSt 23Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
72.1%
Matt Anderson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
67.1%
Stefan Cantwell run for 1 yd to the WebSt 20Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+1
67.4%
Stefan Cantwell run for 1 yd to the WebSt 21Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+25
68.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 25 yds Andrew Vollert fumbled, forced by Raymond Davison III, recovered by Cal Luke RubenzerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:2074% → 93%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
74.1%
Patrick Laird run for 20 yds to the WebSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
75.1%
Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the WebSt 22Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
75.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Vic EnwereSimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+8
74.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 8 yds to the WebSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
76.2%
Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the WebSt 12Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+11
76.2%
Patrick Laird run for 11 yds to the WebSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.8%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 21DOWNS
19 plays · 62 yds · 4:1312% → 12%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.6%
Stefan Cantwell run for 3 yds to the WebSt 28Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
87.2%
Kevin Smith run for 1 yd to the WebSt 29Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+23
87.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Tui Satuala for 23 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
84.7%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 6 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
84.5%
Kevin Smith run for 6 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
84.7%
Stefan Cantwell run for 5 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-5
83.2%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 36Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
84.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Drew BatchelorSimilar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
85.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Kevin Smith, broken up by Luke RubenzerSimilar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+11
88.7%
Stefan Cantwell run for 11 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
83.5%
Stefan Cantwell run for 2 yds to the Cal 23Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
83.5%
Stefan Cantwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+10
86.1%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Treshawn Garrett for 10 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
83.5%
Kevin Smith run for no gain to the Cal 13Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
83.5%
Kevin Smith pass incomplete to Taron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
86.1%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Darryl DenbySimilar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 10
OPP 13
0
87.7%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew VollertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 0:5494% → 99%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
93.6%
Patrick Laird run for 13 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
93.9%
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Cal 27Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+73
98.6%
Patrick Laird run for 73 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:062% → 3%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.7%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Darryl Denby for 6 yds to the WebSt 26Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+19
97.5%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 19 yds to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Rashid ShaheedSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew VollertSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+14
97.6%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Andrew Vollert for 14 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+36
97.2%
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Tyjuan Prince for 36 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.6%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew VollertSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.6%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew Vollert, broken up by Marloshawn Franklin Jr.Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.8%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew Vollert, broken up by Evan WeaverSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.0%
Stefan Cantwell pass incomplete to Andrew VollertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:37
Patrick Laird run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
+16.6
FG · Q4 13:26
Matt Anderson 40 yd FG GOOD
+7.9
TD · Q2 3:23
Stefan Cantwell pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 55 yds for a TD, (Trey Tuttle KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com