Try the model
BOIS

Boise State 44 at Washington State 47

WSU
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:02 · Quinn Skillin punt for 67 yds, downed at the WshSt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OT3Play 172Pregame prior+0.5Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−4.7Garbage-time factor+0.2Time remaining−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:53: Cedrick Wilson 47 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Haden Hoggarth Kick) — BOIS win probability +19.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 1:44: Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +41.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Erik Powell 22 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +23.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT2 0:00: Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 15 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +39.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT3 0:00: Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 22 yds for a TD — WSU win probability +43.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 3:36BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:36WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:01BOIS 4th & 17 at BOIS 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:40WSU 4th & 9 at BOIS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:14BOIS 4th & 7 at WSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:53WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:25BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:41WSU 4th & 3 at BOIS 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−7.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:23WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:46WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 10, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:59BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:51WSU 4th & 20 at WSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:02BOIS 4th & 20 at BOIS 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−26.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:26WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−7.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:07BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:10BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:53BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:00WSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:51WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.1%−1.0
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:44WSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4825% → 27%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
75.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
75.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 11 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+44
74.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 44 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
74.6%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+16
74.4%
Brett Rypien run for 16 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
73.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Garrett Larson) to the WshSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2INT
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:0174% → 71%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
73.5%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
73.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+8
73.1%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
73.1%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
72.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
72.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 9 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+4
72.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 4 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
72.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 13 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
72.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 7 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+1
71.8%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
71.4%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Tyler Horton return for no gain to the BoiSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3330% → 28%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
70.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+6
70.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 6 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
69.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 6 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+7
72.5%
Brett Rypien sacked by Hercules Mata'afa and Frankie Luvu for a loss of 13 yards Brett Rypien fumbled, recovered by WshSt Robert Taylor , return for 7 yds, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5028% → 27%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
72.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
72.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 7 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
72.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chase BlakleySimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
72.7%
Joel Velazquez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamal Morrow at the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3572% → 72%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
72.4%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
72.4%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
71.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 9
OWN 31
-2
71.6%
Erik Powell punt for 54 yds , Avery Williams returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:0029% → 28%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
71.5%
Montell Cozart run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
71.3%
Akilian Butler run for no gain to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-6
71.1%
Brett Rypien sacked by Frankie Luvu for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 16
OWN 17
-1
71.4%
Montell Cozart sacked by Frankie Luvu for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 17
OWN 16
+8
71.7%
Joel Velazquez punt for 39 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2073% → 71%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
72.9%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
72.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
72.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+20
71.2%
Mitchell Cox punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 11 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tavares Martin Jr.) to the BoiSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:5130% → 34%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
70.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+11
70.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 11 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
69.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+13
68.4%
Montell Cozart run for 13 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
68.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 4 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+19
67.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 19 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
66.6%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
66.5%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
66.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for no gain to the WshSt 17Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
65.7%
Haden Hoggarth 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0366% → 63%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
66.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
66.6%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
65.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-6
65.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+6
63.2%
Kyle Sweet punt for 40 yds , Avery Williams returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0537% → 38%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
63.0%
CT Thomas run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+3
62.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 3 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
61.3%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+3
62.0%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+7
62.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 7 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
62.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 30 yds, downed at the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 2:1962% → 68%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
62.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+7
61.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+3
61.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 3 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
61.7%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
63.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+59
60.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 59 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
67.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
66.3%
James Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
68.3%
Erik Powell 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
64.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:0767% → 66%
Q3 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+10
66.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 10 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
67.3%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
67.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
67.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
67.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+8
66.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 8 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
68.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
67.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
66.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+20
65.8%
Kyle Sweet punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the WASHST 18 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the BoiSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:2538% → 41%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+47
62.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 47 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
58.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
58.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 7 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
59.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 5 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q3 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
57.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 0
OPP 5
+2
58.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 2 yds Alexander Mattison fumbled, forced by Marcellus Pippins, recovered by WshSt Frankie LuvuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1966% → 64%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
66.1%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 4Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+1
65.9%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 5Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+5
64.4%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
63.8%
Kyle Sweet punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:2942% → 63%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
58.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 12 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
58.1%
Montell Cozart run for 14 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
56.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 4 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
55.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jake Roh for 6 yds to the WshSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
55.2%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 14Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+14
37.0%
Montell Cozart 14 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:3444% → 40%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
44.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 13 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
45.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 1 yd to the WshSt 39Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+15
45.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 15 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
48.4%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
47.9%
Tyler Hilinski run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+7
47.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-20
49.8%
Tyler Hilinski sacked by Leighton Vander Esch for a loss of 20 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 30
OWN 48
0
40.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass intercepted Durrant Miles return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:0868% → 87%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
50
+3
32.4%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+47
13.4%
Cedrick Wilson 47 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Haden Hoggarth Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:4619% → 4%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
19.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 11 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
20.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
20.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 1
50
+18
19.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to CJ Dimry for 18 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
20.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Tyson Maeva for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 14
OPP 30
-4
19.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the BoiSt 30 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Renard Bell) to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 18
OPP 40
0
17.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+55
3.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 5 yards Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Curtis Weaver ,return for 55 yds, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:384% → 12%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
3.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 19 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
3.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
3.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 12 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+16
3.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 16 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
3.8%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+17
11.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 17 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21INT TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5794% → 81%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
6.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
5.9%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+13
5.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 13 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
5.0%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+36
18.7%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted for a TD Peyton Pelluer return for 36 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5280% → 81%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
19.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+3
22.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+8
19.3%
Montell Cozart run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+3
19.0%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
19.0%
Quinn Skillin punt for 45 yds , Jamal Morrow returns for no gain to the WshSt 19 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Fair Catch Signal (Jamal Morrow) to the WshSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:5424% → 20%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
23.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 8 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+14
26.0%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 14 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
26.7%
Tyler Hilinski sacked by David Moa for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 20
OWN 38
0
22.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 20
OWN 38
0
21.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 20
OWN 38
0
20.3%
Erik Powell punt for 38 yds , Reid Harrison-Ducros returns for no gain to the BoiSt 24 Reid Harrison-Ducros fumbled, recovered by WshSt Dillon ShermanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:5731% → 68%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
30.5%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 4 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+14
26.9%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 14 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
27.2%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
68.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:3648% → 44%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
51.9%
Montell Cozart sacked by Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-9
52.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 25
OWN 10
0
52.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+5
54.4%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
56.3%
Quinn Skillin punt for 67 yds, downed at the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:3256% → 53%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
56.4%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 17 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
57.0%
Tyler Hilinski sacked by Leighton Vander Esch for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 25 Tyler Hilinski fumbled, forced by Leighton Vander Esch, recovered by WshStSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
54.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+12
52.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 12 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
53.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
50.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 28FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
40.5%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
40.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
42.6%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
40.5%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the WshSt 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
40.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 1 yd to the WshSt 12Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
43.7%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
28.5%
Haden Hoggarth 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 29FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
41.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
41.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+13
37.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 13 yds to the BoiSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
41.3%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.3%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
37.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 1
-5
34.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 6Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
58.8%
Erik Powell 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 30TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 83%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
64.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 3 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
64.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+3
62.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
64.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+9
64.7%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 9 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 31TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 56%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
80.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 12 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
80.4%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 15Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
83.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+15
43.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 15 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 32FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
OT3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+5
43.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 5 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
OT3 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
26.1%
Haden Hoggarth 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 33TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 85%
OT3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
41.3%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Renard Bell for 3 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
OT3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
84.6%
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 22 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT3 0:00
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 22 yds for a TD
+43.3
TD · Q4 1:44
Tyler Hilinski pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+41.3
TD · OT2 0:00
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 15 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-39.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com