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MONT

Montana 7 at Washington 63

WASH
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadMONT aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreMONT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:56 · Joel Whitford punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mont 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+3.4Home team on offense+34.6Score differential+31.5Blowout margin+18.4Garbage-time factor+12.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:26: Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:56: Jake Browning pass intercepted for a TD Josh Sandry return for 36 yds for a TD, (Brandon Purdy KICK) — MONT win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:32: Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:31: Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:46: Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 20 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 0 of 4MONT made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 6:58MONT 4th & 8 at WASH 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00MONT 4th & 8 at MONT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:00MONT 4th & 1 at MONT 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:56MONT 4th & 2 at WASH 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:10MONT 4th & 5 at WASH 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:22MONT 4th & 5 at MONT 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:40WASH 4th & 3 at midfield, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:30MONT 4th & 10 at WASH 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:42MONT 4th & 4 at MONT 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46WASH 4th & 5 at MONT 29, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:10MONT 4th & 1 at MONT 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56MONT 4th & 2 at WASH 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:14WASH 4th & 16 at MONT 32, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:23MONT 4th & 10 at MONT 18, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:56WASH 4th & 1 at MONT 41, up 56
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00MONT 4th & 10 at MONT 6, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MONT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:26WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:56MONT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:32WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:31WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:46WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:50WASH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:22WASH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:37WASH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:52WASH Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:1999% → 99%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
98.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 14 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-6
98.8%
Chico McClatcher run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+31
98.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 31 yds to the Mont 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
98.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Jesse Sosebee) to the Mont 32Similar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+2
98.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Mont 30Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+29
98.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 29 yds to the Mont 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:021% → 2%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.6%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Justin Calhoun for 10 yds to the Mont 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.6%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 6 yds to the Mont 41Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-3
98.6%
Reese Phillips sacked by Vita Vea for a loss of 3 yards to the Mont 38Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
98.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Vita Vea) to the Mont 43Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
98.5%
Caleb Hill run for 3 yds to the Mont 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
98.5%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 1 yd to the Mont 47Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
98.5%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Josh Horner for 6 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+10
98.4%
Phillips, Reese pass complete to Calhoun, Justin for 5 yards to the WASHINGTON42, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MONTANA.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.4%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 2 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Samuel AkemSimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Jeremy Calhoun run for no gain to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Eric Williams punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3INT TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:5298% → 98%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
98.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+8
98.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 8 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.2%
Jake Browning run for 8 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+36
97.9%
Jake Browning pass intercepted for a TD Josh Sandry return for 36 yds for a TD, (Brandon Purdy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0698% → 98%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
97.8%
Jake Browning run for 8 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
97.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 11 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
97.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 9 yds to the Mont 44Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
97.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Mont 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
97.6%
Jake Browning run for 16 yds to the Mont 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
97.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 21 yds to the Mont 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
97.7%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Keenan CurranSimilar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
97.7%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 4 yds to the Mont 25Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-2
97.6%
Reese Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mont 23Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+67
98.1%
Eric Williams punt for 44 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 67 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 6FUMBLE
16 plays · 40 yds · 6:202% → 3%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Alijah Lee for 5 yds to the Mont 30Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
97.9%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 4 yds to the Mont 34Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.9%
Alijah Lee run for 2 yds to the Mont 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
97.9%
Reese Phillips sacked by Ben Burr-Kirven for a loss of 8 yards to the Mont 28Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+13
97.9%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Justin Calhoun for 13 yds to the Mont 41Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
97.8%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Josh Horner for 4 yds to the Mont 45Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+4
97.8%
Alijah Lee run for 4 yds to the Mont 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
97.7%
Samori Toure run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mont 45Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-1
97.7%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Samori Toure for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 44Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+13
97.7%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Samuel Akem for 13 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+14
97.6%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Keenan Curran for 14 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
97.3%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
97.3%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Keenan CurranSimilar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+4
97.4%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Josh Horner for 4 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 5
OPP 24
-11
97.4%
Reese Phillips sacked by Keishawn Bierria for a loss of 11 yards to the Wash 35 Reese Phillips fumbled, forced by Keishawn Bierria, recovered by Wash Keishawn Bierria , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2098% → 99%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
97.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 18 yds to the Mont 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
97.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 16 yds to the Mont 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
97.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 8 yds to the Mont 23Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+10
97.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 10 yds to the Mont 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
97.5%
Trey Adams run for 9 yds to the Mont 4Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
98.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+15
98.9%
MONTANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jesse Sims) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Jeremy Calhoun run for no gain to the Mont 12Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Keenan CurranSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+5
98.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mont 17Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
98.6%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Jerry Louie-McGeeSimilar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
98.7%
Eric Williams punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.0%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
99.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 3
50
0
98.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 3
50
0
98.8%
Joel Whitford punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mont 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
98.7%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Josh Horner for 15 yds to the Mont 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
98.6%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Samuel Akem for 19 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.5%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Keenan CurranSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Reese Phillips pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Reese Phillips pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Eric Williams punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:4099% → 100%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+12
99.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 12 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 1
50
+30
99.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 30 yds to the Mont 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 20 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 4 yds to the Mont 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:481% → 0%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.5%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 4 yds to the Mont 33Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Jeremy Calhoun for 2 yds to the Mont 35Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Reese Phillips pass incomplete to Keenan CurranSimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Eric Williams punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+10
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 10 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 18 yds to the Mont 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 2 yds to the Mont 32Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 3 yds to the Mont 29Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
99.8%
Tristan Vizcaino 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by David ShawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 15INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
99.8%
Louie-McGee, Jerry rush for loss of 4 yards to the MONTANA25, PENALTY MONTANA illegal block (Horner, Josh) 10 yards to the MONTANA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+4
99.8%
Alijah Lee run for 4 yds to the Mont 23Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+10
99.8%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Alijah Lee for 10 yds to the Mont 33Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-5
99.8%
MONTANA Penalty, False Start (Robert Luke) to the Mont 28Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+4
99.8%
Reese Phillips pass intercepted Sean Constantine return for 4 yds to the Mont 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 9 yds to the Mont 25Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+6
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 6 yds to the Mont 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
99.9%
Jake Browning run for 17 yds to the Mont 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 3Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 3 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 17INT TD
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 4 yds to the Mont 37Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 1 yd to the Mont 38Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Jerry Louie-McGee for 4 yds to the Mont 42Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 3 yds to the Mont 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jeremy Calhoun run for no gain to the Mont 45Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Samori Toure for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 44Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+68
99.9%
Reese Phillips pass intercepted for a TD Jomon Dotson return for 68 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Alijah Lee for no gain to the Mont 41Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Alijah Lee run for 6 yds to the Mont 47Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+10
99.9%
Phillips, Reese pass incomplete to Curran, Keenan, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MONTANA.Similar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
99.9%
MONTANA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Alijah Lee run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Reese Phillips run for 6 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Reese Phillips pass complete to Makena Simis for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-1
99.9%
Jeremy Calhoun run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 14 yds to the Mont 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 26 yds to the Mont 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 3 yds to the Mont 16Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Mont 14Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+8
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Jacob Kizer for 8 yds to the Mont 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 7Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Mont 1Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Salvon Ahmed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
100.0%
Jeremy Calhoun run for 9 yds to the Mont 26Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Jeremy Calhoun run for no gain to the Mont 26Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Jeremy Calhoun run for no gain to the Mont 26 Jeremy Calhoun fumbled, forced by Jusstis Warren, recovered by Wash Myles RiceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mont 30Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Mont 26Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-6
100.0%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mont 32Similar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+23
99.9%
Sean McGrew run for 23 yds to the Mont 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
100.0%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Mont 3Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
100.0%
Gresch Jensen sacked by Jusstis Warren for a loss of 5 yards to the Mont 13Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+5
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Josh Horner for 5 yds to the Mont 18Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Eric Williams punt for 32 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
50
+2
100.0%
Ralph Kinne run for 2 yds to the Mont 48Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Ralph Kinne run for 6 yds to the Mont 42Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Ralph Kinne run for 1 yd to the Mont 41Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mont 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
100.0%
Treshawn Favors run for 2 yds to the Mont 8Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 8
-6
100.0%
Gresch Jensen sacked by Jusstis Warren and Amandre Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the Mont 2Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 14
OWN 2
+4
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Samori Toure for 4 yds to the Mont 6Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 6
0
100.0%
Eric Williams punt for 46 yds, downed at the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:31
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 0:46
Jake Browning pass complete to Will Dissly for 20 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 4:56
Jake Browning pass intercepted for a TD Josh Sandry return for 36 yds for a TD, (Brandon Purdy KICK)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com