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UTAH

Utah 19 at BYU 13

BYU
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:57 · Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt Bushman
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Home team on offense−21.4Pregame prior−0.3Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−13.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:49: Tyler Huntley 5 Yd Run (Matt Gay Kick) — UTAH win probability +10.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: Ula Tolutau 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — BYU win probability +8.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:35: Matt Gay 38 Yd Field Goal — UTAH win probability +5.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:38: Trey Dye 7 Yd pass from Tanner Mangum (Rhett Almond Kick) — BYU win probability +27.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:22: Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 37 — UTAH win probability +15.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:54UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:29BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:56UTAH 4th & 22 at BYU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:22UTAH 4th & 3 at BYU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:45BYU 4th & 9 at UTAH 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:19UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 16, up 3
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:36BYU 4th & 10 at UTAH 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:02UTAH 4th & 7 at BYU 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:06BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−2.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:16UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:20UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:25BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 34, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:35UTAH 4th & 10 at BYU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−8.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:46BYU 4th & 18 at BYU 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:21BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 33, down 13
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:51UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−1.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−5.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:34UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 44, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−1.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:57BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 12:49UTAH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:47BYU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:38BYU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:4669% → 68%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+24
31.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 24 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
31.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-2
31.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 8 yds to the BYU 47 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-4
31.3%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 39Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
31.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
31.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds, downed at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1932% → 32%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
31.8%
Jonah Trinnaman run for 5 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
32.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+3
32.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 3 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
32.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0568% → 66%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
32.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
32.1%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+3
32.6%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 11
OPP 38
-10
32.8%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 21
OPP 48
0
33.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for no gain Raelon Singleton fumbled, forced by Troy Warner, recovered by Utah Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 22
OPP 49
0
33.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3034% → 34%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
33.5%
Kavika Fonua run for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+29
33.8%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Boobie Hobbs return for 29 yds to the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0567% → 67%
Q1 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
32.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
33.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the BYU 6Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
33.5%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
33.5%
Matt Gay 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:3034% → 34%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
33.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 20 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
34.3%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
34.7%
Kavika Fonua run for 7 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
35.0%
Kavika Fonua run for 1 yd to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
35.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
35.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
34.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 37 yds, downed at the Utah 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0865% → 65%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
34.9%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for 4 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 11
-5
35.0%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the Utah 6Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+7
35.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 7 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+3
35.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 3 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
35.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 53 yds, downed at the BYU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8MISSED FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 7:4135% → 37%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
34.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
36.4%
Kavika Fonua run for 3 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
36.3%
Kavika Fonua run for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
36.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-5
36.8%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+12
36.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 12 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
37.5%
Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
38.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 7 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+2
38.8%
Kavika Fonua run for 2 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
37.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 5 yds to the Utah 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
38.5%
Kavika Fonua run for no gain to the Utah 9Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
38.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Kavika Fonua for 6 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+8
36.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Kavika Fonua for 8 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
36.7%
Rhett Almond 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:1964% → 70%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+48
35.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 48 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
33.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+6
33.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
33.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+7
33.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
32.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
32.4%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+10
32.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 10 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
33.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
29.8%
Matt Gay 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5132% → 30%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.6%
Beau Tanner run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-11
32.5%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Casey Hughes for a loss of 11 yards to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+2
30.4%
Trey Dye run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
30.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds, downed at the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11END OF HALF
17 plays · 53 yds · 3:5271% → 75%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
29.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 7 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
28.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
27.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 8 yds to the BYU 47 UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 17
OWN 38
+6
29.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+9
28.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 9 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
27.6%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
29.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
27.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 22 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
27.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
27.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+15
27.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 15 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
27.4%
UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 13Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
27.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
27.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
25.0%
Matt Gay 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1828% → 28%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
28.4%
Kavika Fonua run for 5 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
28.1%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Filipo Mokofisi return for 6 yds to the BYU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:3675% → 86%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
24.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+18
25.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
14.2%
Tyler Huntley 5 Yd Run (Matt Gay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1018% → 19%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
18.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
17.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 8 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
18.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 6 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
19.1%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Jaylon Johnson return for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
14.9%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22 Tyler Huntley fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:1920% → 28%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
19.6%
Ula Tolutau run for 8 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
19.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+13
19.1%
Ula Tolutau run for 13 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.4%
Ula Tolutau run for no gain to the Utah 1Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.2%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) to the Utah 1Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.9%
Ula Tolutau 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4375% → 73%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
25.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 4 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+5
25.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 5 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-1
25.2%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+52
26.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds , Tanner Jacobson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4024% → 22%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
23.8%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Cody Barton for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 18Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+12
23.4%
Tanner Mangum run for 12 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
23.2%
Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+51
21.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 51 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:4077% → 85%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
23.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 21 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
22.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
21.2%
UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (-5 Yards) to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+21
22.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 21 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
20.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for no gain to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
20.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
20.1%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Khyiris Tonga) to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
19.1%
Demari Simpkins pass complete to Samson Nacua for 14 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
19.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
19.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
19.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
14.6%
Matt Gay 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:3519% → 16%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
18.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Beau TannerSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
18.5%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+2
17.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Trey Dye for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 18
OWN 37
0
16.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 18
OWN 37
+11
16.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 53 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 11 yds to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21FUMBLE
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:3587% → 92%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
13.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
12.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 1 yd to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
13.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
12.7%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
9.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
9.7%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
9.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
8.0%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for 6 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
7.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 3 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
7.6%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for 6 yds to the BYU 31 Troy McCormick Jr. fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1314% → 12%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
13.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
13.3%
Ula Tolutau run for 3 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+5
13.1%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-6
13.9%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Filipo Mokofisi for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+4
12.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 41 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:1993% → 96%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
7.3%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+41
6.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 41 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
6.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-1
5.6%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
5.5%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 1
OPP 19
-5
3.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 2:468% → 36%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
7.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 4 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
8.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+10
7.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Beau Tanner for 10 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
8.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 20 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
9.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
8.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+14
7.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Beau Tanner for 14 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
8.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Neil Pau'uSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
7.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Trey Dye for 10 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
8.3%
Trey Dye run for 4 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
8.5%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
36.2%
Trey Dye 7 Yd pass from Tanner Mangum (Rhett Almond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4888% → 93%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
11.6%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
9.2%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
8.2%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
6.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tanner Jacobson at the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3216% → 13%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
15.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+6
14.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
14.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Beau TannerSimilar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
13.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:1795% → 95%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 17Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-4
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:38
Trey Dye 7 Yd pass from Tanner Mangum (Rhett Almond Kick)
+27.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:22
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 37
-15.2
TD · Q3 12:49
Tyler Huntley 5 Yd Run (Matt Gay Kick)
-10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com