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STAN

Stanford 62 at Rice 7

RICE
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2017 · Allianz Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG—RICE 0.3%Jet Toner 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 55 - HOME 0 · Q4 11:41
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Q4 11:41 · Jet Toner 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior−19.0Home team on offense−53.8Score differential−31.1Garbage-time factor−14.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:13: Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:29: Bryce Love run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:48: Cameron Scarlett run for 29 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — RICE win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:40: Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Jet Toner 40 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:42RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00RICE 4th & 4 at STAN 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:45RICE 4th & 10 at STAN 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:31STAN 4th & 2 at RICE 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:00RICE 4th & 6 at STAN 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:31RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 18, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:25RICE 4th & 13 at RICE 40, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:08RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 25, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:33STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 32, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:35RICE 4th & 7 at STAN 30, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:41STAN 4th & 8 at RICE 17, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:08STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:13STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:29STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:48STAN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:40STAN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:00STAN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:24STAN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:19RICE Touchdown, down 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:52STAN Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4198% → 98%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+62
1.9%
Bryce Love run for 62 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
2.0%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Jay TylerSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
2.0%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 13 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · -6 yds · 2:192% → 2%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
2.0%
RICE Penalty, False Start (Kenneth Thompson) to the Rice 5Similar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 15
OWN 5
-2
2.0%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (-2 Yards) to the Rice 3Similar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 17
OWN 3
-1
2.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 2Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 18
OWN 2
-1
2.1%
RICE Penalty, False Start (Kenneth Thompson) to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 19
OWN 1
+1
2.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 2Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+2
2.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 16
OWN 4
0
2.2%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jay Tyler at the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:2598% → 98%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
2.2%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+14
2.3%
Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
2.3%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
2.3%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Jay TylerSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+13
2.3%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 13 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
2.4%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Kaden Smith for 7 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+4
2.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
2.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Connor Wedington for 5 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:073% → 3%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Jordan Myers for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
2.6%
Samuel Stewart run for no gain to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
2.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+17
2.7%
Jack Fox punt for 55 yds , Jay Tyler returns for 17 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:2697% → 98%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
2.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+16
2.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 16 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
2.7%
Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
2.8%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+7
2.8%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
2.8%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
2.1%
Bryce Love run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:202% → 3%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
2.3%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Robby Wells III for 17 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
2.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+8
2.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 8 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
2.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
2.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
2.5%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Robby Wells IIISimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 28
-1
2.5%
Sam Glaesmann run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
2.2%
Cameron Scarlett run for 11 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
2.2%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+31
2.2%
Bryce Love run for 31 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
2.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 29 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:392% → 2%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.2%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+28
2.2%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 28 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
2.5%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Robby Wells III for no gain to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-8
2.4%
Sam Glaesmann sacked by TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line Sam Glaesmann fumbled, recovered by Rice Sam Glaesmann , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 18
50
+8
2.4%
Sam Glaesmann run for 8 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
2.3%
Jack Fox punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:0898% → 98%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
2.4%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 15Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+5
2.4%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+24
2.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 24 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
2.4%
Keller Chryst sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 19
OWN 35
-8
2.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Stanf Keller ChrystSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 27
OWN 27
+25
2.7%
Bryce Love run for 25 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
2.4%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Kaden SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:202% → 1%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
1.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
1.5%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Robby Wells III for no gain to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
1.4%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
1.4%
Jack Fox punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0898% → 99%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
2.5%
Chryst, Keller pass incomplete to Irwin, Trenton, PENALTY RICE pass interference (Banks, V.J.) 15 yards to the STANFORD35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+56
2.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 56 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.3%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
2.3%
Ryan Burns run for 8 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
0.8%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
0.8%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+7
0.8%
Jack Fox punt for 62 yds , Jay Tyler returns for 7 yds to the Stanf 25 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Stanf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13END OF HALF
12 plays · 60 yds · 2:3099% → 99%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
1.1%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
1.1%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+25
1.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 25 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
1.0%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
50
+7
0.9%
Keller Chryst run for 7 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.8%
Cameron Scarlett run for no gain to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+20
0.8%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Donald Stewart for 5 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Emmanuel Ellerbee) to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.7%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
0.7%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+40
1.3%
Jet Toner 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
0.7%
Sam Glaesmann run for 8 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+17
0.7%
Austin Walter run for 17 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
0.7%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 14
OWN 39
0
0.6%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+1
0.6%
Sam Glaesmann run for 1 yd to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
0.6%
Jack Fox punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jay Tyler at the Stanf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 2:0299% → 100%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
0.7%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+30
0.7%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 30 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+41
0.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Donald Stewart for 41 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
0.6%
Bryce Love run for 7 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.5%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:371% → 0%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Sam Glaesmann run for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Robby Wells IIISimilar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.4%
Jack Fox punt for 51 yds , Jay Tyler returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:07100% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
0.5%
Ryan Burns sacked by Zach Abercrumbia for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 24Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+8
0.5%
Cameron Scarlett run for 8 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
0.5%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Connor WedingtonSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+12
0.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 54 yds , Nahshon Ellerbe returns for 12 yds to the Rice 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
0.3%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+15
0.3%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 15 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
0.3%
Jackson Tyner run for 12 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
0.3%
Jackson Tyner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 49 Jackson Tyner fumbled, recovered by Stanf , return for 4 yds to the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+33
0.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Connor Wedington for 33 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.4%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
0.4%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+7
0.4%
Burns, Ryan pass incomplete to Parkinson, Colby, PENALTY RICE holding (Bickham, Justin) 7 yards to the RICE7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
0.3%
Ryan Burns run for 4 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Kaden Smith for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+13
0.2%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Walter for 13 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
0.2%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Samuel Stewart for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 48Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+15
0.2%
STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Terrence Alexander) to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
0.2%
Jackson Tyner run for 5 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-2
0.2%
Jackson Tyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 7
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
0.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-5
0.3%
STANFORD Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+28
0.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 28 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
0.3%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+17
0.3%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 17 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
0.2%
K.J. Costello pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
0.2%
Dorian Maddox run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
0.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
0.3%
Jet Toner 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:410% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
0.1%
Sam Glaesmann run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 14 Sam Glaesmann fumbled, recovered by Rice Sam GlaesmannSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+12
0.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 12 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
0.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 6 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
0.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 9 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
0.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+10
0.1%
Austin Trammell run for 10 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+7
0.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
0.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Emmanuel Esukpa for 19 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.1%
Austin Walter run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:23100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
0.2%
Dorian Maddox run for 9 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
0.2%
Dorian Maddox run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Isaiah Brandt-SimsSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Dorian Maddox run for no gain to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+19
0.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 19 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
0.1%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 7 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
0.1%
Dorian Maddox run for 1 yd to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+25
0.1%
K.J. Costello run for 25 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24INT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
0.1%
Sam Glaesmann pass complete to Robby Wells III for 2 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
0.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
50
+3
0.1%
Sam Glaesmann run for 3 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
0.1%
Sam Glaesmann run for 2 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+2
0.0%
Sam Glaesmann pass intercepted Jovan Swann return for 2 yds to the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
0.1%
Dorian Maddox run for 9 yds to the Rice 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:40
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
-1.3
TD · Q1 2:29
Bryce Love run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
-0.7
FG · Q2 0:00
Jet Toner 40 yd FG GOOD
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com