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PRST

Portland State 32 at Oregon State 35

ORST
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:10 · Jason Talley run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+41.6Home team on offense−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:04: Jalani Eason run for 12 yds for a TD, (Z. Summers Run For Two-point Conversion) — PRST win probability +21.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:32: Trevorris Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +14.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:12: Josh Kraght 37 Yd pass from Jalani Eason (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — PRST win probability +15.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:43: Josh Kraght run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — PRST win probability +47.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:08: Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 17 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK) — ORST win probability +52.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 0 of 6PRST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:38PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:07ORST 4th & 3 at ORST 29, up 1
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10PRST 4th & 1 at ORST 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 28, up 1
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54PRST 4th & 10 at ORST 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:54ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 28, up 1
    Close callPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:14PRST 4th & 2 at ORST 2, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:12ORST 4th & 3 at PRST 42, up 8
    Close callPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ORST 4th & 3 at PRST 48, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:38PRST 4th & 3 at midfield, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.9%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:48ORST 4th & 5 at PRST 33, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.5%−2.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:03PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PRST made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 13:51PRST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:38ORST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:34ORST Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:35PRST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:04PRST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:32ORST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:03ORST Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:12PRST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:43PRST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.0 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    69.3%−2.0
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:08ORST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−3.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:094% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
96.1%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 11 yds to the PrtSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
96.1%
Za'Quan Summers run for 26 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
95.8%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Josh Kraght for 42 yds for a TD, (Noah Brosio PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 6:0896% → 95%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
95.8%
Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+8
95.9%
Thomas Tyner run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
95.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 14 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.9%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
95.9%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Ryan NallSimilar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+25
95.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 25 yds to the PrtSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.9%
Artavis Pierce run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 22Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
95.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 7 yds to the PrtSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
95.9%
Ryan Nall run for 8 yds to the PrtSt 7Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+2
95.9%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 9 Ryan Nall fumbled, forced by Kenton Bartlett, recovered by OrgSt Blake BrandelSimilar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+8
95.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 8 yds to the PrtSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.9%
Darell Garretson run for no gain to the PrtSt 1Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.7%
Cade Smith run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
94.6%
Antwone Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
94.7%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Kahlil DawsonSimilar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
94.8%
Hayden Cowden punt for 48 yds, downed at the OrgSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
94.4%
Trevorris Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+8
94.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Ryan Nall for 8 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+1
94.3%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+15
94.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 33 , Kahlil Dawson returns for 15 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5FUMBLE
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:106% → 8%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
93.8%
Cade Smith run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
93.8%
OREGON ST Penalty, offside defense (Bright Ugwoegbu) to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
93.7%
Josh Kraght pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
93.7%
Jason Talley run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
93.6%
Za'Quan Summers run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
93.6%
Jalani Eason run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
93.6%
Jalani Eason run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
93.5%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+4
93.6%
Jalani Eason run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
93.7%
Jason Talley run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
92.0%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Charlie Taumoepeau, broken up by Jalen MooreSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
92.1%
Za'Quan Summers run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-1
92.2%
Jalani Eason run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 19 Jalani Eason fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Jalen MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1193% → 92%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
92.5%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
92.5%
Ryan Nall run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+1
92.4%
Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
91.7%
Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kahlil Dawson at the PrtSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.7%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Josh Kraght for 3 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
91.5%
Za'Quan Summers run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+10
91.4%
Jason Talley run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
91.3%
Cade Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+1
91.4%
Za'Quan Summers run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
91.6%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Kahlil DawsonSimilar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
91.9%
Hayden Cowden punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.0%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
90.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 8 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
90.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah HodginsSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
90.6%
Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kahlil Dawson at the PrtSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:3110% → 12%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
90.0%
Za'Quan Summers run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
89.4%
Za'Quan Summers run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+40
89.3%
Jalani Eason run for 40 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
89.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
89.1%
Za'Quan Summers run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 6Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
89.3%
Jalani Eason run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.5%
Jalani Eason pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:3590% → 93%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
89.5%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+12
89.4%
Darell Garretson run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+20
89.6%
Darell Garretson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.9%
Luton, Jake pass incomplete to Villamin, J., PENALTY PSU pass interference (OLUMBA,Donovan) 15 yards to the PSU49, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
90.5%
Trevorris Johnson run for 18 yds to the PrtSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
90.8%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+22
90.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 22 yds to the PrtSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
90.8%
Ryan Nall run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 4Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.9%
Darell Garretson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:428% → 9%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
91.8%
Za'Quan Summers run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
91.6%
Za'Quan Summers run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+17
91.3%
Jalani Eason pass intercepted Jalen Moore return for 17 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:1992% → 93%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.4%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin, broken up by Donovan OlumbaSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
92.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Trevorris Johnson for 7 yds to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
92.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
92.5%
Nick Porebski punt for 40 yds, downed at the PrtSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0092% → 93%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
92.3%
Thomas Tyner run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
92.2%
Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
92.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Ryan Nall for 5 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
92.8%
Jake Luton pass intercepted Beau Duronslet return for 3 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 14TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:379% → 20%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.8%
Za'Quan Summers run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+14
90.3%
Jalani Eason run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
90.0%
Za'Quan Summers run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
89.8%
Za'Quan Summers run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
89.4%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Andre Petties-Wilson for no gain to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
89.4%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Darnell Adams for 11 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
89.2%
Jason Talley run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 20 PORTLAND ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Randin Crecelius) to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 18
OPP 30
+5
89.8%
Jason Talley run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+20
89.7%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Andre Petties-Wilson for 20 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.7%
Jalani Eason run for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Brosio PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
83.5%
Ryan Nall run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+2
83.6%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 20
-11
82.9%
Darell Garretson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 12 Darell Garretson fumbled, forced by Artuz Manning, recovered by PrtSt Beau Duronslet OREGON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Noah Togiai) to the OrgSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 16TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
61.1%
Jalani Eason run for 12 yds for a TD, (Z. Summers Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:2271% → 85%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+48
71.0%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 48 yds to the PrtSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.3%
Trevorris Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2418% → 9%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
81.9%
Za'Quan Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 12Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+4
82.1%
Za'Quan Summers run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+21
90.6%
Jalani Eason pass intercepted for a TD Manase Hungalu return for 21 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:4610% → 27%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
90.0%
Jason Talley run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
90.1%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Antwone Williams for 4 yds to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+8
90.3%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Za'Quan Summers for 8 yds to the PrtSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
89.6%
Jason Talley run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+12
89.4%
Jason Talley run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
88.7%
Antwone Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+16
89.9%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 16 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
88.4%
Jalani Eason run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+37
72.7%
Josh Kraght 37 Yd pass from Jalani Eason (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0678% → 79%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
78.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 4 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+19
78.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 29 yds to the OREGONST 45 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Villamin) to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
80.5%
Jake Luton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
79.5%
Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+5
78.6%
Jake Luton run for 5 yds to the OREGONST 48 OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
78.8%
Nick Porebski punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kahlil Dawson at the PrtSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
75.7%
Za'Quan Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 13Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+3
76.1%
Za'Quan Summers run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+12
77.3%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 12 yds to the PrtSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Jalani Eason run for no gain to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
75.7%
ALEXANDER,Davis pass incomplete to KRAGHT,Josh, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Williams, D.) 15 yards to the PSU43, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
72.6%
Za'Quan Summers run for no gain to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
73.5%
Antwone Williams run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+1
72.3%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Kahlil Dawson for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 3
50
-12
74.0%
Hayden Cowden run for a loss of 12 yards to the PrtSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0379% → 74%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
78.5%
Darell Garretson run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-2
79.4%
Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+3
77.6%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 3 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+51
73.9%
Jordan Choukair 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:0531% → 85%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
68.7%
Josh Kraght run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+22
68.8%
Josh Kraght pass complete to Darnell Adams for 22 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
64.2%
Josh Kraght pass complete to Darnell Adams for 8 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+13
63.6%
Josh Kraght run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
61.9%
Josh Kraght pass incomplete to Jason TalleySimilar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
62.6%
Jason Talley run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
61.9%
Josh Kraght run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 3Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
61.9%
Josh Kraght run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.9%
Josh Kraght run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 1:3033% → 92%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
33.2%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the OrgSt 32 PORTLAND ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+13
36.5%
Jake Luton pass complete to Ryan Nall for 13 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
37.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 16 yds to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
40.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Ryan Nall for 8 yds to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 2
OPP 31
-10
43.8%
Luton, Jake pass complete to Togiai, Noah for 1 yard to the PSU30, out-of-bounds (FOREMAN,Tyler), PENALTY OSU holding (Moore, Trent) 10 yards to the PSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+13
38.7%
Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 13 yds to the PrtSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
39.2%
Ryan Nall run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
91.8%
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 17 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 25MISSED FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 1:0323% → 31%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
77.1%
Josh Kraght pass incomplete to Darnell AdamsSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
77.6%
Josh Kraght run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
76.4%
Josh Kraght pass incomplete to Trent RileySimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+5
79.3%
Josh Kraght run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.9%
Josh Kraght pass incomplete to Darnell AdamsSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
77.2%
Josh Kraght run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
74.1%
Josh Kraght pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 13 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
71.2%
Josh Kraght pass complete to Andre Petties-Wilson for 16 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+46
69.3%
Graycen Kennedy 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:08
Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 17 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)
+52.6
TD · Q4 2:43
Josh Kraght run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-47
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+30.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com