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SUU

Southern Utah 21 at Oregon 77

ORE
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:39 · Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to McCoy Hill for 4 yds to the Oregn 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:39: Patrick Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Manny Berz KICK) — SUU win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:03: Royce Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:44: Kani Benoit run for 29 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:36: James Felila run for 4 yds for a TD, (Manny Berz KICK) — SUU win probability +1.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:48: Royce Freeman run for 13 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SUU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 6:18SUU 4th & 15 at SUU 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:58SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ORE 4th & 15 at ORE 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:03SUU 4th & 1 at ORE 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:15SUU 4th & 2 at SUU 33, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00SUU 4th & 10 at SUU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:48SUU 4th & 2 at ORE 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:48SUU 4th & 4 at SUU 45, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:16ORE 4th & 18 at ORE 6, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:06SUU 4th & 2 at ORE 44, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:07SUU 4th & 7 at SUU 33, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:28SUU 4th & 17 at ORE 20, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:42SUU 4th & 8 at ORE 41, down 56
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:48ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 36, up 56
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 10 of 10SUU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:39SUU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:18ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:18ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:03ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:44ORE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:32ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:25SUU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:36SUU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:48ORE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 8:54ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 2:07ORE Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 13:51ORE Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 6:42ORE Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SUUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:081% → 1%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.0%
McCoy Hill pass complete to Logan Parker for 12 yds to the SoUth 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.0%
James Felila run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 41Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
99.0%
James Felila run for no gain to the SoUth 41Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+11
99.0%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Landen Measom for 11 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.0%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to James Felila for 14 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.0%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Isaiah Diego-Williams for 7 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+11
99.0%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Landen Measom for 11 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
99.0%
Patrick Tyler run for 12 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.7%
Patrick Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
98.8%
Royce Freeman run for 14 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.8%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+25
98.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 25 yds to the OREGON 32 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
98.8%
Charles Nelson run for 12 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
98.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 20 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
98.7%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Landen Measom for 19 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
98.7%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Alex Croyle for 14 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
98.7%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Alex Croyle for 6 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
98.7%
Patrick Tyler pass intercepted Ugochukwu Amadi return for no gain to the Oregn 43 OREGON Penalty, illegal block (3 Yards) to the Oregn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:0299% → 99%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
98.7%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the Oregn 1Similar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 12
OWN 1
+28
98.7%
Royce Freeman run for 28 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
98.7%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
98.7%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+15
98.7%
Herbert, Justin pass incomplete to Nelson, Charles, PENALTY SUU pass interference 15 yards to the ORE47, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
98.7%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 44Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+27
98.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Malik Lovette for 27 yds to the SoUth 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
98.7%
Justin Herbert run for 11 yds to the SoUth 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
98.7%
Kani Benoit run for 8 yds to the SoUth 10Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+10
98.7%
Kani Benoit run for 10 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
98.6%
James Felila run for 4 yds to the SoUth 20Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to McCoy Hill, broken up by Troy DyeSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-9
98.6%
Patrick Tyler sacked by Jonah Moi for a loss of 9 yards to the SoUth 11Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
98.6%
Rashaan Miller punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Charles Nelson at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+13
98.6%
Royce Freeman run for 13 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
98.6%
Royce Freeman run for 10 yds to the SoUth 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 5 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+5
98.6%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the SoUth 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.6%
Royce Freeman run for no gain to the SoUth 17Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
98.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for 14 yds to the SoUth 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the SoUth 1 Tony Brooks-James fumbled, forced by Chinedu Ahanonu, recovered by SoUth Taylor NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
98.5%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 4Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
98.5%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the SoUth 5Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 6
OWN 5
-2
98.5%
James Felila run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 3Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 8
OWN 3
-1
98.5%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-1 Yards) to the SoUth 2Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+8
98.5%
Rashaan Miller punt for 58 yds , Charles Nelson returns for 8 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:3598% → 98%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.4%
Royce Freeman run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 8
50
-5
98.4%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 45
-3
98.3%
Charles Nelson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 42
-15
98.3%
OREGON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 31
OWN 27
+16
98.3%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Royce Freeman for 16 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Adam Stack punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Elijah Holt at the SoUth 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.1%
James Felila run for 5 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 6 yds to the SoUth 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.1%
James Felila run for 4 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
98.1%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the SoUth 36Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+5
98.1%
Patrick Tyler pass intercepted Troy Dye return for 5 yds to the SoUth 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4798% → 99%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
98.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 9 yds to the SoUth 21Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+3
98.2%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 3 yds to the SoUth 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
98.2%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the SoUth 11Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+5
98.3%
Royce Freeman run for 5 yds to the SoUth 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.3%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the SoUth 3Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Jay Green run for 1 yd to the SoUth 26Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
98.9%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Cameron Chambers for 8 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
98.8%
Jay Green run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
50
0
98.8%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Elijah GivensSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
50
0
98.8%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Landen MeasomSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 10
50
+9
98.8%
Patrick Tyler run for 9 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-9
98.8%
Patrick Tyler sacked by Justin Hollins for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:1999% → 100%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.0%
Justin Herbert run for 4 yds to the SoUth 46Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
99.0%
Malik Lovette run for 9 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Dillon MitchellSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.0%
Justin Herbert run for 8 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
99.5%
Kani Benoit run for 29 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Landen MeasomSimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.6%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to James Felila for 6 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Rashaan Miller punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Charles Nelson at the Oregn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 12 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 2 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
99.6%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+15
99.6%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SoUth 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 25 yds to the SoUth 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Dillon Mitchell for 6 yds to the SoUth 16Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Royce Freeman run for 16 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Patrick Tyler run for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
James Felila run for 11 yds to the SoUth 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.7%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Landen Measom for 64 yds for a TD, (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:490% → 2%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Cameron ChambersSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.7%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 9 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+11
99.6%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to James Felila for 11 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
James Felila run for no gain to the Oregn 4Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
James Felila run for 4 yds for a TD, (Manny Berz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19END OF HALF
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
99.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Royce Freeman for 19 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.1%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob Breeland, broken up by Chinedu AhanonuSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.1%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Royce Freeman for 4 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to James Felila for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Logan ParkerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Patrick Tyler run for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.8%
Rashaan Miller punt for 40 yds , Charles Nelson returns for 16 yds to the SoUth 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:5299% → 100%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.0%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the SoUth 48Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
99.0%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the SoUth 47Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+10
99.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 10 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.0%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Royce Freeman for 11 yds to the SoUth 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.0%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Jacob BreelandSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.0%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (13 Yards) to the SoUth 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Royce Freeman run for 13 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Judd Cockett for 1 yd to the SoUth 21Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to James Felila for 4 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Cameron ChambersSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
MILLER, Rashaan punt 43 yards to the ORE32, downed, PENALTY ORE roughing the kicker 5 yards to the SUU30, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Terrance Beasley run for 2 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+15
99.7%
TYLER, Patrick pass intercepted by Graham Jr., T. at the ORE30, Graham Jr., T. return to the ORE25, Graham Jr., T. for loss of 5 yards to the ORE25, PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the SUU47, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Isaiah Diego-WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.7%
James Felila run for 8 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Judd Cockett, broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Ty Rutledge, broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+50
99.8%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Charles Nelson for 50 yds to the SoUth 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds to the SoUth 2Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Charles Nelson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.8%
James Felila run for 5 yds to the SoUth 13Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+1
99.8%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the SoUth 14Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+10
99.8%
James Felila run for 10 yds to the SoUth 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.8%
TYLER, Patrick pass incomplete to GIVENS, Elijah (Graham Jr., T.), PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the SUU39, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Elijah Givens for 5 yds to the SoUth 44Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Isaiah Diego-Williams, broken up by Henry MondeauxSimilar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+1
99.8%
Patrick Tyler pass complete to Landen Measom for 1 yd to the SoUth 45Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Rashaan Miller punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Charles Nelson at the Oregn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Tony Brooks-JamesSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 3 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-11
99.9%
Justin Herbert sacked by Anu Poleo for a loss of 11 yards to the Oregn 6Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 18
OWN 6
0
99.8%
Blake Maimone punt for 46 yds, downed at the SoUth 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Ty RutledgeSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Patrick Tyler run for 7 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Logan ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 27TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
99.9%
Royce Freeman run for 18 yds to the SoUth 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+37
99.9%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 37 yds to the SoUth 1 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the SoUth 25Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
TYLER, Patrick pass incomplete to FELILA, James (Apelu, Kaulana), PENALTY ORE pass interference 5 yards to the SUU30, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Patrick Tyler pass incomplete to Logan Parker, broken up by Ugochukwu AmadiSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Patrick Tyler sacked by Troy Dye for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 29Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Patrick Tyler run for 4 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Rashaan Miller punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 29TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 23 yds to the SoUth 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the SoUth 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+35
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 35 yds to the SoUth 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 30MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
100.0%
ZWAHLEN, Aaron pass incomplete to RUTLEDGE, Ty, PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the SUU40, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Ty Rutledge, broken up by La'Mar Winston Jr.Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
100.0%
ZWAHLEN, Aaron pass incomplete to DIEGO-WILLIAMS, PENALTY ORE pass interference 5 yards to the SUU45, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the SoUth 47Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-5
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen sacked by Ugochukwu Amadi for a loss of 5 yards to the SoUth 42Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+15
100.0%
ZWAHLEN, Aaron pass incomplete to PARKER, Logan, QB hurry by Swain, Jimmie, PENALTY ORE face mask 15 yards to the ORE43, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Alex Croyle for 18 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Judd Cockett for 12 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Judd CockettSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Elijah GivensSimilar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-7
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen sacked by Henry Mondeaux for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 20Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+37
100.0%
Manny Berz 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jalen Jelks N/A return for no gain to the Oregn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 31TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
99.9%
Darrian McNeal run for 13 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Alex Ofodile for 8 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Taylor Alie run for 4 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+38
99.9%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Tony Brooks-James for 38 yds to the SoUth 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
100.0%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Tony Brooks-James for 11 yds to the SoUth 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the SoUth 17Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 9 yds to the SoUth 8Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
100.0%
Taylor Alie run for 2 yds to the SoUth 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the SoUth 4Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Taylor Alie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 32PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Cameron Chambers for 10 yds to the SoUth 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Jay Green for 4 yds to the SoUth 47Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
100.0%
Jay Green run for 10 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Cameron ChambersSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
100.0%
Jay Green run for 2 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Elijah Givens, broken up by Deommodore LenoirSimilar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Rashaan Miller punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Charles Nelson at the Oregn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 33PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
100.0%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Darrian McNeal for 5 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+8
100.0%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 8 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Taylor Alie pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 4 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd to the Oregn 32Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Darrian McNeal run for 4 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+14
100.0%
Adam Stack punt for 43 yds , Landen Measom returns for 14 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 34END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Jay Green run for 3 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to Cameron Chambers for 9 yds to the SoUth 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Cameron Chambers, broken up by Justin HerbertSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass incomplete to Elijah GivensSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Aaron Zwahlen pass complete to McCoy Hill for 4 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:36
James Felila run for 4 yds for a TD, (Manny Berz KICK)
-1.1
TD · Q2 10:03
Royce Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q3 11:48
Royce Freeman run for 13 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com