Try the model
WASH

Washington 30 at Rutgers 14

RUTG
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2017 · High Point Solutions Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:39 · Kyle Bolin pass complete to Everett Wormley for 5 yds to the Wash 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q2 3:50: Ryan Anderson punt for 60 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 61 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +5.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:17: Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 7 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +4.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:45: Tristan Vizcaino 23 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +3.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 18 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK) — WASH win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:31: Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 34 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK) — RUTG win probability +7.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:07WASH 4th & 14 at WASH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:05WASH 4th & 21 at WASH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:36RUTG 4th & 3 at WASH 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:56WASH 4th & 6 at RUTG 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:31WASH 4th & 16 at RUTG 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    87.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:47RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:19WASH 4th & 7 at RUTG 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:50RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:13RUTG 4th & 4 at WASH 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:54RUTG 4th & 1 at WASH 44, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−3.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:41RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:45WASH 4th & 5 at RUTG 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:31RUTG 4th & 4 at WASH 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:58WASH 4th & 10 at RUTG 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:47RUTG 4th & 2 at WASH 41, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:04WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 48, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:08RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:17WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:54WASH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:31RUTG Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:4396% → 96%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-11
4.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-11 Yards) to the Wash 11Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 19
OWN 11
0
4.2%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+5
4.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+2
4.4%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:505% → 7%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
4.5%
Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
4.6%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 5 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
4.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
5.0%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
5.2%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
5.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 8 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+15
5.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
5.7%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 9 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+1
5.9%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
6.1%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
6.3%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Max AnthonySimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.0%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:5593% → 92%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
6.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
7.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
7.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-9
7.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Darnell Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 25 Jake Browning fumbled, forced by Darnell Davis, recovered by Wash Kaleb McGary , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
8.1%
Joel Whitford punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:198% → 9%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
8.2%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 4
50
+1
8.6%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
8.8%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Robert MartinSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
8.8%
Ryan Anderson punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5FG
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:3391% → 91%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
8.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 9 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
8.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
9.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 6 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+51
9.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 51 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
9.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
9.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
9.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q1 0:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
8.8%
Tristan Vizcaino 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:019% → 10%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
9.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Kamaal Seymour) to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+2
9.3%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+5
9.6%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Nakia Griffin-Stewart for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+1
9.6%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Byron Murphy return for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1291% → 89%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
9.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-10
9.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey Adams) to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+4
9.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 16
OPP 43
0
10.2%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
10.6%
Joel Whitford punt for 42 yds, downed at the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 5:3611% → 14%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
10.5%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
10.7%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+13
10.9%
Gus Edwards run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
11.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 3 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+5
12.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
12.9%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+5
12.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Gus Edwards for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
13.6%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 3 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
14.1%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
14.6%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Dacoven BaileySimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+19
14.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 44 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 19 yds to the RUTGERS 48 RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2187% → 85%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
13.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
13.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
14.2%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
15.0%
Joel Whitford punt for 38 yds, downed at the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2016% → 12%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
16.1%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+1
16.6%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 2
-1
16.7%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 11
OWN 1
0
16.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+61
11.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 60 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 61 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:2213% → 15%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
12.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 13 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
13.1%
Robert Martin run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
13.3%
Robert Martin run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
14.5%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
15.1%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
15.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Gus Edwards for 1 yd to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
15.8%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 8 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
15.9%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
17.3%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 6 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
15.4%
Andrew Harte 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
13.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:5616% → 18%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.1%
Janarion Grant run for no gain to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
15.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Gus Edwards for 12 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
18.3%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 4 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
19.0%
Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
18.9%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
18.4%
Ryan Anderson punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 2:2883% → 89%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
17.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 10 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
17.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
17.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+24
18.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 24 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
16.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 31 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
15.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+3
15.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
15.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
15.1%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
10.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 7 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:2911% → 11%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
10.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
11.1%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+4
10.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
11.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+8
11.3%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
12.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Benning Potoa'e) to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
12.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
11.8%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
11.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FG
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:4589% → 93%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
11.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 16 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
11.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 28 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
10.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Brayden Lenius for 15 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
9.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
9.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
7.0%
Tristan Vizcaino 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:2010% → 10%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
9.7%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+9
9.8%
Gus Edwards run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
10.1%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
10.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Robert Martin for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+16
9.8%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Byron Murphy return for 16 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:2394% → 98%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
6.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+21
6.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 21 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
1.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 18 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:042% → 10%
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
2.3%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+11
2.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 11 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
2.1%
Gus Edwards run for 9 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
2.3%
Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
2.0%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
2.1%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-1
2.2%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+34
9.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 34 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 5:1795% → 97%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+23
5.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 23 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
5.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
4.9%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
5.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 6 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
4.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
4.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+15
4.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
4.3%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+4
4.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
4.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
3.3%
Tristan Vizcaino 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:583% → 3%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
3.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
3.6%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 4 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
3.5%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Robert Martin for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Robert Martin for 7 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
3.7%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 2
OPP 41
-2
3.0%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3698% → 98%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
2.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
1.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+2
1.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
1.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:092% → 2%
Q4 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+21
2.0%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 21 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
2.2%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Everett Wormley for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:31
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 34 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)
+7.7
PUNT · Q2 3:50
Ryan Anderson punt for 60 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 61 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
-5.2
TD · Q4 14:54
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 18 yds for a TD, (Tristan Vizcaino KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com