Try the model
UND

North Dakota 16 at Utah 37

UTAH
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUND aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:46 · Austin Dussold punt for 49 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 2 yds to the Utah 25 UTAH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Utah 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+21.5Home team on offense+14.6Score differential+4.8Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:10: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:46: Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:11: Matt Gay 32 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +2.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:10: Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Fiedler for 3 yds for a TD, (Reid Taubenheim KICK) — UND win probability +8.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 10:54: Matt Gay 49 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +3.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UND made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:58UND 4th & 13 at UTAH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:13UTAH 4th & 6 at UND 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13UND 4th & 7 at UND 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:24UTAH 4th & 1 at UND 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:30UND 4th & 9 at UTAH 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:10UND 4th & 10 at UND 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:15UTAH 4th & 11 at UND 15, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02UND 4th & 3 at UTAH 26, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UND 4th & 5 at UND 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:46UND 4th & 12 at UND 23, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:11UTAH 4th & 3 at UND 14, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:54UTAH 4th & 29 at UND 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:54UND 4th & 5 at UTAH 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:00UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:37UND 4th & 8 at UND 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UND made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:24UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:10UTAH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:46UTAH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:10UND Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1INT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.8%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
92.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 13 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
92.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 7 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-4
92.8%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
92.8%
Tyler Huntley pass intercepted Evan Holm return for no gain to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
92.8%
UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 2FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:018% → 9%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
92.3%
John Santiago run for 1 yd to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+2
92.3%
John Santiago run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+13
92.3%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 13 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
92.3%
De'mun Mercer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 14Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
92.3%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete, broken up by Kylie FittsSimilar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 11
OPP 14
-2
92.3%
Keaton Studsrud run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+32
91.4%
Reid Taubenheim 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:4591% → 90%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.4%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
91.5%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
91.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 16 yds to the NDKTA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
91.6%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
91.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds to the NDKTA 37Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
91.6%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NDKTA 32Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
91.6%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
91.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 5 yds to the NDKTA 25Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+1
91.6%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 14 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Siaosi Wilson) to the NDKTA 24Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-2
91.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for a loss of 2 yards to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+45
89.8%
Chayden Johnston 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
89.7%
John Santiago run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 28Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-2
89.7%
John Santiago run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+4
89.9%
Brady Oliveira run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+51
90.0%
Austin Dussold punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the UTAH 29 UTAH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:0289% → 89%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
88.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Troy McCormick Jr.Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
88.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+14
88.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 14 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.0%
Zack Moss run for 15 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
89.4%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+16
89.4%
Kyle Fulks run for 16 yds to the NDKTA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
89.6%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 23Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-10
89.6%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 2 yards to the UND21 (Mason Bennett), PENALTY UTAH holding (Carrington, D.) 10 yards to the UND33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+17
89.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 17 yds to the NDKTA 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
88.0%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the NDKTA 16Similar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+16
89.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 6FG
18 plays · 56 yds · 5:4811% → 14%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
88.6%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 9 yds to the NDKTA 44Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
88.1%
Brady Oliveira run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.1%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to De'mun MercerSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
88.3%
John Santiago run for no gain to the NDKTA 46Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
88.5%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis Toivonen, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+15
89.0%
Austin Dussold punt 44 yards to the UTAH10, fair catch by Hobbs, Boobie, PENALTY UTAH personal foul (Blair, Marquise) 15 yards to the UTAH39, 1ST DOWN UND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
88.0%
Brady Oliveira run for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
88.0%
Brady Oliveira run for no gain to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
88.1%
Keaton Studsrud run for 8 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
87.7%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Kyle Norberg for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+20
87.7%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to John Santiago for 20 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
87.7%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to De'mun MercerSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
87.7%
Keaton Studsrud run for 2 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
88.0%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 9Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
86.6%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Noah Wanzek, broken up by Boobie HobbsSimilar
Q2 8:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
85.9%
Reid Taubenheim 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2087% → 91%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.0%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
87.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 12 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
87.7%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+14
87.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 14 yds to the NDKTA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
87.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jake Jackson for 3 yds to the NDKTA 36Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
88.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+3
87.8%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
90.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
John Santiago run for no gain to the NDKTA 25Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Noah WanzekSimilar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
90.8%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to De'mun Mercer, broken up by Filipo MokofisiSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Austin Dussold punt for 32 yds, downed at the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:0291% → 92%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
90.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 3
50
+9
90.8%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
90.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 7 yds to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
91.0%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
90.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
91.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 20Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+6
91.0%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
91.0%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 15Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
90.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
90.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
91.6%
Matt Gay 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 10FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:138% → 11%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.7%
John Santiago run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+34
91.1%
John Santiago run for 15 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Corrion Ballard) to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
90.1%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to De'mun Mercer for 7 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
89.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
90.4%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Noah Wanzek, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
88.6%
Reid Taubenheim 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.7%
Keaton Studsrud run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
88.7%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Fiedler for 7 yds to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
88.5%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 7 yds to the NDKTA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
88.1%
James Johannesson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDKTA 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
88.6%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis Toivonen, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+7
88.9%
Keaton Studsrud run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
88.9%
Austin Dussold punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:0589% → 94%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
88.8%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
88.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 8 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+7
88.5%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
89.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 15 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST down NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, personal foul (Cole Reyes) to the NDKTA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
90.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+25
90.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 25 yds to the NDKTA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.4%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.7%
John Santiago run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDKTA 23Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
92.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to John SantiagoSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
93.0%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
93.2%
Austin Dussold punt for 49 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 2 yds to the Utah 25 UTAH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:3194% → 97%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
94.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 8 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
94.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
94.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 4 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+20
94.0%
Zack Moss run for 20 yds to the NDKTA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
94.4%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 39Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+7
94.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Troy McCormick Jr. for 7 yds to the NDKTA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
94.4%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 25Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+4
94.4%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
94.4%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-4
94.4%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Tanner Palmborg for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 25Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 14
OPP 25
+11
94.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 11 yds to the NDKTA 14Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
96.6%
Matt Gay 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 16TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:554% → 13%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
96.2%
Brady Oliveira run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 24Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
96.0%
Brady Oliveira run for no gain to the NDKTA 24Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+41
96.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 41 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+32
95.4%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 32 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.8%
Brady Oliveira run for no gain to the Utah 3Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Fiedler for 3 yds for a TD, (Reid Taubenheim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:1692% → 95%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
91.5%
Troy McCormick Jr. run for 43 yds to the NDKTA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
92.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 28Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+16
92.2%
Zack Moss run for 16 yds to the NDKTA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-15
92.1%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Jackson, Jake for 5 yards to the UND7 (Tamas Stewart), PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Wilson, Siaosi) 15 yards to the UND27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 25
OPP 27
-15
92.2%
Huntley, Tyler pass incomplete to McCormick, Troy, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Singleton, Rae.) 15 yards to the UND42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 40
OPP 42
+9
92.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 9 yds Raelon Singleton fumbled, forced by Tyus Carter,Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 34
OPP 36
+5
92.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Harrison Handley for 5 yds to the NDKTA 31Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 29
OPP 31
0
91.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 29
OPP 31
+49
95.4%
Matt Gay 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Noah WanzekSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Brady Oliveira for 9 yds to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
93.3%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (Luke Fiedler) to the NDKTA 29Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
93.6%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to De'mun Mercer for 17 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis ToivonenSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
93.1%
John Santiago run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+8
93.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to De'mun Mercer for 8 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
93.3%
Austin Dussold punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
96.2%
McCormick, Troy rush for 19 yards to the UTAH29 (Chuck Flowers;Donnell Rodgers), PENALTY UTAH holding (Simpkins,Demari) 5 yards to the UTAH5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+4
96.2%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+6
96.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 6 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-10
96.2%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Carter Wilson for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
95.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 52 yds, fair catch by John Santiago at the NDKTA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
94.5%
Keaton Studsrud run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 47Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-4
94.3%
Brad Heidlebaugh sacked by John Penisini for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+17
94.7%
Brad Heidlebaugh pass intercepted Julian Blackmon return for 17 yds to the NDKTA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
10 plays · 33 yds · 1:2697% → 98%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
97.3%
Tyler Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+2
97.3%
Tyler Huntley run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 32Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+12
97.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 12 yds to the NDKTA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
97.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 18Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-6
98.3%
Tyler Huntley sacked by Donnell Rodgers for a loss of 6 yards to the NDKTA 24Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+23
98.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 23 yds to the NDKTA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Brad Heidlebaugh run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
99.8%
Brad Heidlebaugh pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 12 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Brad Heidlebaugh pass incomplete to Noah WanzekSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
James Johannesson run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 40Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Brad Heidlebaugh pass incomplete to De'mun MercerSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+16
99.8%
Austin Dussold punt for 45 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 16 yds to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 13
OWN 28
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:10
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Fiedler for 3 yds for a TD, (Reid Taubenheim KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q3 8:46
Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Gay KICK)
+4.2
FG · Q4 10:54
Matt Gay 49 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com