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EMU

Eastern Michigan 16 at Rutgers 13

RUTG
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:18 · Kyle Bolin sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Paul Fricano 33 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +9.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:07: Gus Edwards run for 23 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK) — RUTG win probability +15.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:30: Paul Fricano 21 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +7.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:13: Paul Fricano 24 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +13.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:29: Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2 — EMU win probability +28.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:57EMU 4th & 1 at RUTG 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:00RUTG 4th & 7 at EMU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:48EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:32RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 13, up 4
    Close callPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:00RUTG 4th & 10 at EMU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:41EMU 4th & 24 at EMU 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:07EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:57RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:57EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:16RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:18EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q2 3:30RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  15. Q2 3:02EMU 4th & 2 at RUTG 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−1.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 14:55EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:58RUTG 4th & 10 at EMU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−11.6
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:30EMU 4th & 3 at RUTG 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−14.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:13EMU 4th & 6 at RUTG 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−21.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:07RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−2.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:09EMU 4th & 5 at RUTG 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:54EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:07RUTG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.7%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
64.7%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
64.7%
Kyle Bolin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
64.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 0
0
64.7%
Bolin, Kyle pass incomplete to Melton, Bo, PENALTY RU holding off-setting, PENALTY EMU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
64.7%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+3
64.7%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Gus Edwards for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
64.7%
Kyle Bolin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
64.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 31 yds, downed at the EMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:2936% → 39%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
64.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 14 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
64.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 31 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
63.9%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
63.9%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+7
63.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 7 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+8
64.2%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
63.7%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
61.0%
Antoine Porter 8 Yd pass from Brogan Roback (Paul Fricano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:5462% → 63%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
62.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 40 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
63.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Hunter Hayek for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+4
62.7%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+22
62.7%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 22 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
63.1%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
63.1%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
62.8%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
62.9%
Andrew Harte 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:1038% → 37%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
62.3%
Shaq Vann run for 13 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
61.7%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+1
61.8%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
61.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine Porter, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 10
OPP 0
0
61.9%
ORAHA, Ivan punt 34 yards to the RU18, Grant, Janarion return to the RU18, PENALTY RU face mask off-setting, PENALTY EMU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+27
62.6%
Ivan Oraha punt for 43 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 27 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
62.4%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
63.1%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
62.7%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Hunter Hayek for 3 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
62.6%
Ryan Anderson punt for 50 yds, downed at the EMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0038% → 38%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
62.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
62.2%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+5
62.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (Julius Turner) to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+1
62.0%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd to the EMich 13Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 2
OWN 13
+11
62.0%
Ivan Oraha punt for 40 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 11 yds to the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
63.3%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
63.4%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
63.1%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jerome WashingtonSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
62.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
61.5%
Ryan Anderson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:5840% → 40%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
60.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 14 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
60.0%
VANN, Shaq rush for 2 yards to the EMU27 (Roberts, Deonte), PENALTY EMU face mask (LEATIOTA, Jimmy) 13 yards to the EMU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 23
OWN 12
+1
60.5%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 13Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
59.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-2
59.8%
Brogan Roback sacked by Willington Previlon for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 11Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
60.3%
Ivan Oraha punt for 38 yds, downed at the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
62.5%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Damon MitchellSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-4
62.3%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Jeremiah Harris return for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2344% → 42%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
50
-15
56.4%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to ARISTILDE, D. for no gain to the 50 yardline (Wharton, Isaiah), PENALTY EMU face mask 15 yards to the EMU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+9
58.8%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+1
58.1%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
58.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+6
58.4%
Ivan Oraha punt for 28 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 6 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
59.0%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
60.2%
Kyle Bolin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
58.7%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Gus Edwards RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+59
58.0%
Ryan Anderson punt for 64 yds for a touchback RUTGERS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.5%
Breck Turner run for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
55.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
56.1%
Brogan Roback punt for 31 yds, downed at the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
58.1%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
58.3%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
58.9%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
58.1%
Ryan Anderson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
54.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 18 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
53.0%
Breck Turner run for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
52.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for no gain to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
53.1%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
54.3%
Brogan Roback punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
55.9%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
55.8%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jerome WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
54.8%
Kyle Bolin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+4
54.4%
Ryan Anderson punt for 50 yds , Blake Banham returns for 4 yds to the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:0248% → 60%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
52.8%
Breck Turner run for 10 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
51.2%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to SEXTON, Mathew, PENALTY RU pass interference (Hayes, Damon) 15 yards to the RU39, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
49.9%
Breck Turner run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
49.3%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
50.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+6
51.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
49.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 9 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
49.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+33
40.1%
Paul Fricano 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
45.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
44.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 4 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
44.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+4
46.0%
Brogan Roback punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 13 , Saquan Hampton returns for 4 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:2445% → 52%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+22
45.4%
Robert Martin run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
46.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
48.0%
Robert Martin run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
50
+4
49.1%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+11
49.4%
Robert Martin run for 11 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
50.8%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+9
50.9%
Gus Edwards run for 9 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
50.9%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-2
50.9%
Johnathan Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
49.1%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Robert Martin, broken up by Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+39
52.2%
Andrew Harte 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:0050% → 54%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+26
49.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 26 yds to the RUTGERS 48 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.4%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the Rutgr 44 Shaq Vann fumbled, forced by Sebastian Joseph, recovered by Rutgr Kemoko TuraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:2853% → 71%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
52.7%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 4
50
+27
53.8%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jerome Washington for 27 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
70.9%
Gus Edwards run for 23 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21FG
17 plays · 72 yds · 5:3736% → 49%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
64.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
62.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
64.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-5
60.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
63.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Dakota Tallman) to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+23
66.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 23 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
59.6%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+3
59.6%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+17
59.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 17 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
57.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Jaron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
58.2%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+14
59.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 14 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
57.7%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
57.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
59.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
51.5%
Paul Fricano 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2259% → 55%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
58.6%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
58.8%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
57.1%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Damon MitchellSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+7
55.3%
Ryan Anderson punt for 54 yds , Blake Banham returns for 7 yds to the EMich 33 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (Anthony Brown) to the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:4246% → 66%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+37
54.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 37 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
48.7%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+15
48.7%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to SEXTON, Mathew, PENALTY RU pass interference (Hayes, Damon) 15 yards to the RU27, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
46.3%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
46.3%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+15
49.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 15 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
46.3%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
46.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q4 13:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
48.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Blessuan AustinSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
34.4%
Paul Fricano 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 38%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
44.1%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
42.3%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Ross WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
40.2%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+13
37.7%
Ryan Anderson punt for 39 yds , Blake Banham returns for 13 yds to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
33.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+15
34.9%
Shaq Vann run for 15 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
31.2%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+4
31.3%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
31.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+42
33.7%
Ivan Oraha punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rutgr 15 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (Mohamed Jabbie) to the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26INT
10 plays · 66 yds · 0:0036% → 44%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+14
35.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding (Luke Maclean) to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
37.5%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
36.8%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 8 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+10
36.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 10 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
40.1%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+6
39.4%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 6 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+22
40.7%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 22 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.5%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Damon MitchellSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
46.3%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 7 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+71
43.7%
Kyle Bolin pass intercepted Brody Hoying return for 71 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27MISSED FG
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:5585% → 88%
Q4 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
15.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-8
15.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 0
OPP 10
-5
9.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Chris Bukoski) to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
10.9%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 0
OPP 14
+31
11.9%
Paul Fricano 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Sebastian JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28END OF GAME
13 plays · 43 yds · 1:1623% → 16%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
23.4%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Damon MitchellSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+33
22.9%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 33 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
28.0%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Damon Mitchell for 9 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
32.5%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Justin MoodySimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
30.6%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 2 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
28.7%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
26.9%
Bolin, Kyle pass incomplete, PENALTY EMU roughing passer (MACLEAN, Luke) 15 yards to the EMU27, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
36.0%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Janarion Grant for 2 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
36.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-15
21.6%
Bolin, Kyle pass incomplete to Melton, Bo (WILLIAMS, Ross), PENALTY RU illegal use of hands (Miller, Dorian) 15 yards to the EMU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 23
OPP 40
-3
16.2%
Kyle Bolin sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:29
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2
-28.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.2
TD · Q3 6:07
Gus Edwards run for 23 yds for a TD, (Andrew Harte KICK)
+15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com