Try the model
TOW

Towson 17 at Maryland 63

MD
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · SECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadTOW aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreTOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:28 · Pat Toomey punt for 42 yds , D.J. Moore returns for 2 yds to the Mary 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior+46.4Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+0.7Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:20: Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 9 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — TOW win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:08: Ty Johnson run for 74 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — MD win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:54: Ryan Stover pass complete to Jabari Allen for 10 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Neill KICK) — TOW win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:46: Ryan Stover pass intercepted for a TD Darnell Savage Jr. return for 75 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — MD win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:29: Ty Johnson run for 46 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK) — MD win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 4TOW made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:14TOW 4th & 15 at TOW 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:28TOW 4th & 1 at TOW 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46MD 4th & 4 at TOW 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:06TOW 4th & 12 at TOW 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:13MD 4th & 1 at TOW 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:30TOW 4th & 4 at MD 8, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:27TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:17TOW 4th & 23 at TOW 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:34TOW 4th & 9 at TOW 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00MD 4th & 10 at TOW 29, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:36TOW 4th & 10 at TOW 35, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:01MD 4th & 1 at MD 29, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:28TOW 4th & 9 at MD 32, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 9 of 9TOW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:20MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:32MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:08MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54TOW Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:46MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:29MD Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:26MD Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:34MD Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:26MD Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:41TOW Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:46MD Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:4099% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
98.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 3 yds to the Tows 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+10
98.5%
Hill, K. pass incomplete to Hill, K., PENALTY TOWSON holding 10 yards to the TOWSON37, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 2 yds to the Tows 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+6
98.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 6 yds to the Tows 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
98.5%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Tows 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
98.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 17 yds to the Tows 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.3%
Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 9 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.3%
Shane Simpson run for 4 yds to the Tows 26Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+9
98.3%
Ryan Stover run for 9 yds to the Tows 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Shane Simpson run for no gain to the Tows 35Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.3%
TOWSON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tows 30Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Shane SimpsonSimilar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+10
98.3%
Pat Toomey punt for 40 yds , D.J. Moore returns for 10 yds to the Mary 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:3598% → 98%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
98.1%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+11
98.1%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
50
+16
98.1%
Kasim Hill run for 16 yds to the Tows 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
98.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 34 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.1%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Jabari Greenwood for 7 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.1%
Shane Simpson run for 2 yds to the Tows 34Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.1%
Adrian Platt run for no gain to the Tows 34Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.1%
Pat Toomey punt for 42 yds , D.J. Moore returns for 2 yds to the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
98.3%
Ty Johnson run for 74 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 65
OWN 0
0
98.3%
Sutton, D. kickoff 59 yards to the TOWSON6, Dorsey, R. return to the TOWSON25 (Davis, I.), PENALTY UMD offside off-setting, PENALTY TOWSON holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 6TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 6:022% → 3%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Leatherbury for 7 yds to the Tows 26Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 3
OWN 26
-4
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Rodney Dorsey for a loss of 4 yards to the Tows 22Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+9
98.4%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Simpson for 9 yds Shane Simpson fumbled, forced by Jermaine Carter Jr., recovered by Tows Shane Simpson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.3%
Rodney Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Tows 33Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+15
98.3%
Stover, R. pass incomplete to Allen, J., PENALTY UMD pass interference (Jackson, J.) 15 yards to the TOWSON48, 1ST DOWN TOWSON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Trey Kilgore for 4 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
98.4%
Shane Simpson run for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+12
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Joe Green for 12 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
98.3%
Ryan Stover sacked by Mbi Tanyi for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+14
98.4%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Jabari Allen for 14 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
98.3%
Ryan Stover run for 9 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
97.4%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Jabari Allen for 10 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Neill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
97.8%
Kasim Hill run for 1 yd to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
97.8%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+15
97.7%
Kasim Hill run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
50
+3
97.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 3 yds to the Tows 47Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
97.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 4 yds to the Tows 43Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 3
OWN 0
-1
97.7%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 44 MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Tows 44Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
97.8%
Wade Lees punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Lyrics Klugh at the Tows 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
97.4%
Shane Simpson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 10Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-1
97.4%
Ryan Stover run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 9Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 12
OWN 9
0
97.5%
Ryan Stover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 12
OWN 9
+33
97.5%
Pat Toomey punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tows 10 , D.J. Moore returns for 33 yds to the Tows 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1998% → 97%
Q2 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
97.6%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 1 yd to the Tows 9Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.6%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to Jacquille VeiiSimilar
Q2 10:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
97.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 8 yds to the Tows 1Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.2%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Tows 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 10INT TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:223% → 2%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+29
97.2%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Jabari Greenwood for 29 yds to the Tows 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
97.1%
Ryan Stover run for 1 yd to the Tows 31 Ryan Stover fumbled, recovered by Tows Ryan StoverSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
97.1%
Shane Simpson run for 4 yds to the Tows 35Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-5
97.1%
Stover, R. pass complete to Dorsey, R. for 55 yards to the UMD10, out-of-bounds (Savage, D.), PENALTY TOWSON illegal formation 5 yards to the TOWSON30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+15
97.2%
Stover, R. pass incomplete to Richardson, B., PENALTY UMD pass interference (Savage, D.) 15 yards to the TOWSON45, 1ST DOWN TOWSON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
97.1%
Shane Simpson run for 6 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+75
98.2%
Ryan Stover pass intercepted for a TD Darnell Savage Jr. return for 75 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 11DOWNS
16 plays · 67 yds · 5:102% → 2%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Shane Simpson run for 4 yds to the Tows 29Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Simpson for 2 yds to the Tows 31Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Simpson for 9 yds to the Tows 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.3%
Adrian Platt run for 3 yds to the Tows 43Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Trey KilgoreSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+22
98.3%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Simpson for 22 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.1%
Ryan Stover pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
98.1%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Morgan ScrogginsSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+21
98.3%
Ryan Stover run for 21 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
98.0%
Shane Simpson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 15Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+7
98.1%
Ryan Stover run for 7 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
98.0%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Joe GreenSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 4
OPP 8
0
98.2%
Ryan Stover pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.0%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:282% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
98.4%
Adrian Platt run for 2 yds to the Tows 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
98.4%
Shane Simpson run for no gain to the Tows 21Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
98.5%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Jabari Greenwood for no gain to the Tows 21Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+25
98.6%
Pat Toomey punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D.J. Moore at the MARYLAND 39 TOWSON Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Tows 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.7%
Ty Johnson run for 46 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 15INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.7%
Ryan Stover run for 6 yds to the Tows 42Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Shane Simpson run for no gain to the Tows 42Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+10
99.7%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Simpson for 10 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Ryan Stover pass intercepted Antoine Brooks return for no gain to the Mary 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for no gain to the Mary 19Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+20
99.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 20 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+13
99.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 13 yds to the MARYLAND 48 for a 1ST down TOWSON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Tows 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.8%
Kasim Hill run for 6 yds to the Tows 42Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+17
99.8%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 17 yds to the Tows 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Kasim Hill pass incomplete to D.J. Moore, broken up by Justice Pettus-DixonSimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Jake Funk run for 25 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Shane Simpson run for 2 yds to the Tows 29Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-7
99.8%
Ryan Stover sacked by Andrew Isaacs for a loss of 7 yards to the Tows 22Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 15
OWN 22
-8
99.8%
Ryan Stover sacked by Keiron Howard and Jermaine Carter Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Tows 14Similar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 23
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Pat Toomey punt for 32 yds , D.J. Moore returns for no gain to the Tows 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
99.9%
Kasim Hill pass complete to D.J. Moore for 19 yds to the Tows 27 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Tows 37Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 1
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Hill, K. pass incomplete, PENALTY TOWSON pass interference (Wallace, D.) 4 yards to the TOWSON33, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Kasim Hill run for 3 yds to the Tows 30Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
99.9%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 9 yds to the Tows 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
D.J. Moore run for 21 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Trey KilgoreSimilar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Simpson for 3 yds to the Tows 28Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.9%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Shane Simpson for a loss of 2 yards to the Tows 26Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Pat Toomey punt for 27 yds , Jake Funk returns for no gain to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison III run for 9 yds to the Tows 44Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Tows 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 2 yds to the Tows 38Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 9 yds to the Tows 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Kanyia Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the Tows 33Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 4 yds to the Tows 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+14
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 14 yds to the Tows 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
Javon Leake run for 6 yds to the Tows 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+8
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 8 yds to the Tows 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 1 yd for a TD TOWSON Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 21TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Kobe Young run for 2 yds to the Tows 30Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+9
100.0%
Ryan Stover run for 9 yds to the Tows 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Adrian Platt run for 3 yds to the Tows 42Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
Ryan Stover sacked by Andrew Isaacs and Keiron Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 41Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+59
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Rodney Dorsey for 59 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Neill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Javon Leake run for 11 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
99.9%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Tibo Debaillie for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+61
100.0%
Javon Leake run for 61 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Jabari GreenwoodSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Adrian Platt run for 2 yds to the Tows 37Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-2
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Brent Richardson for a loss of 2 yards to the Tows 35Similar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Pat Toomey punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to DJ Turner for 4 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Max Bortenschlager run for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Wade Lees punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rodney Dorsey at the Tows 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 25FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Kobe Young run for 2 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
Ryan Stover run for 9 yds to the Tows 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Kobe Young run for 3 yds to the Tows 44Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+13
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Morgan Scroggins for 13 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Kobe Young run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Kobe Young run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+7
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Brent Richardson for 7 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass complete to Rodney Dorsey for 1 yd to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Joe GreenSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Ryan Stover pass incomplete to Brent RichardsonSimilar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
100.0%
Aidan O'Neill 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
Ryan Brand run for 9 yds to the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:29
Ty Johnson run for 46 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 5:46
Ryan Stover pass intercepted for a TD Darnell Savage Jr. return for 75 yds for a TD, (Henry Darmstadter KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 14:54
Ryan Stover pass complete to Jabari Allen for 10 yds for a TD, (Aidan O'Neill KICK)
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com