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WKU

Western Kentucky 7 at Illinois 20

ILL
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Jake Collins punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILLINOIS 46 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, IF (-5 Yards) to the WKent 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−13.6Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:58: Chase McLaughlin 20 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +6.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:21: Julian Jones 10 Yd Interception Return (Chase McLaughlin Kick) — ILL win probability +11.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 0:58: Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 10 Mike Epstein fumbled, recovered by Illin Mike Epstein — ILL win probability +7.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:19: Chayce Crouch run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +20.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:38: Mike White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +7.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 9WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:05ILL 4th & 6 at WKU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:21WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:45ILL 4th & 7 at WKU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:45WKU 4th & 4 at ILL 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    62.2%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:48ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 32, up 3
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:21WKU 4th & 19 at WKU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:58ILL 4th & 2 at WKU 2, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:58WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 33, down 6
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:36ILL 4th & 19 at ILL 13, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−3.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:41WKU 4th & 8 at ILL 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:41ILL 4th & 4 at WKU 36, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−1.0
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:36ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 14, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−3.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:28WKU 4th & 20 at ILL 36, down 20
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:15ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 13, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:17WKU 4th & 18 at ILL 42, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:49ILL 4th & 3 at WKU 34, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−1.2
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−1.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:34WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 1:21ILL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:19ILL Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:38WKU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.4%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
36.4%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+23
36.4%
Jake Collins punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ILLINOIS 46 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, IF (-5 Yards) to the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
36.9%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
36.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
36.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
36.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
37.1%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
37.1%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 3 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
37.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
37.2%
Jake Collins punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:1438% → 40%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
38.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
38.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+6
38.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 6 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
38.1%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
38.1%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-1
38.0%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Ricky Smalling for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
39.6%
Chase McLaughlin 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 54 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
39.5%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+17
39.5%
Mike White pass complete to Xavier Lane for 17 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
39.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
39.0%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds Lucky Jackson fumbled, forced by Ahmari Hayes, recovered by WKent Lucky Jackson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
38.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Matt Nord) to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+13
39.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+4
38.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
38.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+3
39.3%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
38.7%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to LANE, Xavier, PENALTY WKU illegal touching (LANE, Xavier) 0 yards to the ILL32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
38.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
41.2%
Chayce Crouch run for 4 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
41.3%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for 5 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
41.3%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+6
40.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 28 , Nacarius Fant returns for 6 yds to the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
42.2%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to LANE, Xavier, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Hayes,Ahmari) 12 yards to the WKU40, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
41.5%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
41.2%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-15
41.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dennis Edwards) to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 19
OWN 31
0
42.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
43.1%
Jake Collins punt for 34 yds, downed at the Illin 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:5942% → 51%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
42.4%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
42.3%
Mike Epstein run for 10 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
43.3%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
43.4%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for 5 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
43.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
44.8%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
44.7%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 9 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+13
44.5%
Mike Epstein run for 13 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
45.1%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Nathan Echard for 5 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+8
45.1%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 8 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
45.1%
Mike Epstein run for 8 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
45.1%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
44.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
50.8%
Chase McLaughlin 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
48.3%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
47.9%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 6 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-5
47.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
48.7%
Mike White pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
49.0%
Jake Collins punt for 45 yds, downed at the Illin 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
53.2%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Julian Jones) to the Illin 12Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 20
OWN 12
-5
53.1%
Chayce Crouch run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 7 Chayce Crouch fumbled, recovered by Illin Chayce CrouchSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 25
OWN 7
+6
52.8%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 6 yds to the Illin 13Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 19
OWN 13
0
52.1%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 19
OWN 13
0
51.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2051% → 48%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
49.5%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+4
50.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
50.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
52.0%
Jake Collins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mike Dudek at the Illin 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:4955% → 58%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
54.9%
Crouch,Chayce pass incomplete to Epstein,Mike, PENALTY WKU pass interference (KEY, Devon) 15 yards to the ILL30, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
55.3%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for no gain to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Joel Iyiegbuniwe) to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
57.3%
Chayce Crouch run for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 39 Chayce Crouch fumbled, recovered by Illin Chayce CrouchSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 16
OWN 39
-1
55.8%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 38Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+20
54.6%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 20 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
57.8%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
57.6%
Mike Epstein run for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
57.0%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Mike Dudek, broken up by Leverick JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
58.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 31 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for no gain to the WKent 4 Nacarius Fant fumbled, recovered by WKent Nacarius FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13INT TD
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:1342% → 31%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
57.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+10
69.5%
Julian Jones 10 Yd Interception Return (Chase McLaughlin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:1833% → 37%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
67.3%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to YELDER, Deon (Williams,B.), PENALTY WKU holding (66) 10 yards to the WKU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+34
68.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 19 yds to the ILLINOIS 48 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, targeting (Tre Watson) to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
63.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 8 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Cameron Watkins) to the Illin 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
63.5%
Mike White sacked by Bobby Roundtree for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 9 Mike White fumbled, recovered by Illin Jamal Milan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:2271% → 74%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
71.0%
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 10 Mike Epstein fumbled, recovered by Illin Mike EpsteinSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+1
72.6%
Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Illin 11Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 5
OWN 14
+1
71.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 31 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 1 yd to the WKent 15 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (Ta'Corian Darden) to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+3
74.2%
Austin Roberts run for 3 yds to the Illin 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
68.1%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 9 yds to the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 6:4172% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
71.6%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+15
71.5%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for 15 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
71.7%
Mike Epstein run for 11 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
72.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for 5 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+5
72.8%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
73.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 7 yds to the WKent 39 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 13
OPP 49
0
72.5%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+5
72.3%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+16
72.2%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Mike Dudek for 16 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
73.1%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
73.0%
Mike Epstein run for 9 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+5
72.3%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
73.1%
Chayce Crouch run for 2 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
73.1%
Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
93.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
15 plays · 39 yds · 3:518% → 6%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.1%
Quinton Baker run for 9 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
91.7%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
91.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
91.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, sideline interference (5 Yards) to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
91.7%
Mike White pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
50
-1
91.6%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+8
91.7%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 8 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+17
91.6%
Mike White pass complete to Deon Yelder for 17 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
90.6%
FERBY, D'Andre rush for no gain to the ILL26 (Adesanya,Sean;Williams,B.), PENALTY WKU holding (SIMS, Jimmie) 10 yards to the ILL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 20
OPP 36
0
91.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
91.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 20
OPP 36
0
94.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 20
OPP 36
0
94.4%
Jake Collins punt for 27 yds, downed at the Illin 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
95.2%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 11
-2
95.2%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Chris Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 9Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+9
95.2%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 9 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 1
OWN 18
-5
94.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Illin 13Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 6
OWN 13
+62
94.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 52 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 12 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:564% → 3%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+23
96.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 23 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.7%
Mike White pass complete to Marquez Trigg for 6 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Nate HobbsSimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+13
95.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
96.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 3 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-9
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WKent Quinton BakerSimilar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
96.7%
Jake Collins punt for 38 yds , Mike Dudek returns for no gain to the Illin 4 Mike Dudek fumbled, recovered by Illin Mike DudekSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
97.6%
Mike Epstein run for 7 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+5
97.6%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
97.6%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+1
97.6%
Chayce Crouch pass intercepted Antwon Kincade return for 1 yd to the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:342% → 10%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
97.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+5
97.7%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the Illin 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
97.7%
Mike White pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 8 yds to the Illin 10Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+8
97.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the Illin 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the Illin 2Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.2%
Mike White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
13 plays · 52 yds · 2:4993% → 96%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
93.1%
Mike Epstein run for 8 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+3
93.3%
Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.2%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 8 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
93.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
95.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 35Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+8
95.5%
Chayce Crouch run for 8 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+16
95.8%
Chayce Crouch run for 16 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
95.9%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
96.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 2 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+1
96.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
95.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
96.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 15 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-13
95.8%
Mike White sacked by Bobby Roundtree for a loss of 13 yards to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 23
OWN 16
0
96.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 23
OWN 16
+12
96.3%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 12 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
96.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:5198% → 99%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-1
98.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+6
98.6%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
98.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:19
Chayce Crouch run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)
+20
TD · Q2 1:21
Julian Jones 10 Yd Interception Return (Chase McLaughlin Kick)
+11.7
FUMBLE · Q2 0:58
Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 10 Mike Epstein fumbled, recovered by Illin Mike Epstein
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com