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AKR

Akron 0 at Penn State 52

PSU
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:03 · Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds, downed at the Akron 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+9.7Home team on offense+34.2Score differential+30.6Blowout margin+17.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.7Garbage-time factor+13.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:49: Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:47: Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 10 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST down — PSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:48: Trace McSorley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:49: Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:23: Saquon Barkley run for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:31AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:13AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:51AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:00PSU 4th & 2 at AKR 21, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:39AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:19AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:14AKR 4th & 23 at AKR 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.3%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:32PSU 4th & 2 at AKR 37, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:32PSU 4th & 3 at AKR 46, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:04AKR 4th & 2 at PSU 46, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:01PSU 4th & 9 at AKR 29, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:25AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 21, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:16AKR 4th & 26 at AKR 40, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:11AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 29, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:03PSU 4th & 14 at PSU 23, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:42AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 33, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 0:49PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:48PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:49PSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23PSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:02PSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:20PSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:293% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.5%
Warren Ball run for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 2 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
97.3%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
97.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kevin GladneySimilar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+4
97.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 4 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+9
97.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 46 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 9 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2INT
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:1097% → 97%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
97.2%
Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+15
97.1%
Trace McSorley run for 15 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
97.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 16 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
97.0%
Trace McSorley run for 10 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
96.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 15 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
96.7%
Trace McSorley pass intercepted, touchback. Zach Guiser return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
96.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Young for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for no gain Warren Ball fumbled, forced by Ryan Buchholz, recovered by Akron Lavonne GauthneySimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+5
96.6%
PENN ST Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+61
96.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 61 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:293% → 4%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
96.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Newman Williams for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-2
96.6%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+13
96.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 13 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.4%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
96.4%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Amani Oruwariye return for no gain to the PnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4996% → 97%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
96.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
96.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 10 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
96.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+29
96.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 29 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
96.2%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+3
96.1%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+17
95.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 17 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
95.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Andre RobinsonSimilar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:584% → 4%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
96.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for 3 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
96.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 12 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
96.2%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (Tra'Von Chapman) to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-4
96.3%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Curtis Cothran and Tyrell Chavis for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+10
96.3%
Warren Ball run for 10 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+42
96.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 42 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 42 yds to the Akron 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4797% → 96%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
96.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 10 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
96.6%
Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+1
96.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
96.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
96.3%
Tyler Davis 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
96.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 12 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
95.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 13 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
95.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Warren BallSimilar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
95.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Warren BallSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
96.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:5196% → 98%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+80
96.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 80 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
96.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Akron 4Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.2%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
97.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:3098% → 99%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
98.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 28 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.2%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-10
98.2%
Sanders, Miles rush for 4 yards to the AKRON30, PENALTY PENNST illegal block (Charles, Irvin) 10 yards to the AKRON44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+35
98.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 35 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
98.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · -2 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.3%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
99.6%
Warren Ball run for 5 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
99.4%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 14
OWN 26
-1
99.5%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-8
99.5%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Ryan Buchholz and Torrence Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 23
OWN 17
+15
99.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 15 yds to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:3799% → 100%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
99.3%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 49Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+14
99.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 14 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
99.5%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+7
99.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 7 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.6%
Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+19
99.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 19 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 4 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
99.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+1
99.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+1
99.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Warren Ball run for no gain to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 8 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+25
99.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 25 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+33
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 33 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Tommy Stevens for 7 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-6
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
99.8%
Tyler Davis 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:310% → 0%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.8%
Warren Ball run for 7 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 4 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.9%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 12
OWN 24
-10
99.9%
Woodson, Thomas pass complete to Ball, Warren for 13 yards to the AKRON37, PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 22
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Andre Williams run for 7 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds, downed at the PnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.9%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+43
99.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 43 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
99.9%
McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Hamilton, DaeSean, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (Butler, Denzel) 15 yards to the AKRON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.Similar
Q3 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 5 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+8
99.9%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Gasser, Nick punt 34 yards to the PENNST25, downed, PENALTY PENNST personal foul (Windsor, Robert) 15 yards to the PENNST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AKRON.Similar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
99.9%
Nelson, Kato pass complete to Smith, Kwadarrius for 13 yards to the PENNST31, PENALTY AKRON personal foul (Ericksen, Stephen) 15 yards to the AKRON41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 25
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (Kwadarrius Smith) to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 30
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 22
OWN 44
-1
99.9%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jarvis Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 23
OWN 43
-3
100.0%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 26
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
99.9%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 26 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 7 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Deon'Tae Moore) to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Tommy Stevens pass complete to Brandon Polk for 4 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+9
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 5 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Personal Foul (Deon'Tae Moore) to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Tommy Stevens run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 47 yds , Troy Apke returns for 3 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
Andre Robinson run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 13
OWN 24
-1
100.0%
Tommy Stevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 23Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Blake Gillikin punt for 44 yds, downed at the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
100.0%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (Xavier Quigley) to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Nick Johns pass complete to Nate Stewart for 4 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Deltron Sands run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Nick Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds, downed at the PnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
100.0%
Miles Sanders run for 16 yds to the PENNST 46 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PnSt 44Similar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 4
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Tommy Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Blake Gillikin punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:060% → 0%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Shaka Toney) to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
100.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 11 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
100.0%
Kato Nelson run for 13 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
100.0%
Kato Nelson run for 5 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:48
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 4:49
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 0:49
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com