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Ohio State 49 at Indiana 21

IU
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:17: Antonio Williams 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:57: J.T. Barrett 2 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +14.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:56: Ian Thomas 2 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +18.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:38: Parris Campbell 74 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +20.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:47: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 59 yds for a TD, (J. Barrett Run For Two-point Conversion) — OSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 10:27OSU 4th & 7 at IU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:45OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47IU 4th & 10 at IU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24IU 4th & 12 at IU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:43OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:36IU 4th & 6 at OSU 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:13OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 17, down 4
    Close callPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:49IU 4th & 1 at OSU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−0.8
    70% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:15OSU 4th & 2 at IU 2, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:26IU 4th & 16 at OSU 38, up 1
    Close callPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:44OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:19IU 4th & 20 at IU 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 14:07IU 4th & 9 at IU 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:51OSU 4th & 2 at IU 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−2.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:42OSU 4th & 1 at IU 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−2.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−12.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:40IU 4th & 6 at IU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:33IU 4th & 2 at IU 20, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:42OSU 4th & 2 at IU 42, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−2.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−1.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:55OSU 4th & 1 at IU 5, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:50IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:12IU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:17OSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:57OSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:56IU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:38OSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:47OSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:08OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:55OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:2793% → 91%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
7.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
7.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 5 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+18
7.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
50
+3
7.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
7.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+17
7.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 17 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
8.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 15 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
8.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
8.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for no gain to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
8.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
8.6%
Sean Nuernberger 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 2:309% → 11%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
8.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 13 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
8.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
8.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+28
8.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 28 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
9.2%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
9.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
9.4%
Richard Lagow run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+2
9.4%
Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+10
9.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 10 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
9.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 6 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+18
10.6%
Ian Thomas 18 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5890% → 89%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
10.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
10.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
11.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5211% → 11%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
10.9%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+5
11.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 5 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
11.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mike MajetteSimilar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
11.1%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5588% → 87%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
11.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 6 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+4
11.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
12.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 1 yd to the OhSt 38Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
12.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to J.K. DobbinsSimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+5
12.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Antonio Williams for 5 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
12.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:1113% → 13%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
12.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ian ThomasSimilar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+28
12.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 28 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
13.2%
Richard Lagow sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
13.2%
Richard Lagow run for no gain to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
13.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
13.0%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 45 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3486% → 85%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
13.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
13.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
14.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
15.3%
Drue Chrisman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5814% → 16%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
14.3%
Peyton Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
14.8%
Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+6
14.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 6 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
15.9%
Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
15.9%
Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
16.0%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
15.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1683% → 82%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
16.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 11Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+5
16.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 5 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+1
17.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
18.3%
Drue Chrisman punt for 50 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10INT
12 plays · 53 yds · 1:4217% → 19%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
16.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 4 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+15
17.2%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Thomas, Ian, PENALTY OHIOST personal foul 15 yards to the OHIOST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
17.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 2 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+14
17.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Taysir Mack for 14 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
18.4%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
18.6%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+9
18.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 9 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+4
18.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 4 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
19.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
19.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
19.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+40
19.0%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Jordan Fuller return for 40 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11FG
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:0782% → 83%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
18.5%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Brown Jr., Andre) 15 yards to the INDIANA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+35
18.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 35 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
17.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
17.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
18.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
17.2%
Sean Nuernberger 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 1:5819% → 27%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
18.5%
Morgan Ellison run for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
18.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+25
18.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 25 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
20.5%
Mike Majette run for 9 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+19
21.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 19 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
21.8%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the OhSt 26Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+18
22.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 18 yds to the OhSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
22.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
22.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
27.3%
Simmie Cobbs Jr. 8 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4973% → 80%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
27.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
27.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 7 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
26.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
27.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+6
27.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
27.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 27 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
27.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.7%
Antonio Williams 1 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 2:3424% → 26%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
24.2%
Morgan Ellison run for 4 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+20
24.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 20 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
26.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 2 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+14
26.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 14 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
27.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
27.9%
Richard Lagow sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+4
26.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 4 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 11
OPP 33
-5
25.7%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 16
OPP 38
-5
25.3%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Raheem Layne) to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 21
OPP 43
+5
25.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sam Hubbard) to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 16
OPP 38
0
25.6%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3675% → 73%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
25.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
25.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
25.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
26.9%
Drue Chrisman punt for 62 yds, downed at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:1127% → 27%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
26.7%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Hale, Donavan (TEAM), PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Ward, Denzel) 15 yards to the INDIANA30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
27.4%
Richard Lagow sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+15
27.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 15 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
29.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 1 yd to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
29.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-11
28.1%
Richard Lagow sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 11 yards to the Ind 33 INDIANA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Richard Lagow) to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 20
OWN 33
+6
26.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 36 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 6 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:1574% → 74%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
25.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-7
26.5%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Robert McCray III for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4828% → 27%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.8%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
28.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Cole Gest for no gain to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
27.2%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+52
26.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 42 yds, downed at the INDIANA 32 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:0972% → 72%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
27.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+24
27.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 24 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
25.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
26.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
26.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
27.8%
K.J. Hill run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5632% → 31%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
31.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-1
32.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+4
31.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 4:1469% → 84%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
30.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 12 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
30.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
29.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+28
31.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 28 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
29.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
28.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+12
30.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
28.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 6 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
29.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
30.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+3
32.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
30.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
30.3%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Mack, Austin, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Riggins, A'Shon) 8 yards to the INDIANA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.8%
J.T. Barrett 2 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 1:4721% → 44%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
21.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
21.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+17
20.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 17 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
23.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+19
23.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 19 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
25.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+16
25.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 16 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
25.8%
Mike Majette run for 1 yd to the OhSt 2Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
44.1%
Ian Thomas 2 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
18.4%
Parris Campbell 74 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5021% → 20%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
21.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
20.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+4
20.0%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+1
19.7%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 49 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4481% → 93%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
18.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
18.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 6 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
17.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+59
7.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 59 yds for a TD, (J. Barrett Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:508% → 8%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
8.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 9 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 1
OWN 21
0
8.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 21
-1
8.5%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 0:33
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
8.3%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 41 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1893% → 94%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
6.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
6.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
50
+5
5.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 5 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
5.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
5.7%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
6.4%
Drue Chrisman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:268% → 9%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
8.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+12
8.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Cole Gest for 12 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
8.5%
Richard Lagow sacked by Jashon Cornell for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 11 Richard Lagow fumbled, forced by Jashon Cornell, recovered by OhSt Jonathon Cooper , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 29TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
1.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:212% → 2%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
1.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 9 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
2.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+7
2.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 7 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
1.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 11 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
2.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
2.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Morgan EllisonSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+17
1.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ryan Watercutter for 17 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 31TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 6:0599% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
1.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 5 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+14
1.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Luke Farrell for 14 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
1.2%
Parris Campbell run for 6 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
1.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+14
1.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 14 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.9%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+13
0.9%
Antonio Williams run for 13 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
0.7%
Antonio Williams run for 12 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
0.7%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
0.7%
Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
0.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Ind 5Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 32END OF GAME
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:410% → 0%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Morgan Ellison run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
0.1%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Morgan Ellison for 4 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
0.1%
Morgan Ellison run for 8 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Morgan Ellison run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
0.1%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+2
0.1%
Morgan Ellison run for 2 yds to the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:38
Parris Campbell 74 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
-20.5
TD · Q3 4:56
Ian Thomas 2 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick)
+18.3
TD · Q3 6:57
J.T. Barrett 2 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com