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ND

Notre Dame 20 at Stanford 38

STAN
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:46 · Jake Bailey punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.2Pregame prior−5.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:43: Trenton Irwin 29 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +6.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:48: Equanimeous St. Brown 75 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +14.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:46: Kaden Smith 19 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +21.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:21: Dalton Schultz 12 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +14.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:10: Cameron Scarlett 3 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick) — STAN win probability +7.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 9:56ND 4th & 4 at ND 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:19STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:09ND 4th & 15 at ND 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:43ND 4th & 1 at ND 22, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:10STAN 4th & 16 at STAN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:36ND 4th & 10 at STAN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:02STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:23STAN 4th & 7 at ND 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−10.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:34ND 4th & 16 at STAN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−3.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    48.2%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:06STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:23ND 4th & 12 at STAN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−13.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:30ND 4th & 5 at ND 30, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:07STAN 4th & 15 at STAN 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:49ND 4th & 14 at STAN 21, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:40ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:43STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:29STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:48ND Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:46STAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:21STAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:10STAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4244% → 44%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
43.8%
Bryce Love run for 12 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
43.9%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 6
50
0
44.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete, broken up by Nyles MorganSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 6
50
0
44.2%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5156% → 55%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
44.1%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
44.2%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+8
44.5%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
44.4%
Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
44.2%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-1
44.3%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 39Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+7
45.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 44 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 7 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0345% → 45%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
45.0%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
45.2%
Trevor Speights run for 6 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-1
45.3%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
45.0%
Jake Bailey punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4PUNT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:0955% → 54%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
45.3%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 13Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+2
45.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Nic Weishar for 2 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+8
46.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds to the NDame 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2746% → 46%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.3%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Khalid KareemSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
46.3%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-2
45.9%
K.J. Costello sacked by Jerry Tillery for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
45.5%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:3354% → 58%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
46.1%
Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
46.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+83
42.2%
Kevin Stepherson 83 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3942% → 49%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
42.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+21
42.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 21 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
43.0%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 5 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-1
43.0%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+15
42.8%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Crawford, Shaun) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
49.4%
Trenton Irwin 29 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2754% → 52%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.5%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
47.1%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Mustafa Branch and Mike Tyler for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 20Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
48.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for no gain to the Stanf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:3449% → 57%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
49.2%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+20
48.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 20 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
50.1%
Trevor Speights run for 6 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+26
50.8%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Kaden Smith for 26 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
51.0%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.8%
JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3045% → 43%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
54.6%
Brandon Wimbush run for 9 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 1
OWN 22
-1
54.0%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 21Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+1
55.4%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+15
56.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 48 yds , Trenton Irwin returns for 15 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:2458% → 57%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
57.8%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
58.1%
K.J. Costello run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 5
50
-15
58.8%
Speights, Trevor rush for 5 yards to the NOTREDAME45, PENALTY STANFORD personal foul (Hall, A.T.) 15 yards to the STANFORD35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 20
OWN 35
+4
56.8%
Trevor Speights run for 4 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
56.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 4:3042% → 48%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
57.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Durham SmytheSimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
58.2%
Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+8
59.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 8 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
58.4%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+6
57.2%
Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
57.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
58.2%
Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+13
58.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 13 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
56.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 8 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+4
56.3%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
55.5%
Brandon Wimbush run for 13 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
55.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Durham SmytheSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
55.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Alex Bars) to the Stanf 26Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+5
57.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Dexter Williams for 5 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
56.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
52.0%
Justin Yoon 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:2156% → 55%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
56.2%
Bryce Love run for 17 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
58.6%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+4
57.4%
K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 4 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
56.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
56.4%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Julian LoveSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
55.3%
Jake Bailey punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:1545% → 43%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
54.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 8 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
55.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase Claypool, broken up by Justin ReidSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
56.9%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
42.9%
Equanimeous St. Brown 75 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:1345% → 53%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
45.1%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
44.7%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 11 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
47.0%
Bryce Love run for 31 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
49.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 1 yd to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+3
49.2%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 3 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+16
47.6%
Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Pride Jr., Troy) 16 yards to the NOTREDAME7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
49.4%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the NDame 7Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
49.5%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Julian LoveSimilar
Q3 10:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
47.7%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby ParkinsonSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
53.4%
Jet Toner 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 3:4151% → 49%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
48.7%
Brandon Wimbush run for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
46.9%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
47.8%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
45.9%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
46.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
45.9%
Dexter Williams run for 14 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
45.3%
Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to St. Brown, Equanimeous, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (St. Brown, Equanimeous) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 25
OWN 45
+3
47.8%
Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 22
OWN 48
+6
48.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 16
OPP 46
0
48.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
50.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds, downed at the Stanf 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1952% → 48%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
52.4%
K.J. Costello run for no gain to the Stanf 1 K.J. Costello fumbled, recovered by Stanf K.J. CostelloSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
51.0%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 2Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+5
49.1%
Trevor Speights run for 5 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+41
48.0%
Jake Bailey punt for 53 yds , Chris Finke returns for 41 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19FG
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:3758% → 61%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
41.6%
Adams, Josh rush for 1 yard to the STANFORD18, PENALTY NOTREDAME illegal shift 5 yards to the STANFORD24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-5
42.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Mike McGlinchey) to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+10
43.0%
Kevin Stepherson run for 10 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
42.1%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 11
OPP 20
-1
44.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
39.4%
Justin Yoon 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:2242% → 71%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
41.5%
K.J. Costello pass complete to Donald Stewart for 10 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
46.7%
Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the STANFORD 46 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Julian Love) to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.1%
K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
48.9%
Bryce Love run for 10 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
49.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-2
49.2%
Trevor Speights run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 19Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
70.5%
Kaden Smith 19 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass intercepted Curtis Robinson return for 6 yds to the NDame 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:0972% → 87%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
72.0%
Bryce Love run for 14 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
72.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
86.7%
Dalton Schultz 12 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4687% → 97%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
86.9%
K.J. Costello sacked by Jonathan Bonner for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 21Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+8
86.6%
Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the NDame 13Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+10
88.8%
Bryce Love run for 10 yds to the NDame 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.7%
Cameron Scarlett 3 Yd Run (Jet Toner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24INT
15 plays · 51 yds · 4:365% → 3%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.4%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
95.3%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
95.4%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Harrison Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+11
95.8%
Ian Book run for 11 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
95.4%
Ian Book sacked by Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+12
95.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 12 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
95.6%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
95.7%
Ian Book run for no gain to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+11
96.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 11 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
96.6%
Brandon Wimbush run for 10 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase Claypool, broken up by Malik AntoineSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
96.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Durham SmytheSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
97.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass intercepted, touchback. Frank Buncom return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:0398% → 99%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
97.7%
Speights, Trevor rush for 13 yards to the STANFORD33, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the STANFORD10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+4
97.6%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 16
OWN 14
-1
98.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 13Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+2
98.4%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q4 4:07
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+20
98.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 65 yds , Chris Finke returns for 20 yds to the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:082% → 1%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
98.1%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Mike Tyler for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+10
98.4%
Brandon Wimbush run for 10 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+20
98.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Miles Boykin for 20 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
97.9%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+16
99.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 16 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-4
99.2%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Justin Reid for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 14
OPP 21
0
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 20Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:46
Kaden Smith 19 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)
+21.3
TD · Q4 12:21
Dalton Schultz 12 Yd pass from K.J. Costello (Jet Toner Kick)
+14.4
TD · Q3 14:48
Equanimeous St. Brown 75 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)
-14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com