Try the model
NAVY

Navy 17 at Notre Dame 24

ND
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Notre Dame Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ND
modelND aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.8ND 87.0%Owen White 39 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q2 12:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:21 · Owen White 39 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+34.2Home team on offense−1.2Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.2Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:08: Zach Abey 1 Yd Run (Owen White Kick) — NAVY win probability +9.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:08: Brandon Wimbush 2 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +8.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:01: Craig Scott 12 Yd pass from Zach Abey (Owen White Kick) — NAVY win probability +15.5 pts (now 45%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:33: Kevin Stepherson 30 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +17.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:49: Kevin Stepherson 9 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +15.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 4NAVY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:31ND 4th & 2 at ND 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27NAVY 4th & 1 at ND 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22NAVY 4th & 5 at ND 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:31ND 4th & 9 at NAVY 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:21NAVY 4th & 6 at ND 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:08ND 4th & 5 at NAVY 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:10NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:57NAVY 4th & 4 at ND 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:46NAVY 4th & 2 at ND 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−2.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:49NAVY 4th & 6 at ND 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:20NAVY 4th & 4 at ND 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%−0.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−12.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:53ND 4th & 2 at ND 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.4
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:21NAVY 4th & 5 at ND 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−3.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−6.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NAVY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:08NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:08ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:01NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:33ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:49ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1993% → 93%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
93.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
92.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 5 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+3
92.8%
Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
92.6%
Tyler Newsome punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 33 yds · 5:537% → 9%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
92.6%
Garret Lewis run for 2 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
92.4%
Garret Lewis run for 3 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+3
92.2%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 3 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+5
92.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
50
+5
91.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 5 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
91.7%
Jahmaal Daniel run for 3 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
91.6%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the NDame 41Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
91.5%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.2%
Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Darryl BonnerSimilar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
91.2%
Garret Lewis run for 1 yd to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+4
91.0%
John Brown III run for 4 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+4
90.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the NDame 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:4491% → 91%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
91.0%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
90.9%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
90.9%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+21
90.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 21 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
91.0%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+17
90.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 17 yds to the Navy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
90.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd to the Navy 12Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
90.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
90.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
90.7%
Justin Yoon 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 6:569% → 13%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
90.6%
Zach Abey run for 6 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+4
90.3%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
90.1%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 9 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
89.6%
Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
89.3%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the NDame 48Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
89.1%
Jahmaal Daniel run for 2 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+7
89.0%
Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
88.6%
Darryl Bonner run for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
88.3%
John Brown III run for 6 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
88.2%
John Brown III run for 1 yd to the NDame 25Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
87.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
87.9%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
87.0%
Owen White 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:5488% → 87%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
87.9%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
87.8%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+9
87.5%
Brandon Wimbush run for 9 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
87.8%
Wimbush, Brandon rush for 30 yards to the NAVY33, PENALTY NOTREDAME personal foul (Bars, Alex) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+21
87.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Miles Boykin for 21 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+8
88.0%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
88.0%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
88.0%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
87.7%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the Navy 44Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
86.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Craig Scott at the Navy 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5015% → 15%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
85.4%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the Navy 14Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+1
84.7%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 1 yd to the Navy 15Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 2
OWN 15
-2
84.6%
Zach Abey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 13Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 4
OWN 13
-5
84.9%
Owen White punt for 43 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 39 Chris Finke fumbled, recovered by Navy Taylor HeflinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 7TD
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:5618% → 33%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
82.1%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
81.6%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+2
81.4%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+5
82.6%
Brandon Colon run for 5 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
80.6%
Josh Brown run for 4 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+2
80.1%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
79.3%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the NDame 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
78.2%
Josh Brown run for 7 yds to the NDame 10Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+6
77.2%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
76.8%
Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the NDame 1Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.2%
Zach Abey 1 Yd Run (Owen White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 0:4873% → 84%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
72.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 23 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
74.7%
Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+23
76.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 23 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
76.2%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Jarvis Polu and Justin Norton for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 13Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
75.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 0
OPP 13
+11
73.7%
Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to Stepherson, Kevin, PENALTY NAVY pass interference (Wooten, Tyris) 11 yards to the NAVY2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
75.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
Brandon Wimbush 2 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10TD
17 plays · 72 yds · 7:4421% → 45%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
78.6%
Zach Abey run for 13 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
76.9%
Zach Abey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 36Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 15
OWN 36
0
78.1%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Brandon ColonSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+19
78.8%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 19 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
75.1%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
74.6%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 5 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-1
74.0%
Zach Abey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 37Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+2
75.3%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
72.3%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Brandon ColonSimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
72.2%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+1
72.9%
Jahmaal Daniel run for 1 yd to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+21
74.5%
Zach Abey pass complete to Anthony Gargiulo for 21 yds to the NDame 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.9%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the NDame 10Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
70.2%
Josh Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 12Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
54.8%
Craig Scott 12 Yd pass from Zach Abey (Owen White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:1360% → 81%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
60.4%
Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+5
61.1%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
60.6%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+30
62.6%
Josh Adams run for 30 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
80.5%
Kevin Stepherson 30 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:0027% → 33%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
72.6%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 10 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
71.0%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
68.5%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 9 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
67.4%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 9 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
66.8%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
66.4%
Zach Abey run for 10 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
64.1%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 1 yd to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
64.0%
Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+2
64.9%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 2 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
67.2%
Owen White 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:1173% → 92%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
72.8%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+23
73.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 23 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
76.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Miles Boykin for 12 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
76.5%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+7
76.3%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
77.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
77.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 29Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+18
75.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 18 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
77.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the Navy 9Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
76.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
91.9%
Kevin Stepherson 9 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:1811% → 12%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.4%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 8 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
87.8%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 1 yd to the Navy 34Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
88.5%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
88.1%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 8 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
86.7%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
86.2%
Darryl Bonner run for 8 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
85.9%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 1 yd to the NDame 38Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
86.3%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
87.7%
Zach Abey pass intercepted Troy Pride Jr. return for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1792% → 92%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
91.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
91.9%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
92.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
91.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds, downed at the Navy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:2710% → 9%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.2%
Darryl Bonner run for 2 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
90.3%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Navy 36Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+8
90.7%
Zach Abey pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 8 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
89.5%
Bonner, Darryl rush for loss of 2 yards to the NAVY42, PENALTY NOTREDAME personal foul 15 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.Similar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
88.1%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
88.3%
Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
88.2%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
87.6%
NAVY Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+6
89.0%
Zach Abey run for 6 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
86.8%
Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
88.0%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the NDame 25Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 5
OPP 25
0
90.6%
Darryl Bonner pass incomplete to Tyler CarmonaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:1696% → 96%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:33
Kevin Stepherson 30 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)
+17.9
TD · Q3 7:01
Craig Scott 12 Yd pass from Zach Abey (Owen White Kick)
-15.5
TD · Q4 11:49
Kevin Stepherson 9 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Justin Yoon Kick)
+15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com