Try the model
WAKE

Wake Forest 37 at Notre Dame 48

ND
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Notre Dame Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ND
modelND aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-5.4ND 92.8%Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD(Mike Weaver KICK)AWAY 37 - HOME 48 · Q4 0:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:51 · Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 205Pregame prior+0.6Home team on offense+19.8Score differential+8.3Garbage-time factor+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:00: Tony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +4.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:13: John Wolford run for 20 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:38: Brandon Wimbush run for 50 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +3.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:22: Ian Book pass complete to Nic Weishar for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +6.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:51: Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:57ND 4th & 17 at WAKE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46WAKE 4th & 9 at ND 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:56WAKE 4th & 12 at ND 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18ND 4th & 6 at WAKE 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:25WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:53ND 4th & 5 at WAKE 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:27WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11ND 4th & 9 at WAKE 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:09WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:19WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:48ND 4th & 1 at WAKE 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:19ND 4th & 4 at WAKE 4, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:13WAKE 4th & 9 at ND 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:26ND 4th & 2 at WAKE 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:22WAKE 4th & 5 at ND 26, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:27ND 4th & 1 at ND 46, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 6:26ND Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:00ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:13WAKE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:38ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:22ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:54WAKE Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:04ND Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:30WAKE Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:39ND Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:45WAKE Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:51WAKE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:5484% → 84%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
84.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 24 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
84.3%
Josh Adams run for 13 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
84.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
84.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 13
OPP 41
-4
84.0%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Ja'Cquez Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
83.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 43 yds, downed at the WFrst 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2FG
15 plays · 82 yds · 4:0716% → 18%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
83.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+5
83.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 5 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+6
83.7%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
83.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+10
83.5%
John Wolford run for 10 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
83.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 7 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+8
83.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 8 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
83.0%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-5
82.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Anderson) to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+13
82.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 13 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+32
82.5%
Matt Colburn run for 32 yds to the NDame 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
82.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
82.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 1 yd to the NDame 16Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
82.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck WadeSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
82.1%
Mike Weaver 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:0983% → 83%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
82.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
82.5%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+12
82.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 12 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
82.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Durham Smythe for 23 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
82.3%
Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+1
82.2%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
82.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 3:1618% → 18%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
82.5%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+9
82.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 9 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.1%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
81.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 9 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
81.6%
Matt Colburn run for 10 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
81.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Anderson) to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-3
81.4%
John Wolford sacked by Te'von Coney for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 49Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+6
81.5%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
81.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
81.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:2882% → 83%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
81.6%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+35
81.2%
Kevin Stepherson run for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
50
-2
81.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 48 Brandon Wimbush fumbled, forced by Demetrius Kemp, recovered by NDame Robert HainseySimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+16
81.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 16 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
81.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 15 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
81.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the WFrst 20Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+3
81.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
81.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cole KmetSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
83.0%
Justin Yoon 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
82.6%
John Wolford pass intercepted Julian Love return for 25 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2414% → 14%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 12 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
85.8%
John Wolford run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
86.1%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
86.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
86.2%
Dom Maggio punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:2487% → 87%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
87.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 40 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Nic WeisharSimilar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
87.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 8 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-3
87.5%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
86.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown, broken up by Ja'Cquez WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:3515% → 20%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
85.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 12 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+37
85.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 37 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
79.6%
John Wolford run for 20 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:2982% → 87%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
82.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 13 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
83.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
83.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
83.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 5 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
83.4%
Wimbush, Brandon pass complete to Claypool, Chase for 12 yards to the WAKEFOREST28, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Mustipher, Sam) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 20
50
+50
87.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for 50 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:0514% → 14%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 17 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman, broken up by Julian LoveSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
85.8%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
85.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty Washington, broken up by Julian LoveSimilar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
85.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:0486% → 86%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
86.2%
Brandon Wimbush run for no gain to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
86.1%
Kevin Stepherson run for 7 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+13
85.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Durham Smythe for 13 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
86.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 17 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
87.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for 13 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
87.2%
Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
87.1%
Dexter Williams run for no gain to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
86.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
86.3%
Justin Yoon 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5514% → 14%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
86.0%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
86.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
86.2%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
86.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 57 yds, downed at the NDame 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15TD
11 plays · 99 yds · 2:4786% → 96%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
86.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Mike McGlinchey) to the NDame 1Similar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
86.6%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the NDame 6Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+7
86.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
87.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 12 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.4%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd to the NDame 26Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+45
87.0%
Deon McIntosh run for 45 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
88.5%
Brandon Wimbush run for 28 yds to the WFrst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Nic Weishar for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
94.3%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:285% → 5%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
94.8%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 17Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+6
95.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 6 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
95.1%
Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+12
95.3%
Dom Maggio punt for 45 yds , Chris Finke returns for 12 yds to the NDame 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:5196% → 97%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
96.3%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-5
96.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Mike McGlinchey) to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
96.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+14
96.2%
Brandon Wimbush run for 14 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
96.6%
Deon McIntosh run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+11
96.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Deon McIntosh for 11 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
96.4%
Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+27
96.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 27 yds to the WFrst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the WFrst 4Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
96.7%
Justin Yoon 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 2:483% → 3%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
96.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 7 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
96.7%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+29
96.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 14 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jalen Elliott) to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
96.8%
Wolford, John pass incomplete to Bachman, Alex, PENALTY WAKEFOREST illegal formation 5 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+11
96.7%
Matt Colburn run for 11 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
96.3%
Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-2
96.5%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+3
96.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 3 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
97.1%
Mike Weaver 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3798% → 98%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+32
97.6%
Dexter Williams run for 32 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson, broken up by Ja'Sir TaylorSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+4
97.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
98.0%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:272% → 6%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+21
97.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 21 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
97.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
97.3%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
97.6%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
94.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 30 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 0:4096% → 99%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
95.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
95.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson, broken up by Luke MastersonSimilar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+44
95.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 44 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 34 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:251% → 5%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 9 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+21
98.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 21 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
98.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 16 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
98.7%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
98.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
95.2%
Matt Colburn run for 24 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 3:3397% → 100%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
96.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Nic Weishar for 4 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+6
96.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 6 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 25 Ian Book fumbled, recovered by NDame Quenton NelsonSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+43
97.2%
Ian Book run for 43 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
97.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 5 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+8
97.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 8 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
97.6%
Deon McIntosh run for 5 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+12
97.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Nic Weishar for 12 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:361% → 3%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
99.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 15 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.3%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
99.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.5%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+12
99.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 12 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.4%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
99.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari Hines, broken up by Nick ColemanSimilar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+5
99.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 5 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
99.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 10 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
96.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Jack Freudenthal for 11 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0898% → 98%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
97.7%
Ian Book run for 11 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
97.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-7
98.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 3 yds to the NDame 45 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chris Finke) to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+11
98.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 11 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
98.2%
Tyler Newsome punt for 44 yds , Tabari Hines returns for no gain to the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:292% → 7%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
98.2%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
98.2%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 13Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+10
98.3%
Matt Colburn run for 10 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.3%
Kendall Hinton run for 7 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
98.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Alex Bachman for 5 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
98.2%
Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+21
98.3%
Isaiah Robinson run for 21 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Jack FreudenthalSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
98.2%
Kendall Hinton pass complete to Scotty Washington for 12 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
97.9%
Kendall Hinton run for 20 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
97.8%
Kendall Hinton run for 2 yds to the NDame 11Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-2
97.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 13Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+11
98.2%
Kendall Hinton run for 11 yds to the NDame 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:3397% → 96%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Ian Book pass complete to Nic Weishar for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 10:13
John Wolford run for 20 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK)
-5.5
TD · Q4 0:51
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Mike Weaver KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com