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M-OH

Miami (OH) 17 at Notre Dame 52

ND
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:34 · Kyle Kramer punt for 25 yds, downed at the NDame 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+26.2Home team on offense+16.7Score differential+11.8Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:06: Josh Adams run for 59 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +1.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:38: Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:50: Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 14 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:09: Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +2.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:37: Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Miles Boykin for 54 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:19ND 4th & 11 at M-OH 37, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:06M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25ND 4th & 19 at ND 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 29, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:09ND 4th & 3 at ND 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:09ND 4th & 5 at M-OH 26, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:34M-OH 4th & 2 at ND 44, down 24
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00M-OH 4th & 5 at ND 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36ND 4th & 5 at ND 34, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:40M-OH 4th & 2 at ND 19, down 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:26ND 4th & 12 at M-OH 27, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:05M-OH 4th & 6 at ND 22, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ND 4th & 4 at ND 37, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:20M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:10M-OH 4th & 6 at ND 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:21ND 4th & 3 at ND 27, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 7M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:35ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:36ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:59M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 6:06ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:38ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:50ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 10:09M-OH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:37ND Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:10ND Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:2591% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+73
91.2%
Josh Adams run for 73 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2INT
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
91.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 22 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, RO (16 Yards) to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for no gain to the NDame 37Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+42
91.2%
Gus Ragland pass intercepted Greer Martini return for 42 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:4391% → 91%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
91.1%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Ikeem Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
91.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
91.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+21
91.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 21 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
91.1%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+8
91.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:379% → 10%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
91.2%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+21
91.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
50
0
91.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
50
+2
91.2%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+5
91.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+9
91.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 9 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
91.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+34
90.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 34 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:5390% → 92%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for no gain to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
90.3%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
90.4%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
91.7%
Josh Adams run for 59 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete, broken up by Khalid KareemSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
91.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
91.2%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to GARDNER, James, PENALTY ND pass interference (WATKINS) 15 yards to the MIAMI43, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
91.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 4 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-3
91.0%
Gus Ragland sacked by Shaun Crawford and Jerry Tillery for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
91.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 33 yds, downed at the NDame 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
91.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
91.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-9
91.3%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 14Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 19
OWN 14
0
91.2%
Tyler Newsome punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -13 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
90.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (Gus Ragland) to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
90.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Nick WatkinsSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-5
90.9%
Gus Ragland sacked by Jerry Tillery for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 30 Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by NDame Jay Hayes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:3592% → 94%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
91.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, RO (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
91.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
91.7%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
91.6%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
91.7%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:386% → 6%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
93.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
93.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-2
93.9%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+14
94.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 14 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+28
94.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 33 yds MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:2095% → 97%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
94.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 11 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
94.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 17 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
94.6%
WIMBUSH pass incomplete to ST. BROWN, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (HARDING, Heath) 15 yards to the MIAMI14, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
94.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
97.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 14 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:413% → 6%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
97.0%
Kenny Young run for 20 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
96.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 13 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
96.7%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
96.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 6 yds to the NDame 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:0095% → 96%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
95.0%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 31Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+6
94.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+32
94.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 32 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
95.2%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
95.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
95.1%
Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
96.0%
Justin Yoon 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:355% → 4%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
95.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
95.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 7 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+9
95.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
95.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 7 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
95.0%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the NDame 44Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
95.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
95.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 25 yds, downed at the NDame 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:4297% → 99%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
96.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 7 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 3
OWN 26
-9
96.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd to the NDame 27 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive holding (Sam Mustipher) to the NDame 17Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+8
96.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 8 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+6
96.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 6 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
96.9%
WIMBUSH pass incomplete to CLAYPOOL, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 15 yards to the ND46, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Miles Boykin for 54 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+33
99.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 33 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 4 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
98.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
98.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by Julian LoveSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
98.6%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the NDame 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.5%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:361% → 1%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+24
99.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 24 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Julian LoveSimilar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+14
99.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 14 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
99.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Nick WatkinsSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+38
99.3%
Samuel Sloman 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Michael Young run for 6 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+34
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush run for 19 yds to the NOTREDAME 40 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, tripping (Brad Earnest) to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Nic Weishar, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-5
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Deon McIntosh for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
99.7%
Justin Yoon 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:210% → 0%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 9 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+27
99.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 27 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.7%
Jaylon Bester run for 11 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-8
99.6%
Gus Ragland sacked by Khalid Kareem for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 18
OPP 34
+4
99.7%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+8
99.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+4
99.8%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.8%
Ian Book run for 6 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
99.8%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the NDame 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Young for 6 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the NDame 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Deon McIntoshSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 19 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Dominique RobinsonSimilar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
99.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 10Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+48
99.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 48 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-12
99.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the NDame 38 NOTRE DAME Penalty, personal foul (-14 Yards) to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 22
OWN 48
+26
99.9%
Ian Book run for 26 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to C.J. SandersSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 26 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Jaylon Bester run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Grant Niemiec run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Hill run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 7
50
+1
99.9%
Grant Niemiec run for 1 yd to the NDame 49Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jaylon Bester, broken up by Jonathan JonesSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the NDame 21Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Jeff Riney punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Grant Niemiec run for no gain to the NDame 47Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Grant Niemiec run for 2 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Grant Niemiec run for 4 yds to the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:50
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 14 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q1 0:38
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 10:09
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com