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TEM

Temple 16 at Notre Dame 49

ND
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:27 · Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+41.5Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:50: Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +1.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:23: Austin Jones 36 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +1.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:13: Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Nic Weishar for 12 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:22: Tony Jones Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:05: Logan Marchi pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TEM win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 14:27TEM 4th & 8 at ND 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19ND 4th & 10 at ND 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:07TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:23TEM 4th & 4 at ND 19, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:09ND 4th & 7 at ND 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:51TEM 4th & 10 at ND 43, down 18
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00ND 4th & 10 at TEM 27, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:10ND 4th & 7 at TEM 30, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:10TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 37, down 18
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:25TEM 4th & 15 at ND 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:14ND 4th & 2 at TEM 41, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:36TEM 4th & 1 at midfield, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:44ND 4th & 1 at TEM 1, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:44TEM 4th & 3 at ND 31, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:27ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:50ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:13ND Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:09ND Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:09TEM Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:22ND Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:05TEM Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:44ND Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:29ND Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:3392% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
91.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 33 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
91.6%
Josh Adams run for 37 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
91.6%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 20 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
91.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
91.6%
Nick Sharga run for 4 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
91.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-4
91.6%
Logan Marchi sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
91.6%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:27
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
91.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
91.2%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 15Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+11
91.2%
Josh Adams run for 11 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
91.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
91.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+2
91.1%
Tyler Newsome punt for 54 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 2 yds to the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
91.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+3
91.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
91.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-5
91.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 15Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 17
OWN 15
0
91.0%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 17
OWN 15
0
91.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 44 yds , Chris Finke returns for no gain to the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:4491% → 92%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
90.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+13
91.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 13 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
91.0%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
91.0%
Cameron Smith run for 12 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
91.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
91.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Cameron Smith for 2 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:279% → 10%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
91.5%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+10
91.5%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 10 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
91.4%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 25 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
91.3%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+10
91.1%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 10 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.1%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
91.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
91.2%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
90.0%
Austin Jones 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:1090% → 93%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 28Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+60
90.2%
Josh Adams run for 60 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
92.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Nic Weishar for 12 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:137% → 7%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
92.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:4093% → 93%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
92.9%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
92.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Alize Mack for 9 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
92.8%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
92.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 17 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+34
93.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 34 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
93.1%
Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
93.1%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
92.9%
WIMBUSH pass incomplete to ST. BROWN (FOSTER,Artrel), PENALTY TEM roughing passer (TAYLOR,Jullian) 5 yards to the TEM5, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:008% → 8%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.4%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 17 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.1%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
91.8%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 2
50
+9
91.8%
Jager Gardner run for 9 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
91.8%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
91.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+2
91.7%
Nick Sharga run for 2 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
91.5%
TEMPLE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NDame 36Similar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
91.7%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+17
91.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 17 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
91.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
91.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
93.3%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
93.3%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
93.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 17Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+4
93.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Cameron Smith for 4 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
92.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 50 yds , Mike Jones returns for no gain to the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
92.9%
David Hood run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+4
93.2%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Nick Sharga for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+29
93.2%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 29 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
92.3%
David Hood run for no gain to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
92.6%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Adonis Jennings, broken up by Shaun CrawfordSimilar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
92.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
93.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 1:1194% → 93%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+16
93.6%
Brandon Wimbush run for 16 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
93.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Durham Smythe for 9 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
93.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown, broken up by Deandre KellySimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+12
93.6%
Josh Adams run for 12 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
93.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Durham Smythe for 25 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
93.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
93.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cameron SmithSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
92.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
92.5%
Justin Yoon 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
93.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-6
93.9%
Logan Marchi sacked by Daelin Hayes for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+10
94.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 10 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
93.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 33 yds, downed at the NDame 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:4896% → 96%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
95.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Freddy Canteen for 7 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
95.6%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
95.4%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
95.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Nic Weishar for 4 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+16
95.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 16 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Cameron Smith, broken up by Mike JonesSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
95.6%
Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
95.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Freddy CanteenSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
95.6%
Justin Yoon 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
94.7%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
94.5%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Adonis Jennings, broken up by Daelin HayesSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-1
94.6%
Logan Marchi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
94.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 42 yds, downed at the NDame 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+22
96.1%
Josh Adams run for 22 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
96.3%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 14
OWN 39
0
96.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for no gain to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+43
96.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass intercepted Mike Jones return for 43 yds to the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18MISSED FG
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:226% → 4%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
94.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 15Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
94.5%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, 0S (Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa) to the NDame 10Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
94.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the NDame 9Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-10
94.7%
Logan Marchi sacked by Te'von Coney for a loss of 10 yards to the NDame 19Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+36
95.8%
Austin Jones 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:0396% → 99%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.4%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
96.5%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
96.4%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Nic Weishar for 4 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
96.5%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+7
96.6%
Dexter Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
96.7%
Dexter Williams run for 8 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+40
96.7%
Dexter Williams run for 40 yds to the Temp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:171% → 3%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.1%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 16 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.1%
David Hood run for 7 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+15
99.0%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 15 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.0%
David Hood run for 6 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
99.1%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+5
99.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive offside (Daelin Hayes) to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-6
99.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+5
99.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+11
99.1%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 11 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.0%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Kenny YeboahSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.7%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:5199% → 98%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.5%
Brandon Wimbush run for 14 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Cameron Smith for 4 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Durham SmytheSimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
98.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 8 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.6%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-5
98.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (Robert Hainsey) to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+11
98.5%
Brandon Wimbush run for 11 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize MackSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.2%
Logan Marchi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
97.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+10
97.4%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 1
50
+15
97.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 34 Ryquell Armstead fumbled, forced by Greer Martini, recovered by NDame Drue Tranquill , return for 15 yds to the Temp 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:2799% → 100%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
98.7%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+24
98.7%
Brandon Wimbush run for 24 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
98.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Karamo Dioubate) to the Temp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
98.7%
Brandon Wimbush sacked by Delvon Randall for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 9Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
98.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Alize Mack for 8 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
99.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 19 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 15 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to David Hood for no gain to the NDame 38Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.9%
Logan Marchi pass complete to David Hood for 7 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Logan Marchi pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+66
99.9%
Dexter Williams run for 66 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Dexter Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Temp 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:13
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Nic Weishar for 12 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q3 1:22
Tony Jones Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q4 12:05
Logan Marchi pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com