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FOR

Fordham 6 at Army 64

ARMY
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2017 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+4.8ARMY 97.7%Jalen Sharp 75 Yd Return of BlockedField Goal (Blake Wilson Kick)AWAY 0 - HOME 28 · Q2 7:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:40 · Jalen Sharp 75 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Blake Wilson Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+27.5Home team on offense+19.6Score differential+17.6Blowout margin+8.1Garbage-time factor+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:41: John Trainor run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:39: Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +2.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:40: Jalen Sharp 75 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Blake Wilson Kick) — ARMY win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:40: Schrage, Nick kickoff 57 yards to the FORDHAM8, downed, PENALTY ARMY illegal procedure 5 yards to the ARMY30, NO PLAY. — ARMY win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:13: Chase Edmonds run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Facibene PAT BLOCKED) — ARMY win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FOR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00FOR 4th & 19 at FOR 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:30FOR 4th & 8 at FOR 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42FOR 4th & 15 at FOR 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20FOR 4th & 1 at FOR 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:40FOR 4th & 7 at ARMY 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:26FOR 4th & 5 at ARMY 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:08FOR 4th & 3 at ARMY 43, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:33ARMY 4th & 7 at FOR 13, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:33FOR 4th & 2 at FOR 25, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00FOR 4th & 6 at ARMY 33, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:32FOR 4th & 7 at FOR 37, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:30ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:41ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:39ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:40ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:41ARMY Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:02ARMY Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:37ARMY Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:25ARMY Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FORDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · -9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.3%
FORDHAM Penalty, delay of game (Kevin Anderson) to the Fordh 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
89.3%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete FORDHAM Penalty, illegal participation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
89.3%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fordh 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
89.3%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Anthony Coyle) to the Fordh 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+6
89.3%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 6 yds to the Fordh 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
89.3%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Chase Edmonds, broken up by James GibsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
89.3%
Andrew Mevis punt for 28 yds, fair catch by John Trainor at the Fordh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:4389% → 89%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
89.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Fordh 39Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+39
89.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 39 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.1%
Chase Edmonds run for 6 yds to the Fordh 31Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
89.1%
Chase Edmonds run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fordh 27Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.2%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
89.2%
Andrew Mevis punt for 27 yds, downed at the Army 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:3889% → 90%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
89.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 6
50
+8
89.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the Fordh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for no gain to the Fordh 42Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+12
89.1%
Jordan Asberry run for 22 yds to the Fordh 20 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Fordh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
89.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Fordh 22Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+7
89.1%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Fordh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
89.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Fordh 13Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
89.6%
John Trainor run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 1:5911% → 10%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.4%
Chase Edmonds run for 2 yds to the Fordh 27Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.3%
Kevin Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
89.4%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Searight for 12 yds to the Fordh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
89.3%
Chase Edmonds run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
89.2%
Austin Longi run for 2 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
89.2%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-7
89.7%
Kevin Anderson sacked by Alex Aukerman for a loss of 7 yards to the Fordh 45Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
89.9%
Andrew Mevis punt for 37 yds, fair catch by John Trainor at the Army 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 62 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+37
90.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 37 yds to the Fordh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
90.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 16 yds to the Fordh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
90.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Fordh 23Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
90.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Fordh 20 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, forced by Dylan Mabin, recovered by Fordh Deondre CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.7%
Chase Edmonds run for 2 yds to the Fordh 22Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
89.8%
Kevin Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 21Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
89.8%
Kevin Anderson run for 8 yds to the Fordh 29Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-11
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Fordh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:5891% → 93%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
90.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Fordh 13Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
90.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Fordh 9Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+8
90.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the Fordh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 9MISSED FG TD
19 plays · 85 yds · 7:527% → 2%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
93.2%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 8 yds to the Fordh 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+2
93.3%
Chase Edmonds run for 2 yds to the Fordh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
93.2%
Kevin Anderson sacked by John Voit and Raymond Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+6
93.3%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 6 yds to the Fordh 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
93.3%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Austin Longi) to the Fordh 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+11
93.3%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 11 yds to the Fordh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
93.2%
Kevin Anderson run for 3 yds to the Fordh 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
93.2%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 8 yds to the Fordh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
93.1%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 3 yds to the Fordh 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
93.1%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Isaiah SearightSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+8
93.2%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+15
92.9%
Anderson, Kevin pass incomplete to Caddle, Corey (Sharp, Jalen), PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Sharp, Jalen) 15 yards to the ARMY35, 1ST DOWN FORDHAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
92.7%
Kevin Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+26
92.7%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 26 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
92.6%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Austin LongiSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
92.6%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 1 yd to the Army 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.9%
Chase Edmonds run for no gain to the Army 7Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+75
97.7%
Jalen Sharp 75 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Blake Wilson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
98.1%
Schrage, Nick kickoff 57 yards to the FORDHAM8, downed, PENALTY ARMY illegal procedure 5 yards to the ARMY30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 11TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:132% → 1%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.4%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 6 yds to the Fordh 27Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+14
98.3%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 14 yds to the Fordh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.3%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 6 yds to the Fordh 47Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+7
98.2%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Searight for 7 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.2%
Chase Edmonds run for 1 yd to the Army 45Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Corey Caddle, broken up by James GibsonSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+4
98.2%
Kevin Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+11
98.2%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Searight for 11 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
98.1%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Austin Longi for 24 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.8%
Chase Edmonds run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Facibene PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
98.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 71 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 13END OF HALF
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:401% → 1%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.0%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Andrew Prince for 14 yds to the Fordh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.0%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 2 yds to the Fordh 40Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
99.0%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Chase Edmonds for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
50
+9
98.9%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Jonathan Lumley for 9 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Corey CaddleSimilar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-2
98.9%
Chase Edmonds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 43Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+13
99.1%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Andrew Prince for 13 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.3%
Kevin Anderson run for 8 yds to the Army 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1899% → 99%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+40
99.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 40 yds to the Fordh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to John Trainor, broken up by Antonio JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+9
99.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Fordh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.1%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Fordh 14Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
99.1%
Jordan Asberry run for 1 yd to the Fordh 13Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
99.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to John TrainorSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
99.4%
Blake Wilson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 15INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Chase Edmonds run for 3 yds to the Fordh 28Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
99.4%
Kevin Anderson sacked by John Voit for a loss of 10 yards to the Fordh 18Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+27
99.4%
Kevin Anderson pass intercepted Jaylon McClinton return for 27 yds to the Fordh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
99.5%
Andy Davidson run for 10 yds to the Fordh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Corey CaddleSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.5%
Chase Edmonds run for 5 yds to the Fordh 22Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+3
99.6%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Searight for 3 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Andrew Mevis punt for 25 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
50
0
99.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 10
50
+5
99.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fordh 45Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+29
99.6%
Connor Slomka run for 29 yds to the Fordh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.7%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the Fordh 10Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
99.7%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Fordh 7Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
99.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fordh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Fred Cooper Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Landon Salyers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Chase Edmonds run for 10 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
Chase Edmonds run for 1 yd to the Fordh 36Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
99.8%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Andrew Prince for 5 yds to the Fordh 41Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-5
99.8%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Dominic Lombard) to the Fordh 36Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+11
99.8%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Chase Edmonds for 11 yds to the Fordh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.8%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Andrew Prince for 4 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+12
99.8%
Jarred Brevard run for 12 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Jarred Brevard run for no gain to the Army 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Kevin Anderson pass complete to Corey Caddle for 5 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-1
99.9%
Chase Edmonds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Kevin Anderson pass incomplete to Andrew Prince, broken up by Ryan ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Calen Holt run for 5 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+30
99.9%
Calen Holt run for 30 yds to the Fordh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.9%
Fred Cooper Jr. run for 10 yds to the Fordh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Calen Holt run for 4 yds to the Fordh 18Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Artice Hobbs run for 18 yds for a TD, (David Cooper PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Jarred Brevard run for 1 yd to the Fordh 23Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
Jarred Brevard run for 6 yds to the Fordh 29Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Corey Caddle for 5 yds to the Fordh 34 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Corey Caddle for 2 yds to the Fordh 36Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Jarred Brevard run for 1 yd to the Fordh 37Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Andrew Mevis punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mike Reynolds at the Army 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 6:10100% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Luke Langdon run for 7 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
T.J. Wisham run for 12 yds to the Fordh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Fordh 39Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+11
99.9%
Zack Boobas run for 11 yds to the Fordh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
99.9%
Dominic Distefano run for 10 yds to the Fordh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Fordh 12Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
Zack Boobas run for 12 yds for a TD, (John Abercrombie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
Luke Medlock run for 6 yds to the Fordh 42Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Jarred Brevard run for 4 yds to the Fordh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:40
Jalen Sharp 75 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Blake Wilson Kick)
+4.8
TD · Q1 0:39
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 3:13
Chase Edmonds run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Facibene PAT BLOCKED)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com