Try the model
TEM

Temple 28 at Army 31

ARMY
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Michie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Nick Schrage punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 4 yds to the Temp 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 111Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+0.7Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:21: Ryquell Armstead run for 43 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +33.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 5:03: Darnell Woolfolk run for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +30.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:38: Ryquell Armstead run for 21 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +35.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:01: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jermaine Adams for 16 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +48.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Blake Wilson 29 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +17.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00TEM 4th & 9 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48ARMY 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:35TEM 4th & 18 at TEM 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 12 at ARMY 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:05ARMY 4th & 5 at TEM 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:48ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:40TEM 4th & 19 at ARMY 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−1.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:15ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 12, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−2.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:21ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:25TEM 4th & 13 at ARMY 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:51ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:30ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:05TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:38TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:21TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:03ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−1.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:38TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:01ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
70.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Chris Myarick for 8 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
70.8%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
70.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 15 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
70.8%
Isaiah Wright pass complete to Adonis Jennings for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+8
70.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 8 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-15
70.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Adonis Jennings) to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+9
70.8%
Frank Nutile run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
50
+13
70.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 13 yds to the Army 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
70.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+19
70.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 19 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the Army 47Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
70.5%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-1
70.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 7
50
0
70.3%
Zach Potter punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mike Jones at the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
69.5%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-8
69.5%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 11 Isaiah Wright fumbled,Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 18
OWN 11
0
69.8%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 18
OWN 11
+6
70.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 53 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 6 yds to the Army 17 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Army 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 7:0770% → 74%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
69.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
69.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
69.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
70.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the Army 49Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+1
70.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
50
+3
70.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
70.1%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
70.3%
Woolfolk, D. rush for 5 yards to the TEMPLE39 (RUSSELL,C.), PENALTY TEMPLE offside defense (SHARGA,NICK) 5 yards to the TEMPLE39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+8
70.3%
Kell Walker run for 8 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
70.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
70.4%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
70.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
70.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+11
73.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:5128% → 27%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
71.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+19
72.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 19 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
71.1%
Isaiah Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
71.4%
David Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
72.2%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
72.8%
Alex Starzyk punt blocked by Cole Christiansen blocked by Cole ChristiansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:4874% → 80%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
74.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jeff Ejekam for 24 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
80.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1922% → 29%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
77.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
77.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 4 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
77.6%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
77.7%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+17
77.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
50
+50
71.2%
Isaiah Wright run for 50 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
73.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 18 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
74.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
74.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 6
50
+1
74.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+7
73.3%
Nick Schrage punt for 39 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 7 yds to the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:5027% → 41%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
73.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Chris Myarick for 9 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+9
72.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
72.9%
Isaiah Wright run for 5 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+13
71.8%
Frank Nutile run for 13 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
71.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+5
71.0%
ARMY Penalty, offside defense (Raymond Wright) to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
59.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 37 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10INT
12 plays · 36 yds · 3:1166% → 68%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
65.6%
Kell Walker run for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+19
65.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 19 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
67.9%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
68.0%
Calen Holt run for no gain to the Army 48Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-10
66.9%
Bradshaw, Ahmad pass complete to Ejekam, Jeff for 6 yards to the TEMPLE46, PENALTY ARMY holding (Boylan, Joshua) 10 yards to the ARMY38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+13
64.5%
Kell Walker run for 13 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+5
65.4%
Schrage, Nick punt 49 yards to the TEMPLE0, touchback, PENALTY TEMPLE roughing the kicker (MARTIN,JACOB) 5 yards to the TEMPLE44, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
67.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jermaine AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+43
67.5%
Luke Langdon pass intercepted Sean Chandler return for 43 yds to the Army 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
65.1%
Jordan Asberry run for no gain to the Army 17Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
64.8%
John Trainor run for 2 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+3
63.7%
Calen Holt run for 3 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q3 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+2
63.0%
Nick Schrage punt for 65 yds , Mike Jones returns for 2 yds to the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 46 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
61.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 6 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
60.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+4
62.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
60.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+3
59.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 3 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
59.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 11 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
58.0%
David Hood run for 8 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+13
57.3%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 13 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
56.8%
David Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 32Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+2
56.9%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-9
58.2%
Frank Nutile sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 9 yards to the Army 39Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
62.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 36 yds, downed at the Army 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
62.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Army 4Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+4
62.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+4
60.6%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
60.1%
Nick Schrage punt for 52 yds, downed at the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:0243% → 43%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
57.0%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 11 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+51
54.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 51 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
52.3%
Nick Sharga run for no gain to the Army 2Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
52.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-5
53.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 7Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
54.0%
Frank Nutile sacked by TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the Army 15 TEMPLE Penalty, intentional grounding (Frank Nutile) to the Army 15Similar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 0
OPP 15
+32
56.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5261% → 58%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
61.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
61.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
62.1%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the Army 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
60.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Zack SaumSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+4
58.4%
Nick Schrage punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 4 yds to the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:2143% → 74%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
57.1%
David Hood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
57.5%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+36
59.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to David Hood for 36 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
26.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 43 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
34.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 22Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
33.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-11
32.0%
Bradshaw, Ahmad pass complete to Holt, Calen for 37 yards to the TEMPLE41 (CHANDLER,SEAN), PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Adams, Jermaine) 11 yards to the ARMY11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+14
32.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 14 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+8
31.0%
Nick Schrage punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 8 yds to the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
27.7%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
28.0%
David Hood run for no gain to the Temp 35Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
29.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 12 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
25.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 17 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
24.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
24.1%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-2
25.2%
Frank Nutile run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 34Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 8
OPP 34
-5
28.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Army 39Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
29.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:3128% → 64%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
27.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 16Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+32
27.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Kell Walker for 32 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
31.7%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
33.3%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+44
63.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 44 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:1652% → 95%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
47.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+6
51.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Chris Myarick for 6 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
48.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+20
48.3%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 20 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
44.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Army 34Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
44.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 12 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
43.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for no gain to the Army 22Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
38.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Army 21Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
4.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 21 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
17 plays · 79 yds · 1:3015% → 63%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
14.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to John TrainorSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
14.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan AsberrySimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+11
13.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 11 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
15.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jermaine AdamsSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
14.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. sacked by Artrel Foster and Jacob Martin for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 27Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+15
9.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to John Trainor for 15 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
11.2%
Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+6
12.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 6 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
12.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jermaine AdamsSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
12.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jeff EjekamSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+21
11.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 21 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
18.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
16.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jermaine Adams for 9 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
62.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jermaine Adams for 16 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23FG
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
64.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Temp 9 Darnell Woolfolk run for 10 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
64.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Temp 8Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-4
62.3%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 12Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
79.3%
Blake Wilson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0029% → 18%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
70.9%
Isaiah Wright run for 5 yds to the Army 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
70.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Army 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+5
74.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the Army 10 Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the Army 10 Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
70.9%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
76.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Army 10Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
81.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:01
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jermaine Adams for 16 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)
+48.2
TD · Q4 1:38
Ryquell Armstead run for 21 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-35.9
TD · Q4 13:21
Ryquell Armstead run for 43 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-33.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com