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EMU

Eastern Michigan 27 at Army 28

ARMY
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:48 · EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the EMich 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:17: Kell Walker run for 17 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +7.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:03: Connor Slomka run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +15.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:11: Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +21.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:06: Darnell Woolfolk run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +26.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:49: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 00:49 — EMU win probability +42.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 8:09EMU 4th & 10 at ARMY 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 3:29ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:05ARMY 4th & 8 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 14:53ARMY 4th & 12 at EMU 43, tied
    Close callWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.6%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    60.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:45EMU 4th & 11 at ARMY 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:05ARMY 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.3%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 5:06EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.3%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:38EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:37ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:29EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:17ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:03ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:11EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:06ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2238% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
61.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 9 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
61.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+23
61.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 23 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
61.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 12 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
61.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 10 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
61.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
60.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 15 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
17 plays · 93 yds · 8:4961% → 64%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
60.5%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 11
-2
60.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 9Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+9
60.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
60.5%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+12
60.6%
Connor Slomka run for 12 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
60.6%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Army 37Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
60.6%
Kell Walker run for 8 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
60.8%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
60.8%
Davidson, Andy rush for 2 yards to the 50 yardline (RACHWAL, Kyle;KELLY, Desmond), PENALTY EMU offside defense 5 yards to the EMU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+10
60.9%
Andy Davidson run for 10 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
60.9%
John Trainor run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+26
61.0%
Kell Walker run for 26 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
61.0%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
61.0%
John Trainor run for 1 yd to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
62.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
63.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, (1 Yards) to the EMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 2:5739% → 47%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
60.8%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
60.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+19
61.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 19 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
60.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+23
60.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 23 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
59.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 4 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-5
58.6%
ERIKSEN, Ian rush for 5 yards to the ARMY35 (Nachtigal, J.;Aukerman, Alex), PENALTY EMU illegal motion (BAILEY, Sergio) 5 yards to the ARMY45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+45
53.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 45 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:1255% → 64%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.8%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
55.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 11 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
55.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
56.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
56.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
56.6%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+9
56.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
57.3%
Kell Walker run for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
57.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+6
56.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
64.0%
Kell Walker run for 17 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
58.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
57.0%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+14
56.5%
Breck Turner run for 14 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
56.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for no gain to the Army 42Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
56.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for no gain to the Army 42Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
57.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
58.5%
Ivan Oraha punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mike Reynolds at the Army 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5861% → 59%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
60.6%
Kell Walker run for 12 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
60.9%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-1
61.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 23Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+5
59.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
58.8%
Nick Schrage punt for 39 yds, downed at the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
55.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
55.1%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+7
56.1%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Cole Christiansen return for 7 yds to the Army 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:2163% → 60%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
62.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to John TrainorSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
62.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+14
61.9%
Kell Walker run for 14 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
64.0%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
63.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Jeff Ejekam, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
62.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
60.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jermaine Adams, broken up by Kyle RachwalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
60.7%
Kell Walker run for 7 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+26
62.2%
Kell Walker run for 26 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
63.7%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Calen Holt) to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-5
62.3%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 20
OWN 49
-1
61.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 48Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 21
OWN 48
+9
59.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
59.3%
Zach Potter pass incomplete to Justin Thomas Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2446% → 43%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
54.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+10
53.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 10 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
53.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-10
51.3%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to BAILEY, Sergio for 34 yards to the ARMY0, clock 09:45, PENALTY EMU holding (TALLMAN, D.) 10 yards to the ARMY44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+2
54.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
54.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Kenneth BrinsonSimilar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
57.2%
Ivan Oraha punt for 36 yds, downed at the Army 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 3:5159% → 80%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
59.2%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+3
59.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+69
57.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 69 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
64.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+5
64.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
64.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.4%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 5:4226% → 51%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
73.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+12
74.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 12 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
73.1%
ERIKSEN, Ian rush for 2 yards to the EMU36 (Brinson, K.;Washle, Scott), PENALTY ARMY offside defense (McClinton, J.) 5 yards to the EMU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 5
OWN 39
+3
71.1%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
71.2%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
70.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 5
50
+12
70.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
70.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 14 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
68.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
68.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
70.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
70.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
49.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
17 plays · 83 yds · 8:5959% → 91%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
58.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+9
58.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
59.0%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
60.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
61.6%
Calen Holt run for 3 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
62.6%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
61.1%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 1
50
+3
60.3%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
63.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
63.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
63.0%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
63.7%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
64.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+13
63.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 13 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
65.0%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
91.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:0115% → 18%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 10 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
84.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
83.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
82.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Jaron Johnson, broken up by Mike ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+17
84.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 17 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
81.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
81.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+15
88.1%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to DAUGHERTY, E., PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Gibson, James) 15 yards to the ARMY23, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
82.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 9 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+4
82.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
82.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Army 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
63.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
62.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:49
Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 00:49
-42.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+37.7
TD · Q4 5:06
Darnell Woolfolk run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)
+26.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com