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UTEP

UTEP 21 at Army 35

ARMY
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:36 · Alan Luna punt for 30 yds, downed at the UTEP 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense+30.6Score differential+21.7Garbage-time factor+8.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:17: Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK) — UTEP win probability +5.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:35: David Lucero 2 Yd pass from Zack Greenlee (Brady Viles Kick) — UTEP win probability +8.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:31: Connor Slomka 3 Yd Run (Blake Wilson Kick) — ARMY win probability +4.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:55: Jordan Asberry 42 Yd pass from Ahmad Bradshaw (Blake Wilson Kick) — ARMY win probability +5.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:48: Connor Slomka run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:36UTEP 4th & 21 at ARMY 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:24UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:47UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q4 11:00UTEP 4th & 14 at ARMY 22, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q4 7:55ARMY 4th & 15 at ARMY 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:36UTEP 4th & 30 at UTEP 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:17ARMY 4th & 2 at UTEP 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 1:17UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:45ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:47ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:35UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:31ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:55ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:48ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:18UTEP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
94.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+1
94.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
94.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Quadraiz WadleySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+5
94.0%
LUNA, Alan punt 43 yards to the ARMY37, fair catch by Reynolds, Mike, PENALTY ARMY roughing the kicker (Gibson, James) 5 yards to the UTEP25, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
94.0%
METZ, Ryan pass complete to BROWN, Erik for 16 yards to the UTEP45 (Reynolds, Mike;Christiansen, C), PENALTY UTEP holding (ELMENDORFF,D.) 10 yards to the UTEP19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
94.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
94.0%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
94.0%
Alan Luna punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.1%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+2
93.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
93.1%
Nick Schrage punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 8:237% → 13%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
92.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
92.7%
Ryan Metz run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
92.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 13 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.6%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-6
92.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for 4 yds to the UTEP 47 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Kavika Johnson) to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+18
92.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 18 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
92.6%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Will Hernandez) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 15
50
+10
92.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 10 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+18
92.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 18 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
92.5%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+5
92.5%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+1
92.6%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
92.5%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
92.5%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+6
92.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.1%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3288% → 90%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.9%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+27
87.9%
Kell Walker run for 27 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
87.8%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+8
87.9%
Calen Holt run for 8 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
90.1%
Andy Davidson run for 32 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
88.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+15
88.5%
GREENLEE, Zack pass incomplete, PENALTY ARMY roughing passer (Aukerman, Alex) 15 yards to the UTEP40, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
88.3%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+17
88.1%
Kevin Dove run for 17 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-8
88.0%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the Army 48 Walter Dawn Jr. fumbled, recovered by UTEP Zack GreenleeSimilar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 21
OPP 48
0
88.4%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 21
OPP 48
0
88.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 21
OPP 48
+3
89.0%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 3 yds to the Army 45 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (Justin Thomas Jr.) to the Army 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 7:3088% → 90%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
87.7%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+4
87.8%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+3
87.4%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
87.9%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
88.2%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
88.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+24
88.0%
Calen Holt run for 24 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
88.8%
Connor Slomka run for 7 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
88.8%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+15
88.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 15 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
89.0%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
90.3%
Calen Holt 19 Yd Run (Blake Wilson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:0411% → 22%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
88.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
88.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
88.8%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
88.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 26 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
87.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 14 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
86.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+15
86.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Quadraiz Wadley for 15 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.1%
David Lucero 2 Yd pass from Zack Greenlee (Brady Viles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.6%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:2183% → 89%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+42
82.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 42 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
84.8%
Andy Davidson run for 18 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
84.8%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+3
84.8%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.3%
Connor Slomka 3 Yd Run (Blake Wilson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
87.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
87.5%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 5
OWN 26
-2
87.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+6
88.5%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 6 yds to the Army 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:2589% → 94%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
88.8%
Jordan Asberry run for 12 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
89.0%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+42
94.0%
Jordan Asberry 42 Yd pass from Ahmad Bradshaw (Blake Wilson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:009% → 7%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
91.2%
GREENLEE, Zack pass intercepted by Reynolds, Mike at the ARMY47, Reynolds, Mike return to the UTEP19 (BROOKS, Jerrod), PENALTY ARMY holding off-setting, PENALTY UTEP holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
92.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
92.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
92.5%
Zack Greenlee run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
92.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to David Lucero for 9 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-1
92.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
92.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to David Lucero, broken up by Alex AukermanSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+50
92.6%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds, downed at the ARMY 19 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (James Nachtigal) to the Army 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 6:1494% → 99%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
93.9%
Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-5
94.0%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 10Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-3
94.0%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 7Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+29
93.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jermaine Adams for 14 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, roughing passer (Alvin Jones) to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
94.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
94.1%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
94.5%
Jordan Asberry run for 7 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+4
94.5%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+24
96.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jeff Ejekam for 24 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
96.0%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
99.1%
Connor Slomka run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:391% → 1%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Zack Greenlee run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
98.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 6 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+19
98.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 19 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
98.9%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 19 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
98.8%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
98.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Kavika Johnson, broken up by Mike ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
98.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for no gain to the Army 12Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 4
OPP 12
-10
99.0%
GREENLEE, Zack pass complete to JOHNSON, Kavika for 12 yards to the ARMY0, clock 11:00, PENALTY UTEP holding (ELMENDORFF,D.) 10 yards to the ARMY22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+11
99.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 11 yds to the Army 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:5599% → 99%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.1%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+2
99.1%
TJ Wisham Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+7
99.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
99.1%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 19Similar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 15
OWN 19
-1
99.1%
Calen Holt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 18Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+1
99.1%
Jordan Asberry run for 1 yd to the Army 19Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jermaine AdamsSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
99.2%
Nick Schrage punt for 44 yds, downed at the UTEP 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-12
99.2%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Alex Aukerman for a loss of 12 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 22
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 22
OWN 25
-8
99.2%
Zack Greenlee sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 30
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Alan Luna punt for 30 yds, downed at the UTEP 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4999% → 98%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.4%
Calen Holt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+52
97.6%
Luke Langdon pass intercepted for a TD Kahani Smith return for 52 yds for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18END OF GAME
12 plays · 30 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
97.6%
Jordan Asberry run for 4 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+2
98.0%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+3
97.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
98.1%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+10
98.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 10 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
98.1%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+2
98.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
98.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:35
David Lucero 2 Yd pass from Zack Greenlee (Brady Viles Kick)
-8.9
TD · Q1 1:17
Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Viles KICK)
-5.5
TD · Q3 8:55
Jordan Asberry 42 Yd pass from Ahmad Bradshaw (Blake Wilson Kick)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com