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ARMY

Army 7 at Ohio State 38

OSU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:01 · Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Kell Walker
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+13.8Home team on offense+29.1Score differential+21.4Garbage-time factor+7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:11: J.K. Dobbins 2 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:26: Darnell Woolfolk 3 Yd Run (Blake Wilson Kick) — ARMY win probability +2.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:23: J.K. Dobbins 52 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:57: Darnell Woolfolk run for 9 yds to the OhSt 47 — ARMY win probability +1.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:12: Terry McLaurin 20 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick) — OSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3ARMY made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 8:23ARMY 4th & 7 at OSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:35ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:03OSU 4th & 7 at ARMY 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:32ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:06OSU 4th & 11 at ARMY 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:50ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:50ARMY 4th & 6 at OSU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:09ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:57OSU 4th & 7 at ARMY 42, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:40ARMY 4th & 3 at OSU 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:01ARMY 4th & 2 at OSU 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:36ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 18, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:23OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:11OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:26ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:23OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:12OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:01OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3298% → 98%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.6%
Parris Campbell run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+11
97.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+36
97.6%
J.K. Dobbins run for 36 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
97.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 8 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+3
97.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
J.T. Barrett 5 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:523% → 3%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
97.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 19 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.3%
Calen Holt run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+12
97.3%
Calen Holt run for 12 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.2%
Calen Holt run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
97.1%
Kell Walker run for no gain to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
97.1%
Andy Davidson run for no gain to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Zach Potter punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 94 yds · 3:5797% → 97%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
97.0%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 8Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+9
97.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
96.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 8 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+7
97.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 17 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
96.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 9 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
96.9%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
96.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 14 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
96.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 7 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+5
96.8%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
96.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 18 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
96.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 9 yds to the Army 2Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.2%
J.K. Dobbins 2 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:183% → 3%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
97.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 20Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
96.9%
Nick Schrage punt for 39 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:1697% → 97%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
97.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 1
50
0
97.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 1
50
+13
97.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
97.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
96.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 33 yds, downed at the Army 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
18 plays · 99 yds · 9:203% → 7%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
96.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+25
96.7%
Kell Walker run for 25 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
96.5%
Jordan Asberry run for 5 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
96.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to John TrainorSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+3
96.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+3
96.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
96.2%
John Trainor run for 2 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
96.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Zack Saum for 9 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
95.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
95.6%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
95.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+8
95.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
95.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
95.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the OhSt 22Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+11
95.4%
Kell Walker run for 11 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
95.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the OhSt 3Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
93.0%
Darnell Woolfolk 3 Yd Run (Blake Wilson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 44 yds · 3:2095% → 94%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
94.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zach Turnure) to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
94.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
94.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
94.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 2 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
94.5%
Parris Campbell run for 25 yds to the OHIOST 34 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Mack) to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
94.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+8
94.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+13
94.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 13 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
94.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-1
94.0%
J.T. Barrett sacked by John Voit for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 16Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
94.1%
Sean Nuernberger 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8END OF HALF
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:006% → 7%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
93.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 34Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+5
94.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+8
93.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+4
93.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
92.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+4
93.5%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:557% → 7%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
93.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
92.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
93.1%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
93.1%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
92.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
92.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
92.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
92.0%
Fred Cooper Jr. run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
92.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-3
92.1%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 26Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
92.8%
Blake Wilson 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:2293% → 97%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
93.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 22 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
97.4%
J.K. Dobbins 52 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:384% → 3%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
96.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 9 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
96.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Jeff EjekamSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
96.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
96.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the OhSt 36 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by OhSt Kendall SheffieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:0097% → 99%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
97.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 11 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
97.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 31 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
97.4%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
99.0%
Terry McLaurin 20 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 22Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
98.8%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the Army 27Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.9%
Nick Schrage punt for 39 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0399% → 99%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 8 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+11
99.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 7 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-6
99.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 4 yds to the Army 34 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 44Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+2
99.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
99.1%
Drue Chrisman punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:501% → 1%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-8
99.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Army 24 ARMY Penalty, Illegal Block (-12 Yards) to the Army 12Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 18
OWN 12
+37
99.1%
Andy Davidson run for 37 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+3
99.2%
John Trainor run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+6
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.2%
Andy Davidson run for no gain to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+10
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Kell Walker for 10 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:5699% → 100%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 16 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Luke FarrellSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+9
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 9 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-8
99.4%
J.T. Barrett sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 8 yards to the Army 47Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+17
99.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 17 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
99.4%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
99.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 20 yds to the Army 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Austin Mack for 9 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
99.9%
Luke Langdon run for 2 yds to the Army 20 ARMY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 10Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 18
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Calen Holt run for 5 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Luke Langdon run for no gain to the Army 15Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Luke Langdon run for 3 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Nick Schrage punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18END OF GAME
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+14
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to C.J. Saunders for 14 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Austin Mack for 9 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Antonio Williams run for 12 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
100.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+6
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 6 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
100.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 15 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+4
100.0%
Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:23
J.K. Dobbins 52 Yd Run (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
+4.3
TD · Q2 6:26
Darnell Woolfolk 3 Yd Run (Blake Wilson Kick)
-2.1
TD · Q3 5:12
Terry McLaurin 20 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Sean Nuernberger Kick)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com