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ARMY

Army 17 at Tulane 21

TULN
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Zachary Block punt for 32 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for no gain to the Army 29 Mike Reynolds fumbled, recovered by Tulan Donnie Lewis Jr. TULANE Penalty, kick catching interference (Devin Glenn) to the Army 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense+8.6Pregame prior+1.0Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:33: Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +9.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:45: Sherman Badie run for 72 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +10.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:08: Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 12 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST down — TULN win probability +8.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:32: Connor Slomka run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +40.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:23: Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +63.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:43ARMY 4th & 17 at ARMY 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:14TULN 4th & 8 at ARMY 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:39ARMY 4th & 9 at TULN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:39TULN 4th & 12 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:46ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:15TULN 4th & 17 at TULN 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:57ARMY 4th & 1 at TULN 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−1.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55ARMY 4th & 2 at TULN 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:40TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:19ARMY 4th & 4 at TULN 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−7.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 3 at ARMY 46, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−5.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:39ARMY 4th & 1 at TULN 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−4.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−17.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:32TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:32TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.4%−3.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:47TULN 4th & 1 at ARMY 6, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 11.5 ptsWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%−11.5
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−34.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:49TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:33ARMY Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:45TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:32ARMY Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−2.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:23TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
54.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 75 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
54.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 35Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
54.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-5
54.2%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 35Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-5
54.2%
ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Army 30Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 17
OWN 30
0
54.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:43
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+67
54.2%
Nick Schrage punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULANE 7 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (4 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 54 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
55.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+6
55.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 2
OWN 11
0
55.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+5
55.1%
ARMY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
55.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 9 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 1
OWN 0
-10
55.5%
PENALTY TLN false start (LEGLUE, John) 5 yards to the TLN20, PENALTY TLN unsportsmanlike conduct 10 yards to the TLN10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+18
55.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 18 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
55.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+3
55.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
55.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 16 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
55.7%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Army 44Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
55.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+1
55.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 1 yd to the Army 43Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
55.4%
Jonathan Banks punt for 40 yds, downed at the Army 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 7:3942% → 43%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
58.2%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+5
58.3%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+4
58.5%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
58.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 23 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
57.7%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+9
57.5%
Andy Davidson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
50
+6
57.2%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
57.1%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
57.1%
Calen Holt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
57.2%
Bradshaw, Ahmad slant pass complete to Adams, Jermaine for 3 yards to the TLN36 (NICKERSON, P.), PENALTY TLN holding (KUERSCHEN, C.) 10 yards to the TLN29, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
56.7%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-5
58.0%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+3
58.3%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
59.0%
Jordan Asberry run for no gain to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
57.0%
Blake Wilson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+30
57.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 30 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
59.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Army 48Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
58.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-2
57.9%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Alex Aukerman for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 12
50
0
56.6%
Zachary Block punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
57.8%
Calen Holt run for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
57.4%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
58.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
59.0%
Nick Schrage punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
58.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 17 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
60.0%
Jabril Clewis run for no gain to the Army 48Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
59.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-7
58.7%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Kenneth Brinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 45 Jonathan Banks fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 17
OWN 45
+8
56.9%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for 8 yds to the Army 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:4041% → 53%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
58.8%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+7
58.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
58.2%
Calen Holt run for no gain to the Army 35Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
58.5%
Kell Walker run for 11 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
56.7%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
56.1%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+42
56.4%
Andy Davidson run for 42 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:4151% → 61%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
50.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+72
60.8%
Sherman Badie run for 72 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:4840% → 37%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
59.7%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, illegal use of hands (Jarrod Franklin) to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
57.4%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
57.1%
Calen Holt run for 2 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+10
57.2%
Jordan Asberry run for 10 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
56.8%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+6
56.8%
Jordan Asberry run for 6 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
59.1%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-1
62.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
62.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+7
62.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 0:0039% → 41%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
61.1%
Jordan Asberry run for 8 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+1
60.3%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
61.1%
Calen Holt run for 3 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
60.8%
Calen Holt run for 6 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
59.1%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
58.7%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
59.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 20 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
57.6%
Fred Cooper Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
56.2%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+2
57.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-1
59.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
66.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
66.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
65.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by James GibsonSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
64.6%
Zachary Block punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 23 , Mike Reynolds returns for no gain to the Army 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14INT
11 plays · 65 yds · 0:0035% → 40%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+35
64.6%
Kell Walker run for 35 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
60.3%
Calen Holt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
60.4%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
60.3%
Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
59.0%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
58.7%
Calen Holt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+2
60.2%
Fred Cooper Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+5
62.7%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
58.7%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
58.7%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 12Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
60.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass intercepted, touchback. Donnie Lewis Jr. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:0869% → 70%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
68.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 12 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Max ReganSimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
68.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Max Regan TULANE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+15
67.1%
[Shotgun], BANKS, J. deep pass incomplete to ENCALADE, T., PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Bourdeau, J.) 15 yards to the TLN47, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
71.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-2
72.6%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+5
70.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
69.7%
Zachary Block punt for 32 yds , Mike Reynolds returns for no gain to the Army 29 Mike Reynolds fumbled, recovered by Tulan Donnie Lewis Jr. TULANE Penalty, kick catching interference (Devin Glenn) to the Army 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 8:0734% → 78%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
65.8%
Calen Holt run for 5 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
64.2%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
62.8%
Calen Holt run for 3 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
63.6%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
62.2%
Calen Holt run for 9 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
61.2%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
61.3%
Andy Davidson run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+11
61.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 11 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
59.6%
Calen Holt run for 9 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
59.2%
Connor Slomka run for 7 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
59.2%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
59.2%
Calen Holt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+3
61.0%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+3
63.0%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
22.5%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
24 plays · 75 yds · 5:0938% → 96%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
38.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
35.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by James NachtigalSimilar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+10
34.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 10 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
39.5%
Khalil McClain run for 4 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
42.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Kendall ArdoinSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+3
40.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+13
38.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 13 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jacob Robertson Jr.Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
44.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jacob Robertson Jr.Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+15
42.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 15 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
46.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 6 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
46.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 3 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
44.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
42.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Mike ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
42.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+6
34.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 6 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
32.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18INT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0913% → 9%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
87.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
90.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jeff Ejekam, broken up by Jarrod FranklinSimilar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
91.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for no gain to the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:23
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+63.2
TD · Q4 5:32
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)
-40.5
TD · Q2 3:45
Sherman Badie run for 72 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com