Try the model
KU

Kansas 17 at Oklahoma State 58

OKST
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:14 · Zach Sinor punt for 39 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for 2 yds to the Kans 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+47.8Home team on offense+1.0Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.4Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:41: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 76 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:07: Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 33 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:00: Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 30 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:41: Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +0.7 pts (now 1%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:12: Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:05OKST 4th & 1 at KU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05KU 4th & 1 at KU 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:14OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:49KU 4th & 18 at KU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:22OKST 4th & 4 at KU 26, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:36KU 4th & 8 at OKST 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:41KU 4th & 2 at KU 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:41KU 4th & 2 at KU 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:28OKST 4th & 10 at KU 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:28KU 4th & 5 at KU 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:00KU 4th & 5 at KU 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:27OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 45, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:42KU 4th & 5 at KU 36, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:12KU 4th & 15 at OKST 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:43OKST 4th & 11 at KU 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:43KU 4th & 4 at KU 30, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:42KU 4th & 14 at KU 21, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:05OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:41OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:41OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:00OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:07KU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:00OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:41KU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:12OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:58OKST Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:5599% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 15 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.1%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+54
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 54 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.1%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Kans 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
99.1%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.1%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
99.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 18 to Steven Sims Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 18Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+11
99.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 11 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
99.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Taylor Martin for 1 yd to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.9%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 6 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+2
98.9%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+2
98.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 39 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan Schadler, broken up by Ramon RichardsSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-8
98.8%
Peyton Bender sacked by DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
98.8%
Cole Moos punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.8%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+7
98.8%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
98.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 4 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
98.8%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
98.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Keenen BrownSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
98.6%
Matt Ammendola 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 4:461% → 2%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
98.6%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+13
98.6%
Taylor Martin run for 13 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.6%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+4
98.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 4 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
98.6%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+21
98.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 21 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
98.5%
Bender, Peyton pass complete to Sims, Steven for 17 yards to the OSU18, PENALTY OSU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY KU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.5%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
98.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
98.1%
Gabriel Rui 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5598% → 99%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 16 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
98.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 14 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
98.2%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+4
98.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
98.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 12 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
98.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+10
98.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 10 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.5%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:002% → 2%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
98.2%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-3
98.2%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-5
98.3%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+10
98.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 10 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Cole Moos punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:3198% → 99%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
98.3%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+76
99.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 76 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Chase Harrell for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.0%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.0%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Cole Moos punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 4:3199% → 99%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+12
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 12 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
99.1%
La'Darren Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+17
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 17 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+10
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 10 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 11 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
99.1%
Matt Ammendola 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Taylor Martin for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
98.9%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr., broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Cole Moos punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:1399% → 100%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+31
99.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 31 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 8 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+29
99.2%
La'Darren Brown run for 29 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.2%
Mason Rudolph run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
La'Darren Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 1:530% → 1%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+11
99.7%
Taylor Martin run for 11 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.7%
Taylor Martin run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 3
50
+9
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.8%
Peyton Bender run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+33
98.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 33 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
98.9%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+6
98.9%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Chad Whitener return for 6 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 30 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Cole Moos punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.8%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 11 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.8%
Deron Thompson run for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-2
99.8%
Deron Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Kyle Thompson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tylan Wallace at the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21KICKOFF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
99.9%
Mason Rudolph sacked by KeyShaun Simmons for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 16
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 16
OWN 23
-5
99.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 21
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 9 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:200% → 1%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.8%
Deron Thompson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+3
99.8%
Deron Thompson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 13 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 13 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.8%
Deron Thompson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 2Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2999% → 100%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 11 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
99.2%
Justice Hill run for 17 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+11
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Britton Abbott for 11 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.2%
Rudolph, Mason pass complete to Abbott, Britton for 13 yards to the KU20, PENALTY OSU ineligible downfield on pass (Lundblade, Brad) 5 yards to the KU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+23
99.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 23 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.2%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, J., PENALTY KU pass interference (Defense, Hasan) 13 yards to the KU2, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.2%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, J., PENALTY KU pass interference (Defense, Hasan) 1 yards to the KU1, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+33
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 33 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-6
99.9%
Peyton Bender sacked by Enoch Smith Jr. and Jordan Brailford for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Deron ThompsonSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tylan Wallace at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Sione Finefeuiaki for 5 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+8
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 8 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
99.9%
Brown, LD rush for 1 yard to the OSU22 (Dezir, Jacky), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Lundblade, Brad) 10 yards to the OSU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+16
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 16 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 8 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 8 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+26
99.9%
Chris Lacy run for 26 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for 7 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-6
99.9%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to La'Darren Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
99.9%
Matt Ammendola 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Deron Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan Fairs, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 4:16100% → 100%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for 9 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 43 Taylor Cornelius fumbled, forced by Daniel Wise, recovered by OKSt Taylor CorneliusSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+56
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyrell Alexander for 56 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
La'Darren Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
La'Darren Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
100.0%
Peyton Bender sacked by Cameron Murray for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Cole Moos punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+19
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 19 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 6 yds to the Kans 23 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 14
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
Ja'Ron Wilson run for 7 yds to the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:07
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 33 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q3 14:00
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 30 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 10:41
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 76 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com