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ISU

Iowa State 19 at Kansas State 20

KSU
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:20 · Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 10 KANSAS ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense+1.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Pregame prior+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:33: Garrett Owens 22 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +4.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 8:34: Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ISU win probability +16.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:46: Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +16.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:07: Alex Barnes pass complete to Winston Dimel for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +15.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Isaiah Zuber 1 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — KSU win probability +70.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:52ISU 4th & 12 at KSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:51ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:47KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20ISU 4th & 16 at KSU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:41KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 18, up 4
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:33ISU 4th & 4 at KSU 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:27KSU 4th & 2 at ISU 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−3.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:35KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 28, down 12
    Numbers favored punt by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:07ISU 4th & 6 at KSU 49, up 5
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:54KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:34ISU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:46ISU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:07KSU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:00KSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.6%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1FG
20 plays · 56 yds · 7:0847% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.0%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
53.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+18
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 18 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
53.0%
Montgomery, Da. rush for 9 yards to the 50 yardline (Moore, Cre), PENALTY ISU holding (Foster, Sean) 10 yards to the ISU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+6
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 6 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+5
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 5 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+8
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+7
53.0%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+1
53.0%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
53.0%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+13
53.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 13 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 8 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-10
53.0%
Croney, Sheldon rush for 2 yards to the KS7 (Goolsby, Denzel), PENALTY ISU holding (Garcia, Robby) 10 yards to the KS19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
53.0%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Sheldon Croney Jr.Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
53.3%
Kyle Kempt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
53.5%
Garrett Owens 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
53.3%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-1
53.7%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+1
53.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 4
OWN 33
-2
53.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 51 yds , Trever Ryen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
53.4%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for no gain to the IowSt 14Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
53.4%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 5 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+16
53.6%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 16 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
53.1%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-10
52.6%
Croney, Sheldon rush for 5 yards to the ISU46 (Ball, Kyle), PENALTY ISU holding (Campos, Jake) 10 yards to the ISU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
53.4%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Sheldon Croney Jr.Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
53.7%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+43
53.9%
Colin Downing punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 31 , Dominique Heath returns for 43 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 31 yds · 5:1155% → 59%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
55.0%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
55.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for 2 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+5
54.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
55.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 4 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
55.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
54.6%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
55.5%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
55.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Winston Dimel for 4 yds to the IowSt 3Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
57.8%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
57.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 1 yd to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
57.7%
Kyle Kempt run for 6 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+45
57.7%
Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KANSASST 21 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
58.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 4 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
58.1%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
57.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
56.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 49 yds , Trever Ryen returns for no gain to the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
58.4%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
57.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 5 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+18
57.6%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 18 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-8
56.9%
Kyle Kempt sacked by Jayd Kirby for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+8
58.0%
Kyle Kempt run for 8 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-6
57.6%
Kyle Kempt sacked by Joe Davies for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 16
OPP 45
+35
59.7%
Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 10 KANSAS ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5160% → 58%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
60.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
60.2%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+6
59.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
58.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:2241% → 44%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
58.6%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Will GearySimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+18
59.2%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 18 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
57.7%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
57.8%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+32
58.2%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 32 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.2%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
59.2%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
60.8%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 1:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
55.9%
Garrett Owens 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
60.2%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
60.4%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
59.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Winston Dimel, broken up by Evrett EdwardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
58.1%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-7
57.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 52 yds , Trever Ryen returns for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:5741% → 63%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
58.9%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 7 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+1
58.0%
Trever Ryen run for 1 yd to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+9
59.4%
Joel Lanning run for 9 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
58.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 9 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+6
56.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 6 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
55.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
55.6%
Kyle Kempt run for 4 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+34
55.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 34 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
53.9%
Kyle Kempt run for 4 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
53.9%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Marchie Murdock, broken up by Denzel GoolsbySimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
37.1%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0042% → 44%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
41.9%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+8
41.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 8 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+29
41.3%
Justin Silmon run for 29 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
46.2%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
45.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+8
43.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-1
43.8%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 62 yds · 6:1264% → 82%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
36.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 5 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-10
35.8%
Croney, Sheldon rush for 4 yards to the ISU47, out-of-bounds (Walker, Eli), PENALTY ISU holding declined, PENALTY ISU holding (Meeker, Bryce) 10 yards to the ISU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+9
38.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 9 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+10
36.4%
Kempt, Kyle pass complete to Lazard, Allen for 8 yards to the 50 yardline (Durham, J.), PENALTY KS holding (Durham, J.) 10 yards to the KS48, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
35.1%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 8 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+10
34.6%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
33.9%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 7 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+8
33.5%
Mike Warren run for 8 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
33.5%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+2
29.2%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 2 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+7
30.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 7 yds to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.6%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
17.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Hakeem Butler) to the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 7:2822% → 36%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
21.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 18 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
23.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
23.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 7 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
23.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 4 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
23.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+7
22.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for 7 yds to the IowSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
23.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the IowSt 4Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
23.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the IowSt 3Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 25
OWN 17
0
19.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 25
OWN 17
+13
18.8%
Dalvin Warmack run for 13 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-2
18.2%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Joel Lanning for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+24
18.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 24 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
19.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
35.7%
Alex Barnes pass complete to Winston Dimel for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 4:0076% → 86%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 7 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
22.8%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 3 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
23.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
21.6%
Kyle Kempt run for 3 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-15
17.3%
Kempt, Kyle pass complete to Ryen, Trever for 3 yards to the ISU45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Lazard, Allen) 15 yards to the ISU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+20
20.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 20 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
16.2%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
10.7%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by Johnathan DurhamSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
12.4%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
14.2%
Colin Downing punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 1:5522% → 94%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
21.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+7
22.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 7 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
22.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 13 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
24.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 25 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
31.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
31.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 17 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
26.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
19.9%
Thompson, S. pass intercepted by Payne, D'Andre at the ISU0, Payne, D'Andre return to the ISU0, touchback, PENALTY ISU offside (Bailey, JaQuan) 5 yards to the ISU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+8
20.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 8 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
Isaiah Zuber 1 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Isaiah Zuber 1 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+70.9
TD · Q3 8:34
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-16.9
TD · Q4 13:46
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
-16.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com