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TCU

TCU 27 at Texas Tech 3

TTU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:27 · Nic Shimonek run for 2 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Home team on offense+0.3Pregame prior−21.3Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:14: Cole Bunce 43 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +5.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:11: Desmond Nisby run for no gain to the TCU 6 — TTU win probability +8.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:55: Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK) — TCU win probability +11.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:48: Timeout TCU, clock 07:48 — TCU win probability +4.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. INT · Q4 4:39: Nic Shimonek pass intercepted for a TD Jeff Gladney return for 93 yds for a TD Jeff Gladney fumbled, recovered by TCU Jeff Gladney for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK) — TCU win probability +4.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 7:27TTU 4th & 1 at TCU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:08TTU 4th & 5 at TCU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 30, down 4
    Close callPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42TCU 4th & 16 at TCU 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:34TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:58TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 18, up 4
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:09TTU 4th & 18 at TCU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:52TCU 4th & 10 at TTU 35, up 4
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:14TCU 4th & 8 at TTU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:14TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:08TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:11TCU 4th & 10 at TTU 29, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.2 ptsPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%
    58% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−6.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:49TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:55TTU 4th & 2 at TCU 2, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%−2.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−15.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:01TCU 4th & 5 at TTU 8, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−4.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:39TTU 4th & 8 at TCU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:54TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:55TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1FG
25 plays · 70 yds · 8:5226% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.4%
Justin Stockton run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
26.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 6 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
26.4%
Justin Stockton run for 3 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
26.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 4 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
26.4%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Cantrell, Dylan (Issahaku, R.), PENALTY TCU pass interference (Issahaku, R.) 5 yards to the TTU49, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
26.4%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
26.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 7 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
26.4%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
26.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 7 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
26.4%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
26.4%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
26.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 6 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-1
26.4%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+6
29.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 6 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
29.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 6 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
29.7%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
29.5%
Nic Shimonek run for 1 yd to the TCU 9Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
30.1%
Nic Shimonek run for 2 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
30.7%
Desmond Nisby run for 2 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Justin Stockton, broken up by Nick OrrSimilar
Q1 6:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
31.8%
Clayton Hatfield 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 6:1469% → 71%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
30.9%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Desmon White for no gain to the TCU 39 to KaVontae Turpin for 2 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
30.7%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
30.7%
Shawn Robinson run for 5 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
30.5%
Shawn Robinson run for 20 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
30.0%
Hicks, Kyle rush for 7 yards to the TTU26 (Dorsey, V.), PENALTY TCU illegal block (Pryor, Matt) 15 yards to the TTU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 25
OPP 48
+41
30.7%
Shawn Robinson run for 41 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
29.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
29.9%
Shawn Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
30.2%
Robinson, Shawn pass incomplete to Diarse, John, PENALTY TTU pass interference (Fields, D.) 1 yards to the TTU2, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
29.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 1Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
29.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 2 Sewo Olonilua fumbled, recovered by TCU Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.2%
KaVontae Turpin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
30.2%
Justin Stockton run for 12 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
30.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 2 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
30.2%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
30.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
29.7%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
30.9%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
31.2%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Octavious MorganSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 11
OWN 17
-5
31.7%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (Shawn Robinson) to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 16
OWN 12
0
31.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 16
OWN 12
0
32.2%
Adam Nunez punt for 61 yds, downed at the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
31.2%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Coutee, Keke, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Simmons, M.) 15 yards to the TTU42, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
32.5%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
32.5%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 45Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
31.9%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell, broken up by Ridwan IssahakuSimilar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
30.8%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
31.5%
Shawn Robinson run for 5 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+1
31.5%
Jalen Reagor run for 1 yd to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+1
32.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 18 Sewo Olonilua fumbled,Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
32.7%
Andrew David punt for 35 yds, downed at the TexTc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:0133% → 29%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+32
32.9%
Justin Stockton run for 32 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
34.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 4 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-1
34.2%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Ty Summers for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 7
OPP 18
-11
32.0%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Ty Summers for a loss of 11 yards to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+47
28.9%
Clayton Hatfield 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:1769% → 68%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
31.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+15
30.8%
Robinson, Shawn pass incomplete to Snell, Kenedy, PENALTY TTU roughing passer (Howard, Eli) 15 yards to the TCU47, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
29.7%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 18 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
28.6%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
28.7%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
29.9%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jarrison StewartSimilar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
31.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 33 yds, downed at the TexTc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
29.0%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 6
0
28.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 6
0
28.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
27.9%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TexTc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4070% → 75%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
29.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
29.7%
Kyle Hicks run for 15 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
28.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
28.5%
Shawn Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
29.9%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
24.6%
Cole Bunce 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
28.0%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
29.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-4
28.5%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Mat Boesen for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
27.1%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 56 yds, downed at the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
26.1%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jaelan Austin, broken up by Octavious MorganSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
26.5%
TCU Penalty, false start (Cordel Iwuagwu) to the TCU 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 24
-10
26.9%
Shawn Robinson sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 14 Shawn Robinson fumbled, recovered by TCU Matt Pryor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 14
+13
27.6%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Desmon White for 13 yds Desmon White fumbled, forced by Dakota Allen,Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+65
28.2%
Andrew David punt for 56 yds, downed at the TEXASTECH 17 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (9 Yards) to the TexTc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
27.5%
Nic Shimonek run for 5 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
27.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
26.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
26.2%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
24.2%
Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
24.3%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
23.8%
Shawn Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
23.9%
Shawn Robinson run for no gain to the TexTc 29 Shawn Robinson fumbled, forced by Justus Parker, recovered by TCU Shawn RobinsonSimilar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
24.6%
Shawn Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 10
OPP 29
0
26.1%
Adam Nunez punt for 29 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
27.7%
Justin Stockton run for 12 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
28.2%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
28.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+13
26.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 13 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
30.0%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-15
30.4%
Shimonek, Nic pass complete to Cantrell, Dylan for 10 yards to the TCU43 (Gaines, Innis), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Cantrell, Dylan) 15 yards to the TTU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 23
OWN 32
0
27.7%
Nic Shimonek run for no gain to the TexTc 32 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 23
OWN 32
+16
26.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 16 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
27.6%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
25.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-19
24.9%
Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 19 yards to the TCU 6 Shawn Robinson fumbled, forced by Justus Parker, recovered by TexTc Vaughnte DorseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1633% → 29%
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.3%
Desmond Nisby run for no gain to the TCU 6Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.3%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell, broken up by Jeff GladneySimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
30.5%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the TCU 2Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
28.8%
Clayton Hatfield 20 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0075% → 91%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
24.8%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+21
23.5%
Shawn Robinson run for 21 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
22.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+9
22.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
21.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Octavious Morgan) to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
21.2%
Kenedy Snell run for 7 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
21.2%
Kenedy Snell run for 6 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
21.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
9.3%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19FUMBLE
12 plays · 69 yds · 1:5512% → 14%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
11.9%
Justin Stockton run for 6 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
12.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+5
11.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 5 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
12.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 5 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
12.5%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+5
12.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 5 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
12.5%
Justin Stockton run for 9 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
13.2%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+10
12.9%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY TCU holding (Texada, R.) 10 yards to the TCU40, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
13.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 10 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
13.8%
Nic Shimonek run for 16 yds to the TCU 14 Nic Shimonek fumbled, forced by Sammy Douglas, recovered by TCU Ty SummersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 78 yds · 7:5990% → 97%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
10.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 7 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+2
10.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+4
10.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
10.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
9.9%
Shawn Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+28
10.2%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 28 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
9.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 8 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+19
8.5%
Shawn Robinson run for 19 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
8.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
8.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
4.1%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the TexTc 8Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
3.2%
Cole Bunce 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21INT TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:225% → 1%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
4.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for no gain to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
4.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+35
4.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 35 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
6.0%
Nic Shimonek run for 3 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
6.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Justin Stockton, broken up by Ben BanoguSimilar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+13
5.7%
Justin Stockton run for 13 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
1.2%
Nic Shimonek pass intercepted for a TD Jeff Gladney return for 93 yds for a TD Jeff Gladney fumbled, recovered by TCU Jeff Gladney for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.9%
Demarcus Felton run for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
0.9%
Demarcus Felton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
0.9%
Demarcus Felton run for 3 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
0.9%
McLane Carter pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 16 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
1.0%
Demarcus Felton run for 8 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+11
1.1%
Desmond Nisby run for 11 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
1.2%
McLane Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
1.1%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+5
1.1%
Demarcus Felton run for 5 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 8
OPP 26
0
1.0%
McLane Carter pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell, broken up by Michael Downing Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+29
0.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 29 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 14
OPP 49
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:55
Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK)
-11.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:11
Desmond Nisby run for no gain to the TCU 6
+8.4
FG · Q2 1:14
Cole Bunce 43 yd FG GOOD
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com