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TEX

Texas 28 at West Virginia 14

WVU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:13 · Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense−1.6Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Pregame prior+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:29: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Chris Warren III for 20 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK) — TEX win probability +7.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:29: Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted for a TD Kenny Robinson return for 94 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +13.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:23: Kyle Porter run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK) — TEX win probability +15.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:01: Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 12 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +16.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:07: Daniel Young run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK) — TEX win probability +9.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:55WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:27WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:00TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:12TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:20WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:13TEX 4th & 2 at WVU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:37WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:25WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:15TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:33WVU 4th & 15 at WVU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:29TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:01WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−2.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:20WVU 4th & 9 at TEX 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−5.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:42TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:01WVU 4th & 5 at TEX 12, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%−1.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−6.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:26TEX 4th & 6 at WVU 39, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−1.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 10:55TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:29TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:29WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:23TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:01WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:07TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5954% → 54%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.8%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
53.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
53.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 1 yd to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
53.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the Texas 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4046% → 46%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Daniel YoungSimilar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 11 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
53.9%
Buechele, Shane pass complete to Foreman, Armanti for 8 yards to the TEXAS44, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 15 yards to the TEXAS21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+10
54.0%
Daniel Young run for 10 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+6
54.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Daniel Young for 6 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+7
54.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 7 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+51
54.0%
Michael Dickson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WESTVIR 9 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (4 Yards) to the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3554% → 54%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
54.2%
Justin Crawford run for 13 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
54.3%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
54.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 3 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
54.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
54.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2046% → 45%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
53.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey, broken up by Kyzir WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-9
53.7%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 45 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+4
54.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Daniel Young for 4 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
54.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
54.6%
Michael Dickson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:4655% → 56%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
54.5%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 4 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
54.5%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+3
54.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 3 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
54.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Davante Davis) to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+34
55.3%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 34 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
55.8%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+5
55.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
56.0%
Justin Crawford run for 9 yds to the Texas 1Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.0%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2146% → 45%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
54.5%
Toneil Carter run for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
54.5%
Toneil Carter run for 2 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
54.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod Heard, broken up by Elijah BattleSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
55.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4655% → 56%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.0%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
55.4%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 7 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
55.9%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
55.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 5:1346% → 55%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
54.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 15 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
54.2%
Toneil Carter run for 6 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
53.7%
Toneil Carter run for no gain to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+50
54.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Reggie Hemphill-Mapps for 50 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
52.0%
Toneil Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+5
52.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+5
52.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 5 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+8
53.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
51.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
51.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
45.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kendall Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:0347% → 44%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.4%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
47.4%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
47.2%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
46.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+8
46.1%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
46.5%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
45.1%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete, broken up by Jason HallSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+1
44.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 49 yds , Reggie Hemphill-Mapps returns for 1 yd to the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:5656% → 70%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
44.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Daniel Young for 4 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+2
44.1%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+9
44.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
43.0%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
42.9%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey run for no gain to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+17
43.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 17 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
40.7%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Sam Ehlinger for 23 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
39.9%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+11
38.5%
Kyle Porter run for 11 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
37.8%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Chris Warren III) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+20
30.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Chris Warren III for 20 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:5232% → 31%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
31.7%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
32.2%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
31.2%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
31.3%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
31.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1671% → 73%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
28.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 16 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
27.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey, broken up by Kyzir WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-15
27.6%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXAS face mask (Kerstetter, Derek) 15 yards to the TEXAS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+4
28.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 4 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 21
OWN 44
+3
26.6%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3872% → 72%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
27.8%
Toneil Carter run for 2 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
27.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 1 yd to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+16
27.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 59 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 16 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:3428% → 24%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
28.4%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 4 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
27.6%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+19
26.6%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 19 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
28.5%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-10
28.4%
McKoy, Kennedy rush for 6 yards to the TEXAS37, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Bosch, Kyle) 10 yards to the WESTVIR47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 14
OWN 47
-1
26.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
24.4%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Davante DavisSimilar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
23.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15INT TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5378% → 70%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
21.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Reggie Hemphill-Mapps for 8 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+14
20.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 14 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
19.5%
Kyle Porter run for 9 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
18.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
18.7%
Reggie Hemphill-Mapps run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+16
17.2%
Kyle Porter run for 16 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
16.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod Heard, broken up by Mike Daniels Jr.Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
17.0%
Toneil Carter run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+17
16.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 17 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+94
30.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted for a TD Kenny Robinson return for 94 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5266% → 68%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
33.6%
Daniel Young run for 15 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
30.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 41 Sam Ehlinger fumbled, recovered by Texas Sam Ehlinger Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
30.7%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
29.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
32.0%
Michael Dickson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1835% → 32%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
35.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+1
34.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
33.2%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+14
32.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 42 yds , Reggie Hemphill-Mapps returns for 14 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:2872% → 87%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
28.0%
Daniel Young run for 36 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
12.9%
Kyle Porter run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:4916% → 17%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
16.4%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Marcus Simms for 32 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
18.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 7 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+11
18.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 11 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
19.3%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
18.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Texas 24Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
17.9%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Gary Jennings, broken up by DeShon ElliottSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 9
OPP 24
0
17.0%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Gary Jennings, broken up by DeShon ElliottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3188% → 89%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
11.8%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
11.2%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
10.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
11.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:3614% → 29%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
14.2%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
13.9%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+28
14.4%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to David Sills V for 13 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (Breckyn Hager) to the Texas 47 for a 1ST down. Hager ejected for targeting.Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+30
16.1%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 30 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
17.0%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 4
OPP 11
0
14.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Texas 11Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 4
OPP 11
-5
13.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Yodny Cajuste) to the Texas 16Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+4
12.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+12
29.3%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 12 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1882% → 80%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
18.2%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+5
18.0%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
18.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
20.4%
Michael Dickson punt for 35 yds, downed at the WVirg 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2525% → 21%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
24.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 4Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+16
22.5%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 16 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
23.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
22.1%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-14
20.6%
Chris Chugunov sacked by Gary Johnson for a loss of 14 yards to the WVirg 6 Chris Chugunov fumbled, forced by Gary Johnson, recovered by Texas Chris Nelson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3786% → 95%
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
13.9%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.6%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:286% → 3%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
5.8%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
5.5%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Marcus Simms for 19 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
4.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 6 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-10
4.9%
Pettaway, Martell rush for 3 yards to the TEXAS37, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Jones, Matt) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 14
50
0
4.1%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Martell PettawaySimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 14
50
-18
3.8%
Chris Chugunov sacked by Antwuan Davis for a loss of 18 yards to the WVirg 32 Chris Chugunov fumbled, forced by Antwuan Davis, recovered by WVirg Colton McKivitz , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 32
OWN 32
0
3.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the Texas 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:5997% → 98%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
3.2%
Toneil Carter run for 8 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
2.4%
Toneil Carter run for 1 yd to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+20
2.4%
Toneil Carter run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Xavier Pegues) to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
2.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-3
2.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:01
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 12 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+16.5
TD · Q3 1:23
Kyle Porter run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 5:29
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted for a TD Kenny Robinson return for 94 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com