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Oklahoma 41 at Kansas 3

KU
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:44 · Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 2 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior−29.0Home team on offense−44.5Score differential−37.3Garbage-time factor−14.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:40: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:17: Gabriel Rui 23 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:27: Jordan Smallwood run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:10: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:52: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12OU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:10OU 4th & 13 at OU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35KU 4th & 8 at KU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:40OU 4th & 3 at KU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:50KU 4th & 1 at KU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:11OU 4th & 12 at OU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:17KU 4th & 5 at OU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:38OU 4th & 1 at OU 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:12KU 4th & 1 at KU 39, down 4
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:51OU 4th & 2 at OU 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:37KU 4th & 13 at OU 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:39OU 4th & 9 at OU 4, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:50KU 4th & 15 at KU 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:52KU 4th & 8 at OU 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:54OU 4th & 13 at OU 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:55KU 4th & 4 at KU 37, down 18
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:29KU 4th & 6 at KU 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:44OU 4th & 2 at KU 36, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:58OU 4th & 10 at KU 10, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:46KU 4th & 20 at KU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:24KU 4th & 6 at KU 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:00OU 4th & 5 at OU 20, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:39OU 4th & 14 at KU 14, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:59KU 4th & 5 at KU 39, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:40OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:27OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:10OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:52OU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:09OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:4299% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
1.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
1.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 5 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
1.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 7 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+10
1.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 10 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
1.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
1.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-15
1.3%
Mayfield, Baker pass complete to Andrews, Mark for 9 yards to the KANSAS36, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Andrews, Mark) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 22
OWN 40
+9
1.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
1.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:281% → 2%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
1.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 9Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+1
1.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
1.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Chase Harrell, broken up by Tre NorwoodSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+21
1.6%
Cole Moos punt for 52 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 21 yds to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:4698% → 98%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
1.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+1
1.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-2
1.7%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+34
1.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
1.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
1.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+2
1.9%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
1.9%
Cole Moos punt for 44 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for no gain to the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3398% → 98%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-2
1.9%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
2.0%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
2.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 25 yds, downed at the Okla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:462% → 3%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
2.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 13 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
2.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 5 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+6
2.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 6 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
2.6%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+5
2.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 0:09
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+9
2.7%
Stanley, Carter pass incomplete to Harrell, Chase, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Norwood, Tre) 9 yards to the OKLAHOMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSAS.Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
2.8%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 12Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
2.8%
Carter Stanley run for 7 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Chase Harrell, broken up by Tre NorwoodSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
3.2%
Gabriel Rui 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3197% → 97%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
3.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 36Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
3.2%
Baker Mayfield run for 8 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
3.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
3.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:204% → 4%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
3.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 10 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
3.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
3.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+7
3.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 7 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Cole Moos punt for 35 yds, downed at the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1296% → 96%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
3.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
3.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise Brown, broken up by Tyrone Miller Jr.Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+5
4.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 5 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
4.1%
Austin Seibert punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:544% → 4%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
4.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-5
4.1%
Carter Stanley sacked by Caleb Kelly for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+3
4.2%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Emmanuel Beal return for 3 yds to the Kans 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1796% → 97%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
3.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 8 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 3
0
3.9%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Kans 3Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
3.1%
Jordan Smallwood run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 4:403% → 4%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
3.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
3.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 6 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
3.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
3.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
3.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
4.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Encroachment (Du'Vonta Lampkin) to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
4.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 17
OPP 48
0
4.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+4
4.0%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
4.0%
Cole Moos punt for 41 yds, downed at the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5096% → 95%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
4.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
4.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 5
OWN 8
-4
4.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Erick Wren) to the Okla 4Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
4.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 9
OWN 4
0
4.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 43 yds, downed at the Okla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:425% → 4%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
4.7%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
4.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Khalil HerbertSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 15
OWN 48
0
4.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben Johnson, broken up by D.J. WardSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
4.3%
Cole Moos punt for 36 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 0:3196% → 98%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+45
4.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 30 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (Hasan Defense) to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
4.0%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Andrews, Mark, PENALTY KANSAS holding (Defense, Hasan) 10 yards to the KANSAS29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
3.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:023% → 3%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+34
2.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 34 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
3.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+7
3.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 7 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+8
3.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
3.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
3.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
3.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
3.1%
Gabriel Rui 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:5198% → 97%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
2.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
2.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 3 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
2.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 5 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
2.5%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
2.6%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-15
2.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bobby Evans) to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 29
OWN 16
+16
2.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 16 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
2.8%
Austin Seibert punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:533% → 3%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
3.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
3.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
3.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
3.2%
Cole Moos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:5497% → 100%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
2.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+13
2.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 13 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
2.7%
Jeff Badet run for 1 yd to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
2.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 13 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
2.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 20 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+33
2.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 33 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
0.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 10 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
0.4%
Dom Williams run for 8 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
0.5%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-5
0.5%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
0.4%
Cole Moos punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
0.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 16 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
0.3%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
0.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 6 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
0.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mykel Jones, broken up by Shaquille RichmondSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+2
0.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 2 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
0.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 24 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
0.3%
Mayfield, Baker pass complete to Andrews, Mark for 10 yards to the KANSAS0, PENALTY OKLAHOMA ineligible downfield on pass (Brown, Orlando) 5 yards to the KANSAS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
0.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 5 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
0.4%
Austin Seibert 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
0.4%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Kerr Johnson Jr.) to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-6
0.4%
Kwamie Lassiter II run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+1
0.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 20
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Cole Moos punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
0.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 15 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
0.2%
Trey Sermon run for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
0.1%
Cole Moos punt for 40 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
0.2%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Okla 16Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
0.2%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
50
+5
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 5 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the Okla 45 Dom Williams fumbled, recovered by OklaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
0.2%
Kyler Murray run for 18 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
0.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 16 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
0.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 6 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-5
0.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Erick Wren) to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+11
0.1%
Kyler Murray run for 11 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
0.1%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 13Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
0.1%
Murray, Kyler pass incomplete to Mead, Jeffery (Mayberry, Kyle), PENALTY OKLAHOMA ineligible downfield on pass (Wren, Erick) 5 yards to the KANSAS18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
0.1%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Myles Tease, broken up by DeAnte FordSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
0.1%
Kyler Murray run for 4 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
0.1%
Austin Seibert 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+2
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+36
0.1%
Cole Moos punt for 51 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 38 KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Emmanuel Moore) to the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30END OF GAME
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.1%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+33
0.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 33 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
0.1%
Abdul Adams run for 8 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
0.1%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:52
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-2
TD · Q2 0:10
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-1.8
TD · Q2 7:27
Jordan Smallwood run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com