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KSU

Kansas State 45 at Oklahoma State 40

OKST
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:03 · Zach Sinor punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+22.3Home team on offense−13.6Score differential−7.5Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:38: Matt Ammendola kickoff for 54 yds , Byron Pringle return for 89 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:30: Alex Barnes run for 39 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +14.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:47: S. Thompson pass,to B. Pringle for 46 yds for a TD, (M. McCrane KICK), (M. McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +18.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:55: Mason Rudolph 2 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +12.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:02: M. Rudolph pass,to D. Stoner for 14 yds for a TD, (M. Rudolph intercepted ) — OKST win probability +21.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 9KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:13OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:10KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18KSU 4th & 21 at KSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:08OKST 4th & 6 at KSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:02KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:16OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:45OKST 4th & 2 at KSU 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    80.8%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:51OKST 4th & 10 at KSU 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:54KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 19, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:03OKST 4th & 10 at KSU 49, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:40KSU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 15
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:59OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 19, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:47OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 25, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−4.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:51KSU 4th & 6 at OKST 16, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:32KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:16KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 17, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−3.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:59OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.2%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:21KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:51OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:32KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:38KSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:30KSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:47KSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:22KSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:55OKST Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:56OKST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:55OKST Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:1610% → 12%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
90.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 8 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
90.1%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+17
89.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 17 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
89.7%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
89.6%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
89.3%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+7
89.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+26
89.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 26 yds to the OKSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
88.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:5188% → 87%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
87.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 16 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
87.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
87.6%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
87.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+4
87.3%
Zach Sinor punt for 52 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 4 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2313% → 14%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
87.0%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 12Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 13
OWN 12
-1
86.8%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 11Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 14
OWN 11
+7
86.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Alex Barnes for 7 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
86.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:1087% → 89%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+32
86.7%
Justice Hill run for 32 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
88.6%
James Washington 38 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 2:1112% → 13%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.7%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
87.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-1
87.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-4
87.3%
Skylar Thompson sacked by DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
87.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:3788% → 87%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
87.7%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
87.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
87.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 17 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
87.6%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+5
87.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 5 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
87.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
87.2%
Matt Ammendola 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:2213% → 12%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
87.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
87.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 47 yds, downed at the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4487% → 86%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
86.7%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Will Geary for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+6
86.5%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
86.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+3
85.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 3 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:3613% → 17%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
86.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 21 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
82.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 47 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 4:3784% → 84%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
83.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 14 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
83.9%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+14
84.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
84.3%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
84.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
84.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 11 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
84.4%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
84.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+2
83.6%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+5
83.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 5 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
84.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
83.4%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Kyle Ball for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 12 Mason Rudolph fumbled, recovered by OKSt Mason Rudolph , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
82.4%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
83.5%
Matt Ammendola 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:1176% → 76%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
75.9%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0226% → 26%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
74.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 9
OWN 19
-5
74.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 14
OWN 14
-1
73.8%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Enoch Smith Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+6
73.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
73.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4374% → 72%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
73.9%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 7
50
+6
73.8%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+13
73.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
74.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 20
OPP 41
0
71.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+19
71.6%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Kendall Adams return for 19 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:2032% → 51%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
68.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 11 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.1%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
72.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 11 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
64.3%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+39
49.5%
Alex Barnes run for 39 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2258% → 53%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
55.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Kyle Ball and Will Geary for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
52.8%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:4953% → 51%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
53.3%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
52.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 16 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
53.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
53.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
54.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
53.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for no gain to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
51.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
50.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1655% → 59%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
45.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
44.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
42.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
40.6%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
39.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+3
39.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 6
50
0
40.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3643% → 39%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
43.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 13 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
42.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
42.0%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-4
40.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
39.2%
Zach Sinor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:5767% → 86%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
33.5%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+13
32.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 13 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
14.1%
S. Thompson pass,to B. Pringle for 46 yds for a TD, (M. McCrane KICK), (M. McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1217% → 16%
Q3 7:47
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 3 yds to the KanSt 28 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
16.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
16.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 2:1886% → 94%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
14.3%
Justin Silmon run for 15 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
14.2%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+5
10.9%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+60
5.7%
Byron Pringle 60 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:257% → 14%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
6.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 11 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
6.6%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+52
6.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 52 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
6.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the KanSt 5Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
6.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the KanSt 2Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
14.4%
J. Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (M. Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:2092% → 99%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
8.0%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+5
6.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 5 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
6.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 5 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+11
5.9%
Alex Barnes run for 11 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
5.5%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+21
5.1%
Alex Barnes run for 21 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
4.6%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+8
4.3%
Winston Dimel run for 8 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-3
3.2%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
0.9%
Matthew McCrane 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:421% → 9%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
0.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
0.8%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
0.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 15 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
0.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 11 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
0.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-5
0.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Trey Dishon for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+13
0.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 13 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
1.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to J.D. King for 7 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+5
1.1%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
1.0%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
8.5%
M. Rudolph pass,to J. Washington for 8 yds for a TD, (M. Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1495% → 97%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
4.6%
Justin Silmon run for 10 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
4.2%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
4.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-3
3.3%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
3.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 1:194% → 16%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
4.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+6
4.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+63
3.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 63 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
4.0%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the KanSt 5Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
3.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
3.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.1%
Mason Rudolph 2 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 28FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0692% → 91%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
8.4%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-6
8.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Justin Phillips and Trey Carter for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 39 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by OKSt Trey Carter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:2513% → 36%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
12.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 13 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
14.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 12 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
36.0%
M. Rudolph pass,to D. Stoner for 14 yds for a TD, (M. Rudolph intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3480% → 85%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
20.5%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 16Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+3
18.1%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 6
OWN 19
-2
16.9%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+8
15.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 8 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1327% → 20%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
26.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
24.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
23.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
20.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:1593% → 95%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
6.6%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
4.8%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:02
M. Rudolph pass,to D. Stoner for 14 yds for a TD, (M. Rudolph intercepted )
+21.1
TD · Q3 7:47
S. Thompson pass,to B. Pringle for 46 yds for a TD, (M. McCrane KICK), (M. McCrane KICK)
-18.6
TD · Q2 1:30
Alex Barnes run for 39 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com