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TCU

TCU 20 at Oklahoma 38

OU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:48 · Adam Nunez punt for 44 yds, downed at the Okla 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Home team on offense+28.8Score differential+10.7Pregame prior+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:45: Rodney Anderson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +10.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:32: Kenny Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK) — TCU win probability +9.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:29: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +9.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:07: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 33 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +7.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:44: Kyle Hicks 3 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — TCU win probability +3.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:54TCU 4th & 14 at TCU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:48OU 4th & 1 at TCU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:36OU 4th & 10 at TCU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:12TCU 4th & 8 at OU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:04TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:02OU 4th & 10 at OU 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:02TCU 4th & 20 at TCU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:16TCU 4th & 8 at OU 44, down 17
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:34OU 4th & 1 at OU 28, up 24
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:52TCU 4th & 14 at OU 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:02OU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 24
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:33TCU 4th & 12 at OU 35, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:39OU 4th & 4 at TCU 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:58OU 4th & 18 at OU 10, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:00TCU 4th & 11 at TCU 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:55OU 4th & 14 at TCU 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:48TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 21, down 18
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:54TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:41OU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:54OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:45OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:32TCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:29OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:07OU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:44TCU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5135% → 35%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.8%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-15
64.7%
TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (Mat Boesen) to the TCU 15Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+6
64.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 6 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
64.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+17
64.8%
Adam Nunez punt for 40 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 17 yds to the TCU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1165% → 65%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
64.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
64.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 9 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
64.9%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 35Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
64.8%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
65.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for no gain to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
65.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
64.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
64.8%
Austin Seibert 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2935% → 37%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+62
64.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 62 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
63.4%
Darius Anderson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:4964% → 66%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
63.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+6
63.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 6 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+46
63.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 46 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
64.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
64.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 11 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
65.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:2235% → 35%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
65.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 40 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
64.2%
Kenny Hill run for 10 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
64.0%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
64.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+2
64.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 3
OPP 8
-5
64.7%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 13Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
64.9%
Ryan Graf 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0665% → 70%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
64.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 3 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+46
64.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 46 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
66.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 18 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
66.2%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 13Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
69.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:4232% → 31%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.7%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
68.2%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
68.4%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Nick OrrSimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
68.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+4
69.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 4 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
69.3%
Adam Nunez punt for 35 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3969% → 69%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
69.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 5 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
69.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 8 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
69.8%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-2
70.1%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 36 Baker Mayfield fumbled, recovered by Okla Baker MayfieldSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
69.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
68.8%
Austin Seibert punt for 32 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:5530% → 29%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
70.1%
Kenny Hill sacked by Du'Vonta Lampkin for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 20
OWN 22
0
71.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 20
OWN 22
0
71.4%
Adam Nunez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 0:5570% → 81%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
70.3%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
70.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Rodney AndersonSimilar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
69.5%
TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (Mat Boesen) to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+30
71.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 30 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
81.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:4322% → 31%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
78.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 6 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-10
78.0%
Hicks, Kyle rush for 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA33, PENALTY TCU holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+18
80.1%
Kenny Hill run for 18 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
78.7%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+17
78.5%
Darius Anderson run for 7 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Amani Bledsoe) to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
78.8%
Kenny Hill run for 8 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.2%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5172% → 84%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+24
73.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 24 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
74.0%
TCU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+21
74.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 21 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
74.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
84.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:5918% → 16%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
82.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 6 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
82.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 5 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
82.5%
KaVontae Turpin run for 17 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
81.9%
Shawn Robinson run for 6 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
81.7%
KaVontae Turpin run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-1
81.5%
Shawn Robinson pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
82.5%
TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
83.7%
Adam Nunez punt for 31 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 0:5287% → 94%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
86.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+50
85.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 50 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
84.7%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+33
93.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 33 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
90.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 11 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5693% → 94%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
93.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
93.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 4 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
93.7%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
93.5%
Austin Seibert punt for 43 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:187% → 6%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
93.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+26
93.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 26 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
93.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
92.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
93.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Cole HuntSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-5
93.4%
TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
93.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 39 yds, downed at the Okla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 5:3295% → 97%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
95.4%
Dimitri Flowers run for 1 yd to the Okla 2Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+5
95.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jaxon Uhles for 5 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+7
95.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 7 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
96.1%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
95.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+27
96.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 27 yds to the Okla 41 Baker Mayfield fumbled, forced by Niko Small, recovered by Okla Mykel Jones for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.8%
Baker Mayfield run for 4 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
97.2%
Baker Mayfield run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
50
0
97.4%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 1
50
0
97.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 38 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:574% → 3%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
96.5%
Kenny Hill run for 13 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+41
96.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 41 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
96.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
96.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-9
96.8%
Kenny Hill sacked by Kenneth Mann for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 12
OPP 35
0
97.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:4199% → 99%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
98.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+22
98.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 22 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
98.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-3
99.0%
Baker Mayfield run for 7 yds to the TCU 24 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+3
99.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 4
OPP 31
0
99.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dimitri FlowersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:412% → 5%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
98.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 15 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
98.4%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+50
98.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 50 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
98.2%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
98.2%
Hill, Kenny pass incomplete to Diarse, John, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Norwood, Tre) 4 yards to the OKLAHOMA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.Similar
Q4 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.6%
Kyle Hicks 3 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2298% → 98%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-10
98.5%
Baker Mayfield sacked by L.J. Collier for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 10Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 18
OWN 10
0
98.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:534% → 4%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Kyle HicksSimilar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
96.1%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:5099% → 99%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+26
98.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 26 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
99.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+18
99.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 18 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-1
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-5
99.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 42 yds, downed at the TCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:022% → 2%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
98.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+5
98.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+9
98.2%
Kenny Hill run for 9 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jarrison StewartSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+6
98.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 6 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Adam Nunez punt for 44 yds, downed at the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-2
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:45
Rodney Anderson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+10
TD · Q2 5:29
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q2 8:32
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Bunce KICK)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com