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OKST

Oklahoma State 49 at Iowa State 42

ISU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:52 · Colin Downing punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior−14.0Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor+1.0Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:27: Justice Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +27.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:13: Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 22 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +21.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:38: David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +21.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:55: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 30 yds for a TD, (J. Hill Run For Two-point Conversion) — OKST win probability +37.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:47: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +33.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 8:47OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:52ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 18, up 7
    Close callPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:51ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:02ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:12OKST 4th & 9 at ISU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:24ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:13OKST 4th & 18 at OKST 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−1.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:17OKST 4th & 4 at ISU 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−8.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:30OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:49ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−1.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:41OKST 4th & 6 at ISU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:43OKST 4th & 8 at ISU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−11.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:01ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−9.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:21ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:55OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:44ISU 4th & 13 at OKST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%−1.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:02ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:52ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:31OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:38OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:27OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:22ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:57ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:27OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:13ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:38ISU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−1.4
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:55OKST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:47OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:5332% → 36%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
32.0%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
32.1%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
32.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
32.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
32.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
33.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 7 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-2
33.5%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+15
33.8%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
34.1%
David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
34.2%
Kyle Kempt run for 2 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+1
34.3%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
36.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 14 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1064% → 63%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.7%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
35.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for no gain to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
36.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
37.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:4337% → 46%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
37.2%
Joel Lanning run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-5
37.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+10
37.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
38.3%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 8 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
39.4%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
50
0
39.9%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 8
50
+20
39.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 20 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
40.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 8 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
45.8%
David Montgomery run for 22 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0856% → 60%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
43.9%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
44.3%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+21
45.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 6 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
45.1%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
45.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+7
44.6%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
44.7%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+21
40.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 21 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3143% → 43%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
42.5%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 7Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+5
42.9%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 5 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+6
43.1%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 6 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
42.7%
Colin Downing punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:0659% → 64%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
41.2%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-2
41.5%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+18
43.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 18 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
42.1%
Tyron Johnson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
36.1%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1840% → 41%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
40.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 5 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
40.8%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
41.6%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
40.6%
Colin Downing punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:1462% → 70%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
38.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 7 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+52
38.3%
Justice Hill run for 52 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
37.2%
J.D. King run for no gain to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
37.4%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 2Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.1%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:0633% → 31%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
32.6%
Trever Ryen run for 6 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-5
33.2%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
32.2%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to David MontgomerySimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-3
31.6%
Kyle Kempt sacked by Jarrell Owens for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+35
31.1%
Colin Downing punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IOWAST 36 IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1871% → 68%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
29.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 17 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
28.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 48 lat. to James Washington for 3 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 16
OPP 48
0
30.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+7
30.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
31.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3632% → 31%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
32.2%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 1 yd to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
32.1%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
31.5%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
31.1%
Colin Downing punt for 37 yds, downed at the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:5970% → 68%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
30.0%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-15
29.9%
Hill, Justice rush for 4 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY OKLAST illegal block 15 yards to the OKLAST31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 21
OWN 31
+6
31.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 6 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 15
OWN 37
-3
30.9%
Mason Rudolph sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+1
31.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 1 yd to the IowSt 35 IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the IowSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 1:4332% → 51%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+27
31.9%
David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
32.1%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Allen Lazard for 15 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
34.4%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+21
34.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for 21 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
36.5%
David Montgomery run for 19 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
36.9%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.2%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2859% → 63%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
41.5%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
42.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+25
43.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 25 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
39.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 16 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
38.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+10
37.9%
Justice Hill run for 10 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
38.2%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
38.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the IowSt 22Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+5
40.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
37.5%
Matt Ammendola 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:0639% → 63%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
39.4%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
42.6%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
42.3%
Zeb Noland pass complete to David Montgomery for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 8
50
+11
41.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Allen Lazard for 11 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
43.8%
Noland, Zeb pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen, PENALTY OKLAST holding 10 yards to the OKLAST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
45.3%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+12
45.5%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 12 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
45.6%
David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.3%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1544% → 40%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
56.1%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+15
57.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 15 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
54.8%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
54.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 1 yd to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-2
55.7%
Mason Rudolph sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 9
OWN 44
+12
59.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 51 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 12 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3762% → 61%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
61.5%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+15
61.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
62.3%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+1
62.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 35Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
61.9%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+2
60.6%
Colin Downing punt for 49 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 2 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:0940% → 68%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+81
59.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 81 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.2%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4740% → 70%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
40.4%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 8 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+7
43.6%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+29
43.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 29 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
48.0%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+22
69.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 22 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:1739% → 44%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
58.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 24 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
56.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
56.4%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+3
57.5%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+7
64.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 7 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
59.3%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 15
OPP 30
0
63.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+7
66.5%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
55.9%
Matt Ammendola 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4261% → 90%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
60.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 33 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
66.2%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for 11 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
68.1%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for 22 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (5 Yards) to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
89.6%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:2415% → 58%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
85.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 22 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
81.8%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
82.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 13 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
81.6%
Justice Hill run for 22 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
81.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
82.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 12
OPP 20
-10
85.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 22
OPP 30
+30
47.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 30 yds for a TD, (J. Hill Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 0
OPP 3
+2
41.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the IowSt 1Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
41.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) to the IowSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:3756% → 52%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
56.4%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
55.8%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
53.8%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
52.3%
Colin Downing punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:5756% → 89%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
44.1%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+30
44.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 30 yds Marcell Ateman fumbled, recovered by OKSt Marcell Ateman for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
11.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2120% → 18%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.4%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.8%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
18.9%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
17.7%
Colin Downing punt for 43 yds, downed at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2088% → 90%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
12.0%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+4
11.8%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
10.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to J.D. King for 7 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
10.3%
Zach Sinor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Allen Lazard at the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28INT
15 plays · 84 yds · 2:1317% → 21%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+30
17.0%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Allen Lazard for 30 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
18.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 8 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+8
21.0%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 8 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
14.7%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+22
13.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 22 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
19.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to David Montgomery for 6 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
19.7%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Matthew EatonSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-9
17.0%
Zeb Noland sacked by Trey Carter for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+19
9.1%
Zeb Noland pass complete to David Montgomery for 19 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.7%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.3%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.3%
Zeb Noland pass intercepted, touchback. A.J. Green return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29Uncategorized
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
6.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:55
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 30 yds for a TD, (J. Hill Run For Two-point Conversion)
-37.6
TD · Q4 3:47
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-33
TD · Q3 1:27
Justice Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-27.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com