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WVU

West Virginia 28 at Kansas State 23

KSU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:33 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:44: Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:22: Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +9.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:33: Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +13.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 30 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +18.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:44: Matthew McCrane 39 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +9.9 pts (now 35%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00KSU 4th & 21 at KSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:48KSU 4th & 6 at WVU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:51WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:21KSU 4th & 11 at WVU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:30KSU 4th & 4 at WVU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:26WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 29, down 3
    Close callPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:45KSU 4th & 4 at WVU 26, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:27KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:41KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 48, down 1
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:22KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:22WVU 4th & 10 at KSU 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00WVU 4th & 7 at KSU 36, up 8
    Close callPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:45KSU 4th & 10 at WVU 45, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−1.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:19WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 28, up 8
    Close callPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:45KSU 4th & 11 at WVU 15, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−2.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−10.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:45WVU 4th & 8 at KSU 36, up 8
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−0.3
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:44KSU 4th & 7 at WVU 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−11.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:35WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−1.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:41WVU 4th & 5 at KSU 43, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−3.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−2.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:05KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 1, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−4.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:33WVU 4th & 3 at KSU 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−2.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:28WVU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56WVU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:44KSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:22WVU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:33KSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:00WVU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
44.8%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+7
44.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 7 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-16
44.8%
Thompson, S. pass complete to Pringle, Byron for 6 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY KS pass interference (Schoen, Dalton) 16 yards to the KS28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 28
0
44.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 28
+17
44.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 47 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 17 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
45.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 4 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
45.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 1 yd David Sills V fumbled, forced by D.J. Reed, recovered by KanSt D.J. ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
45.7%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
45.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
45.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
45.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
45.7%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 3 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
45.7%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 6
OWN 10
-4
45.8%
Will Grier sacked by Davis Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 6Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+4
45.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 4 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
46.7%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Adam Shuler II for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+4
46.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
46.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Byron Pringle KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
46.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+25
46.2%
Will Grier pass intercepted D.J. Reed return for 25 yds to the WVirg 3 D.J. Reed fumbled, forced by Marcus Simms,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0247% → 48%
Q1 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
47.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.3%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
47.8%
Matthew McCrane 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
47.7%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
47.7%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
47.7%
Will Grier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+23
48.2%
Billy Kinney punt for 41 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 23 yds to the WVirg 47 D.J. Reed fumbled, forced by Ezekiel Rose, recovered by KanSt Kendall AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:3949% → 52%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
48.7%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
48.8%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-5
48.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (Skylar Thompson) to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+11
48.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 11 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
49.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
48.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+1
48.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 2:45
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
51.9%
Matthew McCrane 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
46.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 75 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
46.7%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Al-Rasheed Benton and Dylan Tonkery for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+3
46.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
45.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+9
45.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 51 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 9 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:4954% → 61%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
45.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 13 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
45.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+43
45.4%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 43 yds to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
38.9%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 16 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:0541% → 50%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
40.5%
Dalvin Warmack run for 22 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
42.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+16
41.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 16 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
42.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 21 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.1%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
45.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus Simms, broken up by Trey DishonSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+17
46.3%
Justin Crawford run for 17 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
44.7%
Grier, Will rush for 10 yards to the KS43, PENALTY WVU holding (Bosch, Kyle) 10 yards to the WVU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+42
46.2%
Will Grier pass intercepted Denzel Goolsby return for 22 yds to the KANSASST 41 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (Duke Shelley) to the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
49.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 5 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
49.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for 3 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
48.8%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
48.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:3754% → 66%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
46.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
45.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
46.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 12 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
45.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
44.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
44.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings, broken up by Kendall AdamsSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
44.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary Jennings, broken up by Kendall AdamsSimilar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+43
45.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 43 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
43.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.4%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
36.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen, broken up by David Long Jr.Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
35.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+8
34.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 8 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
35.6%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
35.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
35.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
34.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
34.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
35.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
36.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by D.J. Reed at the KanSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 3:2035% → 53%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
34.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+4
35.1%
Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+41
35.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for 41 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
38.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+24
39.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 24 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
39.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.8%
Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:0054% → 58%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
45.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+17
44.4%
Justin Crawford run for 17 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
43.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 9 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
41.8%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39 Justin Crawford fumbled, forced by Elijah Sullivan, recovered by KanSt Joe DaviesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21INT
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
49.1%
Dalvin Warmack run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
47.5%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Ezekiel Rose return for no gain to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
29.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 30 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
31.7%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
31.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+20
30.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 20 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
30.3%
Will Grier sacked by Jayd Kirby for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
30.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
30.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
31.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
32.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
32.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 17 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
33.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 18 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
36.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
36.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-5
36.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Abdul Beecham) to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+2
34.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
32.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds, downed at the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
30.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+6
31.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 6 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+11
32.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 11 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
30.4%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 6 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
29.4%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
30.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus Simms, broken up by D.J. Reed WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+44
31.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 42 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 44 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26MISSED FG
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:2336% → 27%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
36.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+6
35.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive offside (Lamonte McDougle) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
36.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+5
34.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive offside (Al-Rasheed Benton) to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
36.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the WVirg 14Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
36.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
29.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
26.5%
Matthew McCrane 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:0075% → 76%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
25.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 23 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
22.6%
Justin Crawford run for 19 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
22.2%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
22.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
22.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus Simms, broken up by Cre MooreSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
23.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 28FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:3125% → 35%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
24.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Winston Dimel for 33 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
29.0%
Justin Silmon run for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
29.1%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+12
28.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 12 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
30.0%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+6
27.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-15
27.9%
Thompson, S. pass complete to Schoen, Dalton for 8 yards to the WVU15, out-of-bounds (Bailey, Hakeem), PENALTY KS pass interference (Zuber, Isaiah) 15 yards to the WVU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OPP 38
+16
25.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 16 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
35.0%
Matthew McCrane 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
29.1%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
29.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 3 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
29.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+32
31.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 32 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 30INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:3438% → 37%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
38.0%
Skylar Thompson sacked by David Long Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+7
35.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 7 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+18
36.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 18 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
39.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 5 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
39.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+37
36.6%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Kenny Robinson return for 37 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 76%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
21.2%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+4
21.4%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
21.5%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
23.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 40 yds , D.J. Reed returns for no gain to the KanSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
24.7%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-2
24.1%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Ezekiel Rose for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 12
OWN 1
0
22.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 12
OWN 1
+3
21.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 40 yds , Marcus Simms returns for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 33END OF GAME
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:0086% → 91%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
14.0%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
12.7%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+2
14.6%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+5
12.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
9.1%
Justin Crawford run for 14 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
9.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 9 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+1
9.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the KanSt 2Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
9.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 30 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q2 1:33
Winston Dimel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+13.5
FG · Q4 12:44
Matthew McCrane 39 yd FG GOOD
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com