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KU

Kansas 27 at Texas 42

TEX
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:46 · Cole Moos punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+22.6Home team on offense+17.7Score differential+6.0Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:11: Carter Stanley pass complete to Earl Bostick for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +1.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:49: Lil'Jordan Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK) — TEX win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:11: Gabriel Rui 32 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +1.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:34: Chris Warren III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK) — TEX win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:11: Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 18 yds for a TD TEXAS Penalty, defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +2.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 11KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:44KU 4th & 10 at KU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:33TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:33TEX 4th & 6 at KU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:12KU 4th & 5 at TEX 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:31TEX 4th & 15 at KU 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:31KU 4th & 10 at KU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:05TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 25, up 11
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:14TEX 4th & 2 at KU 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:14TEX 4th & 2 at KU 4, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00KU 4th & 3 at TEX 42, down 18
    Close callPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:44TEX 4th & 6 at KU 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:11KU 4th & 7 at TEX 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:23TEX 4th & 4 at KU 35, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:46KU 4th & 6 at KU 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 23, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:45KU 4th & 7 at KU 27, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:47KU 4th & 2 at TEX 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:00TEX 4th & 5 at KU 32, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:34KU 4th & 12 at KU 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:52TEX 4th & 4 at KU 39, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:51TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:05TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:27KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:42TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 1:55TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:11KU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:49TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:34TEX Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:11KU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
97.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 49 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
97.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-2
97.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 14:44
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.7%
Stanley, Carter sacked for loss of 9 yards to the KU23 (Omenihu, Charles), PENALTY UT offside defense (Hager, Breckyn) 5 yards to the KU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:44
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-5
97.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 14:44
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Jason HallSimilar
Q1 14:44
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Cole Moos punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
97.5%
Daniel Young run for 4 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
97.5%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Daniel Young run for no gain to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+4
97.5%
Daniel Young run for 4 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.5%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
97.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-3
97.5%
Shane Buechele sacked by Osaze Ogbebor for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Michael Dickson punt for 42 yds, downed at the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
97.1%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
97.1%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+16
97.3%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted for a TD Antwuan Davis return for 16 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:313% → 4%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
97.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+15
97.2%
Carter Stanley run for 15 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for no gain to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for no gain to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+15
97.2%
Stanley, Carter left sideline pass incomplete to Sims, Steven, PENALTY UT defensive pass interference (Boyd, Kris) 15 yards to the UT25, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
97.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 20 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:3897% → 97%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.7%
Daniel Young run for 4 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
96.7%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+7
96.7%
Daniel Young run for 7 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
96.7%
Daniel Young run for 21 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
97.2%
Toneil Carter run for 23 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
96.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+25
97.0%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Jason Hall return for 25 yds to the Kans 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:2897% → 98%
Q1 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
97.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to John Burt for 1 yd to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 8 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:442% → 4%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.8%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
97.8%
Taylor Martin run for 7 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
97.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
50
+14
97.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 14 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
97.7%
Stanley, Carter left sideline pass incomplete to Sims, Steven, PENALTY UT 12 men on the field 5 yards to the UT31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 5
OPP 31
+4
97.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 4 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+6
97.6%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
97.6%
Taylor Martin run for 8 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+4
97.6%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
97.6%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
97.6%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Earl Bostick for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:514% → 4%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
96.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan Fairs, broken up by DeShon ElliottSimilar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+5
96.3%
Carter Stanley run for 5 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
95.6%
Gabriel Rui 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 1:3496% → 96%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
95.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 12 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, roughing passer (Dorance Armstrong Jr.) to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
96.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+26
96.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 26 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
96.1%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
96.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Collin Johnson, broken up by Kyle MayberrySimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
96.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John Burt, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 15
OPP 27
0
95.9%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+44
95.6%
Mitchell Becker 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
95.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
95.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
95.8%
Cole Moos punt for 56 yds, downed at the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
95.7%
Carter, Toneil rush over left end for 4 yards to the UT21 (Dineen, Joe), PENALTY UT offensive holding (Nickelson, Tristan) 8 yards to the UT9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+7
95.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 7 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+2
95.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 2 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+7
95.6%
Shane Buechele run for 7 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+52
95.5%
Michael Dickson punt for 52 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 22 Steven Sims Jr. fumbled, recovered by Texas Antwuan DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:2596% → 97%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
95.6%
Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
95.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+4
95.5%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+2
95.3%
Shane Buechele run for 2 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
95.6%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-2
95.6%
Shane Buechele sacked by Keith Loneker Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+8
95.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 8 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+3
95.3%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey run for 3 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16INT
12 plays · 71 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
96.7%
Carter Stanley sacked by Malcolm Roach for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+14
96.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 14 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.6%
Carter Stanley run for 3 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
96.3%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
96.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 11 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.1%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
96.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 2 yds Ben Johnson fumbled, forced by DeShon Elliott,Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.3%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted, touchback. Antwuan Davis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.7%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
96.7%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan Fairs, broken up by Davante DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+26
96.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 26 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
96.3%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
96.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
-1
96.3%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
96.4%
Cole Moos punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
97.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 22 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.6%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-1
97.6%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+18
97.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 18 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.6%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-4
97.6%
Shane Buechele sacked by Keith Loneker Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+6
97.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 6 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
97.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for no gain to the Kans 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:493% → 5%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.9%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+29
97.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 29 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.5%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+15
96.5%
Taylor Martin run for 15 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
96.3%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+5
96.5%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
96.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
95.0%
Gabriel Rui 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:4197% → 97%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
96.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 15 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Collin Johnson, broken up by Dorance Armstrong Jr.Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
96.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Toneil Carter for 9 yds Toneil Carter fumbled, forced by Julian Chandler, recovered by Texas Toneil CarterSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
97.2%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
97.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 7 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-1
97.3%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
97.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
96.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
95.5%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
95.9%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+3
95.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Taylor Martin for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
95.8%
Cole Moos punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0697% → 97%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
97.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 3 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
97.1%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
97.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey TEXAS Penalty, offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
96.9%
Michael Dickson punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.4%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
96.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Cole Moos punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the Texas 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
97.3%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+4
97.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Daniel Young for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 7
OWN 0
0
97.2%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Hasan Defense return for 10 yds to the Texas 45 TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (Kyle Mayberry) to the Texas 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:204% → 4%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
96.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 16
OPP 43
-4
96.2%
Carter Stanley sacked by Breckyn Hager for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 47 KANSAS Penalty, offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 20
OPP 47
+18
96.5%
N/A run for 18 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-5
96.3%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Larry Hughes) to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+5
96.4%
Stanley, Carter deep pass incomplete to Harrell, Chase, QB hurry by Hall, Jason, PENALTY UT offside defense (Omenihu, Charles) 5 yards to the UT29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-3
96.3%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:0298% → 100%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
97.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
50
+2
97.8%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
97.8%
Toneil Carter run for 7 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
97.8%
Toneil Carter run for 4 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
97.8%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+2
97.8%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+6
97.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 6 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
98.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 16 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
98.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
Lil'Jordan Humphrey run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
99.6%
Carter Stanley sacked by Anthony Wheeler for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
99.6%
Carter Stanley sacked by Jason Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+22
99.6%
Cole Moos punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the TEXAS 40 KANSAS Penalty, kick catching interference (Bryce Torneden) to the Kans 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
99.8%
Daniel Young run for 1 yd to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 30TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:190% → 3%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
99.6%
Carter Stanley run for 16 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+14
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 31 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
97.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 18 yds for a TD TEXAS Penalty, defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:11
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 18 yds for a TD TEXAS Penalty, defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
-2.7
TD · Q2 4:49
Lil'Jordan Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Becker KICK)
+1.6
FG · Q3 5:11
Gabriel Rui 32 yd FG GOOD
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com