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Oklahoma 62 at Oklahoma State 52

OKST
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Mason Rudolph pass intercepted, touchback. Robert Barnes return for no gain
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:33: Justice Hill run for 30 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +14.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:12: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +21.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:30: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +29.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 11:43: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 77 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +19.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:51: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +34.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:07OKST 4th & 10 at OU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11OU 4th & 6 at OU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:17OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:30OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:09OKST 4th & 2 at OU 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−5.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:18OU 4th & 2 at OKST 2, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−8.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:20OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:40OKST 4th & 1 at OU 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−3.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:13OKST 4th & 12 at OU 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:00OKST 4th & 8 at OU 38, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.1 ptsWent for it · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%−5.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−12.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:03OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:01OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:45OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:07OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:50OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 11:09OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 8:12OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 7:16OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q2 0:33OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:12OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 12:30OKST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 11:43OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 9:51OKST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 0:42OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0648% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
52.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Dru Samia) to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
52.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 5 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.4%
Rodney Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
52.5%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted A.J. Green return for 7 yds to the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:2953% → 53%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+2
52.7%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+10
52.8%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
52.8%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-1
53.1%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
53.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
53.1%
Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4047% → 46%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
53.2%
Abdul Adams run for 4 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
53.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
53.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5053% → 53%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
53.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Kenneth Edison-McGruderSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
53.3%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
53.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+10
53.2%
Zach Sinor punt for 41 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 10 yds to the Okla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:0447% → 48%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
53.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
53.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
53.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 11 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
51.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 49 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5852% → 55%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron Johnson, broken up by Parnell MotleySimilar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+60
51.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 60 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
53.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
53.1%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Lacy, Chris, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Thomas, Jordan) 9 yards to the OKLAHOMA6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
53.1%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the Okla 2Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
53.2%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the Okla 1Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:0446% → 50%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.4%
Mayfield, Baker pass complete to Brown, Marquise for 8 yards to the OKLAHOMA28, PENALTY OKLAST offside (Bundage, Calvin) 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+55
54.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 55 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
52.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 9 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
53.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+6
53.4%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1051% → 51%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Sione FinefeuiakiSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.2%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
51.0%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
50.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:3149% → 56%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
51.2%
Sermon, Trey rush for 6 yards to the OKLAHOMA27, PENALTY OKLAST offside (Bundage, Calvin) 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 5
OWN 26
0
50.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-3
50.7%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+12
51.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 12 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
50.4%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Okla 36Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+16
50.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 16 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+36
49.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 36 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
48.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
48.4%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
43.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4245% → 53%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+51
45.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 51 yds to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
46.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 10 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
53.4%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 84 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
44.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 84 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:3344% → 52%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.7%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
43.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+32
42.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 32 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
45.1%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyron, PENALTY OKLAHOMA substitution infraction 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+18
45.1%
Justice Hill run for 18 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
45.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
45.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 15 yds to the Okla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
45.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell Ateman, broken up by Jordan ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
45.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Okla 2Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
44.3%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Okla 2Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5150% → 61%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 14 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
48.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 9 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
47.3%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
47.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 20 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
46.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
46.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
38.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5039% → 52%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
38.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Keenen Brown for 15 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
39.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 11 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
40.5%
Justice Hill run for 14 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
52.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 35 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:4652% → 63%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+30
47.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 30 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
45.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+15
45.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 15 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
43.8%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
43.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 7 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+17
44.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 17 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
44.6%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 2Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
43.1%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the OKSt 1Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
43.4%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 2Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
37.4%
Austin Seibert 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:3440% → 59%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
40.4%
Justice Hill run for 27 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
43.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris Lacy, broken up by Tre NorwoodSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
46.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 4 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+30
58.5%
Justice Hill run for 30 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2156% → 57%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
55.8%
Justice Hill run for 11 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
56.3%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
57.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 6 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
57.9%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
56.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 49 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 48 yds · 5:3048% → 46%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
52.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 8Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
53.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+10
54.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 10 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
52.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+21
50.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 21 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
49.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
49.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 11 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
48.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 19 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
48.1%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-9
48.3%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Tralund Webber for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 19
OPP 31
-9
52.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 28
OPP 40
-5
54.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 33
OPP 45
0
54.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3957% → 55%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
56.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
56.8%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+3
55.4%
Mason Rudolph run for 3 yds to the OKSt 10 Mason Rudolph fumbled, forced by Kenneth Mann, recovered by Okla Ogbonnia OkoronkwoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21FG
4 plays · -9 yds · 2:0552% → 56%
Q3 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
47.8%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the OKSt 10Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
47.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Darrion Daniels and DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 12Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-7
49.6%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Jordan Brailford and Trey Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 0
OPP 19
+36
44.0%
Austin Seibert 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22INT
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:2748% → 56%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
47.8%
Justice Hill run for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
49.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
49.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Steven ParkerSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+34
47.9%
Justice Hill run for 34 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
55.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to J.D. King for 7 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
55.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to J.D. King, broken up by Ogbonnia OkoronkwoSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+6
52.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
55.6%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
55.5%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the Okla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
55.5%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted, touchback. Will Johnson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:5556% → 77%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
44.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+36
44.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 36 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
22.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3125% → 54%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
25.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
26.5%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
26.5%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Lacy, Chris, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Norwood, Tre) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
28.4%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-9
27.7%
Mason Rudolph sacked by D.J. Ward for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 15
50
-5
23.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 20
OWN 45
+19
22.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 19 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
24.5%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
54.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:4059% → 79%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
40.7%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+77
21.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 77 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:4520% → 51%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
20.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 30 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
23.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
23.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+7
23.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 7 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
25.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-2
25.5%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
18.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+18
16.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 18 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
51.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27INT
15 plays · 71 yds · 6:3964% → 79%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
36.2%
Baker Mayfield run for 18 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.5%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
34.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
33.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 9 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
29.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
29.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+25
30.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 25 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
23.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
23.2%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+15
24.1%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Lamb, CeeDee, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q4 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
22.3%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
21.0%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 12Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+35
21.4%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted by Chad Whitener at the OSU 0, Chad Whitener return for 35 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:5339% → 27%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+20
35.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 20 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
41.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
40.9%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 20
OWN 45
+15
32.4%
Rudolph, Mason pass pass intended for Stoner, Dillon intercepted by Brown, Tre at the OKLAHOMA36, Brown, Tre return 0 yards to the OKLAHOMA36, PENALTY OKLAHOMA personal foul (Johnson, Will) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
39.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Keenen Brown for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
35.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
34.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon Stoner, broken up by Caleb KellySimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
27.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 29TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:1291% → 97%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
9.2%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+53
3.2%
Trey Sermon run for 53 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30INT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:364% → 4%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
3.8%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
3.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 11 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
3.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
3.3%
Rudolph, Mason pass pass intercepted by Brown, Tre at the OKLAST20, Brown, Tre return 0 yards to the OKLAST20, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
3.6%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted, touchback. Robert Barnes return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:51
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+34.5
TD · Q4 12:30
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 33 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+29.6
TD · Q3 0:12
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-21.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com