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KSU

Kansas State 42 at Texas Tech 35

TTU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT 0:00 · Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:32: Nic Shimonek pass intercepted for a TD Duke Shelley return for 25 yds for a TD (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:00: Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +14.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:10: Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 22 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +12.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:42: Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 00:42 (Skylar Thompson pass to Dalton Schoen for Two-Point Conversion) — KSU win probability +48.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 8 yds for a TD — KSU win probability +18.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:22KSU 4th & 2 at TTU 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:47KSU 4th & 11 at TTU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:08TTU 4th & 6 at KSU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:26KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−2.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:32TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:49TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:59KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:00TTU 4th & 1 at KSU 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−4.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−17.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:00KSU 4th & 9 at TTU 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:10KSU 4th & 11 at TTU 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−3.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:40TTU 4th & 2 at KSU 13, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%−0.8
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−5.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 12:18KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:40TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:36KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:26TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:59TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:32KSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:00TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:10TTU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:42KSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    21.4%−4.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:3842% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
58.1%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
58.1%
Alex Delton pass incomplete, broken up by Eli HowardSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+17
58.1%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 17 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
58.1%
Alex Barnes run for 11 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
58.1%
Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
58.1%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
58.1%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
58.1%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
58.1%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-5
58.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+12
58.1%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 12 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+45
57.7%
Matthew McCrane 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.8%
Tre King run for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
57.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for no gain to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
57.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 4 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
57.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
57.6%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 30 yds, fair catch by D.J. Reed at the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
57.4%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 6 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
57.1%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
57.1%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
57.0%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+10
57.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 10 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
56.9%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-2
56.9%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
57.2%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
57.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 33 yds, downed at the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
56.6%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+18
56.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 18 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
56.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 11 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
57.7%
Justin Stockton run for 12 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
58.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
58.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 4 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
58.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
57.1%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 4:0043% → 52%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
56.7%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+9
56.7%
Delton, Alex pass incomplete to Schoen, Dalton, PENALTY TTU pass interference (Parker, Justus) 9 yards to the KS14, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
56.5%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+42
55.8%
Justin Silmon run for 42 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
54.4%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dominique Heath for no gain to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
54.5%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+25
55.1%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 25 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
48.1%
Dalvin Warmack run for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3848% → 58%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
48.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.3%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
48.1%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
47.9%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 15 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
49.6%
Nic Shimonek run for 9 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+7
49.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 7 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
50.4%
Tre King run for 7 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+25
58.4%
Tre King run for 25 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0447% → 57%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
53.2%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 19 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
52.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 20 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
52.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for 6 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-5
50.3%
Delton, Alex pass complete to Dimel, Winston for 14 yards to the TTU0, clock 07:41, PENALTY KS illegal formation 5 yards to the TTU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
43.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 19 yds for a TD (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
53.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 75 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
53.0%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
53.2%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Dominique Heath, broken up by Kolin HillSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
54.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+21
54.3%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 21 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
51.5%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
51.5%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-11
51.9%
Alex Delton pass complete to Alex Delton for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+3
54.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 41 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
53.4%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
53.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
51.9%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 11
OWN 27
+3
51.2%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 43 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 3 yds to the KanSt 30 KANSAS ST Penalty, targeting (15 Yards) to the KanSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11INT
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:0048% → 50%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
52.1%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 11 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
51.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 18 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
50.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+15
50.3%
Delton, Alex pass incomplete to Reuter, Zach, PENALTY TTU targeting (Hill, Kolin) 15 yards to the TTU37, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
49.8%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
49.8%
Alex Delton pass intercepted Mychealon Thomas return for no gain to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:4253% → 49%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
53.4%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-15
52.3%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Batson, Cameron, PENALTY TTU personal foul (Stawarz, Paul) 15 yards to the TTU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 27
OWN 22
+14
51.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 14 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
50.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+8
49.3%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 50 yds , Byron Pringle returns for 8 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
50.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:0152% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
52.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
54.3%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
53.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 8 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
55.2%
Tre King run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
55.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
54.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. Vasher, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+18
52.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 18 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
56.8%
Tre King run for no gain to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
56.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+34
65.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 34 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
63.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Byron Pringle, broken up by Damarcus FieldsSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Tony Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+4
65.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 55 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 4 yds to the TexTc 28 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (Jax Welch) to the TexTc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16INT TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3663% → 50%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
63.3%
Tre King run for 4 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+25
50.1%
Nic Shimonek pass intercepted for a TD Duke Shelley return for 25 yds for a TD (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:3250% → 69%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
50.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (Paul Stawarz) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
50.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
50.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 6 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
51.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 7 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
53.3%
Nic Shimonek run for 5 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
53.8%
Tre King run for no gain to the TexTc 46Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+9
52.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 9 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
54.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 3 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+12
54.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 12 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
55.8%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
55.8%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+16
54.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 16 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
55.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 5 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
55.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell, broken up by D.J. ReedSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.1%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0038% → 34%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
61.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
61.7%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
62.4%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete, PENALTY KS illegal touching (Zuber, Isaiah) 0 yards to the TTU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
65.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:5469% → 87%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
68.9%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+16
67.2%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Cantrell, Dylan, PENALTY KS pass interference (Reed, D.J.) 16 yards to the TTU33, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
69.6%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+14
71.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 14 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
72.5%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
72.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 5 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
72.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 9 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
74.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 3 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+8
74.6%
Nic Shimonek run for 8 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
74.6%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. Vasher, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
74.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+22
86.9%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 22 yds for a TD (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:0016% → 15%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
83.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dominique Heath for 11 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
82.6%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Pringle, Byron (Smith, Desmon), PENALTY TTU roughing passer (Washington, B.) 15 yards to the TTU40, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
81.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+13
82.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 13 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
80.1%
Dalvin Warmack run for 3 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+10
80.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 10 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
80.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-5
80.1%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Tony Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
82.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
85.2%
Matthew McCrane 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21MISSED FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:3087% → 94%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.3%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
87.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for 5 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
87.1%
Tre King run for 4 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.4%
Tre King run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
88.6%
Tre King run for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+19
87.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 19 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
88.8%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
89.0%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+13
88.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 13 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
89.0%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
95.0%
Tre King run for 4 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
94.7%
Nic Shimonek run for 2 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
94.3%
Clayton Hatfield 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:587% → 61%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+54
92.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 54 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
88.1%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
88.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+10
89.4%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Pringle, Byron (Lane, Jaylon), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Lane, Jaylon) 10 yards to the TTU8, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
88.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.1%
Thompson, S. rush for no gain to the TTU1 (Thomas, M.), PENALTY TTU substitution infraction 0 yards to the TTU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 00:42 (Skylar Thompson pass to Dalton Schoen for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23END OF HALF
14 plays · 0 yds · 15:4258% → 23%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.3%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
41.1%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+10
43.0%
Alex Barnes run for 10 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
40.5%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
22.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
28.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+18
22.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 18 yds to the KanSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
28.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. Vasher, broken up by Jayd KirbySimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
28.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan Cantrell, broken up by D.J. ReedSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
21.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 6 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
23.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:42
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 00:42 (Skylar Thompson pass to Dalton Schoen for Two-Point Conversion)
-48.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.1
TD · OT 0:00
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 8 yds for a TD
-18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com