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BAY

Baylor 38 at Kansas 9

KU
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:35 · Connor Martin punt for 29 yds, downed at the Kans 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior−18.9Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:15: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 26 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK) — BAY win probability +3.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:03: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jordan Feuerbacher for 25 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK) — BAY win probability +7.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:29: Gavin Holmes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK) — BAY win probability +5.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:39: Gabriel Rui 43 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +3.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:51: Terence Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK) — BAY win probability +10.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11BAY made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35KU 4th & 7 at BAY 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:35BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:27KU 4th & 8 at KU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:14BAY 4th & 5 at KU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    64.3%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:19KU 4th & 6 at KU 41, tied
    Close callWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:24KU 4th & 5 at BAY 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:08KU 4th & 4 at KU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:18KU 4th & 18 at BAY 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:05BAY 4th & 3 at KU 19, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−6.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:59KU 4th & 1 at BAY 21, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−1.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−7.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:39KU 4th & 17 at BAY 26, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−5.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:39BAY 4th & 3 at BAY 32, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:37KU 4th & 5 at KU 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:51BAY 4th & 1 at KU 1, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−3.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−12.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:23BAY 4th & 19 at KU 41, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 8 at KU 18, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:45BAY 4th & 10 at KU 21, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:37KU 4th & 8 at KU 49, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:35BAY 4th & 4 at KU 15, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 13:15BAY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:03BAY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:29BAY Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:51BAY Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:31BAY Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
30.2%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+3
30.2%
Terence Williams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-4
30.2%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Osaze Ogbebor for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 14Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
30.2%
Connor Martin punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:3831% → 32%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
31.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Khalil Herbert for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
31.0%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+24
31.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 24 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
31.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
31.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
31.2%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
31.8%
Gabriel Rui 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
31.6%
Terence Williams run for no gain to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
31.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+8
31.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
31.7%
Connor Martin punt for 29 yds, downed at the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
32.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
32.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
32.0%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
31.8%
Cole Moos punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
32.7%
Terence Williams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
32.7%
Terence Williams run for no gain to the Bayl 17Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+12
32.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 12 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
32.5%
Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
32.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+19
32.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jared Atkinson for 19 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
32.0%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-5
32.1%
BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 47Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+4
32.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 4 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+7
32.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Terence Williams for 7 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
32.4%
Connor Martin punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:5534% → 39%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
34.4%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+17
34.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 17 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
34.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
34.8%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+10
34.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 10 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
35.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Grayland ArnoldSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
34.9%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+4
34.4%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+11
34.4%
Cole Moos run for 11 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
37.9%
Steven Sims Jr. run for 11 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
38.0%
Taylor Martin run for 11 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
38.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
38.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
38.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for no gain to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 14:24
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
39.0%
Gabriel Rui 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0962% → 68%
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
38.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 56 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
35.7%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Joe Dineen Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 17
OPP 26
+26
32.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 26 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
33.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+6
33.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 6 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-1
33.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
33.0%
Cole Moos punt for 41 yds, downed at the Bayl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:3166% → 75%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
33.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Blake Lynch for 16 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
32.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 3 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
32.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+4
33.0%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
32.5%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
32.3%
Terence Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+6
32.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Terence Williams for 6 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
32.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 11 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
24.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jordan Feuerbacher for 25 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:3726% → 27%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
26.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
26.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+36
26.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 36 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
27.9%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the Bayl 14Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
27.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-9
27.1%
Carter Stanley sacked by Ira Lewis for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 18
OPP 23
+40
26.6%
Gabriel Rui 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:4275% → 83%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
25.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 30 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
24.3%
Terence Williams run for no gain to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
24.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin Holmes, broken up by Kyle MayberrySimilar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+22
25.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 22 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
17.4%
Gavin Holmes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
21.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 5 yds Ryan Schadler fumbled, forced by Rajah Preciado, recovered by Bayl James LynchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:0583% → 83%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
17.3%
Jared Atkinson pass complete to Charlie Brewer for 20 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
17.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Blake LynchSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
17.2%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+6
17.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
16.6%
Connor Martin 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
20.2%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
20.1%
Taylor Martin run for 13 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
20.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
20.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 4:1720% → 21%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+43
19.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 43 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
21.6%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
21.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 15 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
22.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
21.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 7 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
21.8%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
19.2%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
19.6%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 21Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
19.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-5
18.6%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Clyde McCauley III) to the Bayl 26Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 17
OPP 26
0
18.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+43
21.2%
Gabriel Rui 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.2%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
20.1%
JaMycal Hasty run for 4 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
20.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Blake Lynch, broken up by Tyrone Miller Jr.Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+53
21.0%
Connor Martin punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the KANSAS 25 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Kans 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
21.1%
Ryan Schadler run for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 18
OWN 7
+4
20.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 4 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 14
OWN 11
+9
20.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
20.4%
Cole Moos punt for 34 yds, downed at the Bayl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:3982% → 96%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
17.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 8 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+6
17.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 6 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
17.5%
Terence Williams run for 4 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
17.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, false start (Mo Porter) to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+2
17.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+19
17.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 19 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
17.0%
Terence Williams run for 10 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
17.0%
Terence Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
17.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 10 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.4%
JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 2:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.2%
Terence Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
9.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
9.1%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Harrison Hand return for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
3.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-6
3.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Blake Lynch for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 16
OPP 38
-5
4.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Terence Williams for 5 yds to the Kans 33 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (Sam Tecklenburg) to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 21
OPP 43
+7
4.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Terence Williams for 7 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 14
OPP 36
-5
4.4%
BAYLOR Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 19
OPP 41
0
4.4%
Connor Martin punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:137% → 7%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
7.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 11
0
7.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+5
7.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 5 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
7.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
7.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 6 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 22
-4
7.3%
Carter Stanley sacked by Taylor Young for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
7.2%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:2897% → 99%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
3.0%
Terence Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+7
2.9%
Terence Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
2.9%
Terence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+22
3.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 22 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
2.8%
Williams,Ter. rush for 10 yards to the KU11 (Mayberry,Kyle), PENALTY BU holding (Newman,Xavier) 10 yards to the KU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+12
2.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for 12 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
2.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-6
2.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
1.1%
Connor Martin 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
2.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 4 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
2.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Evan Fairs for 4 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-6
2.3%
Peyton Bender sacked by Jalen Pitre for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
2.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:4699% → 100%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
0.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 17 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
0.8%
Terence Williams run for 11 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
0.8%
Terence Williams run for 5 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+3
0.8%
Terence Williams run for 3 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-2
0.4%
Terence Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+5
0.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
0.4%
Terence Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
0.4%
Terence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ishmail Wainright for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25Uncategorized
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
0.0%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Lenoy Jones Jr.) to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-10
0.0%
Williams,Dom rush for 11 yards to the BU34 (Pitre,Jalen;Jones,Marques), PENALTY KU holding (Hughes,Chris) 10 yards to the KU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+5
0.0%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 14
50
+1
0.0%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:51
Terence Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q2 7:03
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jordan Feuerbacher for 25 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q2 2:29
Gavin Holmes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com