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TTU

Texas Tech 27 at Oklahoma 49

OU
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:37 · Dominic Panazzolo punt for 36 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior+20.3Home team on offense+14.9Score differential+5.1Garbage-time factor+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:04: Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +2.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:48: Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +3.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:10: Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +5.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:24: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +3.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:41: Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q2 14:45OU 4th & 8 at TTU 33, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:58TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:31OU 4th & 7 at OU 46, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:46TTU 4th & 5 at OU 48, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:56TTU 4th & 11 at OU 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:00OU 4th & 8 at OU 11, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:40TTU 4th & 7 at OU 44, down 8
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:12OU 4th & 1 at OU 37, up 8
    Close callPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:26TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:37TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:21TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 38, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:26TTU 4th & 1 at OU 46, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−1.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:16TTU 4th & 2 at OU 2, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:00OU 4th & 2 at TTU 37, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:41TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:08OU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:35TTU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:31OU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:41TTU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:45OU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 7:04OU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:48OU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 12:10TTU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 10:24OU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:41OU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:548% → 10%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.4%
Tre King run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
92.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 2 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
92.2%
Tre King run for 10 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.1%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
92.0%
Tre King run for 11 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
91.9%
Tre King run for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
91.8%
Tre King run for 6 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
91.6%
Tre King run for 5 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
91.4%
Desmond Nisby run for 6 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
91.3%
Desmond Nisby run for 3 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
91.2%
Desmond Nisby run for 2 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+7
91.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 7 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
90.9%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+1
90.7%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the Okla 9Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
90.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 0:5790% → 91%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
90.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 6 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
90.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+8
89.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 8 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+38
90.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 23 yds to the OKLAHOMA 39 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
91.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:1010% → 11%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
90.5%
Tre King run for 12 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
89.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 70 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4490% → 91%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.5%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
89.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 12 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+35
89.0%
Abdul Adams run for 35 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
89.5%
Abdul Adams run for 26 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.6%
Dimitri Flowers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:5010% → 13%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
90.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
89.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Jack Anderson for 2 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
89.5%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+22
89.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 7 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
86.9%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 42 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3788% → 89%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.5%
Marcelias Sutton run for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
87.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 11 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
87.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+12
87.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 12 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
87.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-4
87.5%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
86.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+18
86.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 18 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
87.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:3212% → 12%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.9%
Tre King run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
87.6%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-7
87.7%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 28Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
88.0%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:0488% → 87%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+24
87.6%
Jeff Badet run for 24 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
88.0%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
88.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Abdul AdamsSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
87.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete OKLAHOMA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+17
87.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 49 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 17 yds to the Texas Tech 22 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) to the TexTc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3214% → 14%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
86.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 10 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
85.9%
Tre King run for 5 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
85.3%
Nic Shimonek run for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
85.7%
Nic Shimonek pass intercepted by Caleb Kelly return for no gain to the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:1187% → 91%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
87.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 16 yds Mark Andrews fumbled, recovered by OklaSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
87.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marcelias Sutton for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+30
87.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 30 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:5910% → 10%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 12 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
89.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 18 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
88.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
88.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Ja'Deion High for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
88.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Tre KingSimilar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-5
89.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Travis Bruffy) to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
89.6%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2789% → 88%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
89.0%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
88.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Rodney AndersonSimilar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
88.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 8
OWN 11
0
88.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 36 yds, downed at the Okla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5812% → 12%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
87.7%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+2
87.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for 2 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
87.5%
Tre King run for no gain to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
88.1%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 27 yds, downed at the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:2289% → 90%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
88.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 11 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
88.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 24Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+6
88.5%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+7
88.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 7 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
90.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 42 yds, downed at the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:3510% → 10%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
89.9%
Tre King run for 13 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.6%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
89.4%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
89.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
90.2%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 43 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.3%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:5489% → 93%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+28
89.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 28 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
90.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+18
90.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 18 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
90.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 16 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:318% → 15%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Nic Shimonek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to De'Quan Bowman for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
92.1%
Tre King run for 10 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+34
91.9%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 34 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Quan ShortsSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
91.1%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference 14 yards to the OKLAHOMA9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
85.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:2589% → 94%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
88.8%
Abdul Adams run for 7 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+16
89.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 16 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
89.8%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+18
89.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 18 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
89.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 5 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (8 Yards) to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:187% → 7%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+27
92.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 27 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
91.9%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
91.4%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-11
92.1%
King, Tre rush for 1 yard to the OKLAHOMA46, PENALTY TEXASTECH illegal block 11 yards to the TEXASTECH43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
93.0%
Nic Shimonek run for no gain to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
93.1%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 36 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2494% → 94%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
93.9%
Abdul Adams run for 4 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Justus Parker return for no gain to the TexTc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:347% → 7%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-12
92.8%
Nic Shimonek sacked by D.J. Ward for a loss of 12 yards to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 22
OWN 25
+13
93.5%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for 13 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
93.5%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:3395% → 99%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
95.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 18 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
95.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 12 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
95.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 17 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
95.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
95.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
95.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
95.8%
Abdul Adams run for 4 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
95.9%
Rodney Anderson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
98.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
98.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line. Jah'Shawn Johnson ejected for targeting.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24DOWNS
17 plays · 74 yds · 5:221% → 1%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Tre King run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
98.6%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to King, Tre, PENALTY OKLAHOMA roughing passer (Okoronkwo, Ogbonnia) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 7 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-3
98.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Tre King for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 49Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
98.8%
Nic Shimonek run for 5 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
98.8%
Tre King run for 1 yd to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
98.9%
Tre King run for 9 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+4
98.8%
Cameron Batson run for 4 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.8%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+26
98.9%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 26 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.8%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.9%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.0%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the Okla 2Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.0%
Desmond Nisby run for 1 yd to the Okla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25END OF GAME
19 plays · 65 yds · 10:5999% → 100%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
99.2%
Dimitri Flowers run for 6 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+12
99.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 12 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 4 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
99.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
99.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
99.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
99.4%
Dimitri Flowers run for 5 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+9
99.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 15
OPP 42
-7
99.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 8 yds to the Texas Tech 42 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 22
OWN 43
+11
99.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+9
99.6%
Rodney Anderson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+4
99.7%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 3 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:10
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)
-5.7
TD · Q3 10:24
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 13:48
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com