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OKST

Oklahoma State 50 at West Virginia 39

WVU
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:20: Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +6.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:21: J.D. King 6 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +8.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:05: Kenny Robinson 39 Yd Interception Return (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +13.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:38: Justice Hill 5 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick) — OKST win probability +13.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:32: Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 68 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +5.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:39WVU 4th & 8 at OKST 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53OKST 4th & 1 at WVU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31WVU 4th & 4 at OKST 6, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:45OKST 4th & 2 at WVU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:56OKST 4th & 11 at WVU 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:29WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:00OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:00WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 24, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:52OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:32WVU 4th & 2 at OKST 5, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:22WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 11, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:00OKST 4th & 9 at WVU 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:48WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:55OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 9, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:25OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 48, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:20WVU 4th & 21 at WVU 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−6.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:22OKST 4th & 1 at WVU 21, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−1.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−5.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:54WVU 4th & 9 at OKST 24, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:25WVU 4th & 9 at OKST 9, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:20OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:02OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:46OKST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20WVU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:21OKST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:05WVU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:38OKST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:22OKST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:32WVU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:47OKST Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:25WVU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:1677% → 77%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
23.3%
Justice Hill run for 39 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
23.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33 Justice Hill fumbled, forced by Kyzir White, recovered by WVirg Kyzir WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3824% → 25%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
23.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+15
23.7%
Grier, Will pass sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WESTVIR23 (Walterscheid, Cole), PENALTY OKLAST horse collar tackle (Walterscheid, Cole) 15 yards to the WESTVIR47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
24.0%
Justin Crawford run for 9 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
24.1%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
24.4%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-5
24.6%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+3
24.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 3 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
25.0%
Will Grier punt for 23 yds, downed at the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:1375% → 75%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
25.0%
J.D. King run for 12 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
25.0%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
25.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to J.D. King for 4 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
25.5%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36 J.D. King fumbled, forced by Al-Rasheed Benton, recovered by WVirg Mike Daniels Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
26.2%
Will Grier pass intercepted Ramon Richards return for 24 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:4375% → 76%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
25.3%
James Washington run for 11 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
25.4%
La'Darren Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
25.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+4
25.7%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+13
26.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 13 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
25.9%
J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+7
26.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to J.D. King for 7 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
24.2%
James Washington 13 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5225% → 25%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
25.1%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
25.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 1 yd to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
25.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
24.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 5:0975% → 79%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
25.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
25.1%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+13
25.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
24.7%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
24.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 1 yd to the OKSt 41Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+23
25.0%
J.D. King run for 23 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
24.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
24.7%
La'Darren Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+10
24.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 10 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
24.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 11 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
24.7%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the WVirg 12Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+9
24.7%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
24.6%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.4%
Mason Rudolph 1 Yd Run ( PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:2324% → 25%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
23.8%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 12 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
24.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Elijah WellmanSimilar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
24.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 12 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+40
24.6%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 40 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
25.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
25.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-2
24.8%
Will Grier run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 6 Will Grier fumbled, forced by Tre Flowers, recovered by WVirgSimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
25.3%
Evan Staley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:2275% → 79%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
25.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
24.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Sione Finefeuiaki for 17 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
24.5%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+7
24.5%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+9
24.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
24.4%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
24.2%
La'Darren Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-1
24.4%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+2
25.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
24.4%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-4
24.4%
J.D. King run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
23.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
21.3%
Matt Ammendola 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2723% → 23%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
23.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jarrell Owens) to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
23.7%
Will Grier sacked by Cole Walterscheid for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+6
23.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
22.7%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
22.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2080% → 79%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
20.5%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-5
20.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Dillon Stoner) to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
20.0%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
20.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
21.3%
Zach Sinor punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Simms at the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
22.2%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 20 Justin Crawford fumbled, forced by Jordan Brailford, recovered by OKSt Taaj BakariSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
19.6%
J.D. King run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3616% → 16%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
16.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
15.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
15.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
15.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0280% → 83%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
20.5%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-4
20.3%
J.D. King run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 15
OWN 26
+6
20.9%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
17.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 28 yds, fair catch by David Sills V at the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:2416% → 25%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
15.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
15.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+36
16.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 36 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
17.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
17.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 8 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
17.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+3
17.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
18.1%
Grier, Will pass incomplete to White, Ka'Raun, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Green, A.J.) 1 yards to the OKLAST1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
17.2%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0620% → 20%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
20.3%
Will Grier pass complete to Tevin Bush for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
19.6%
Will Grier pass intercepted A.J. Green return for no gain to the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:2083% → 93%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
17.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
16.5%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
15.9%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
16.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 27 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
15.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
15.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q3 11:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
7.1%
J.D. King 6 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3810% → 9%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
9.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 11Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
9.8%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
9.9%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+20
9.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 20 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3293% → 94%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
6.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to J.D. King for 4 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-5
6.2%
La'Darren Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 38 La'Darren Brown fumbled, recovered by WVirg David Long Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5010% → 9%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
10.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
9.6%
Elijah Wellman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+20
9.3%
Will Grier pass intercepted Jerel Morrow return for 20 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2894% → 95%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
5.8%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
5.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
5.6%
J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-5
5.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+8
5.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to J.D. King for 8 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
5.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
5.1%
Matt Ammendola 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:487% → 7%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
7.4%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
7.2%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Gary JenningsSimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+1
7.1%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
6.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 58 yds, downed at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4697% → 86%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
3.5%
J.D. King run for no gain to the OKSt 9Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
3.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
3.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
14.5%
Zach Sinor punt blocked by O. Kamara, recovered by M. Gross for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3587% → 74%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.1%
J.D. King run for no gain to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+39
26.5%
Kenny Robinson 39 Yd Interception Return (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:1975% → 74%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
24.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
24.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
24.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
26.1%
Matt Hockett punt for 49 yds, downed at the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:0531% → 29%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
30.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the WVirg 2Similar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+2
30.7%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+7
30.6%
Will Grier run for 7 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+5
29.7%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
31.6%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+13
31.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 13 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
32.4%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
32.4%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-14
31.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the WVirg 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WVirg Will GrierSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 21
OWN 22
+6
29.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 32 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:2277% → 93%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
23.2%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
22.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+15
23.4%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Lacy, Chris, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Bailey, Hakeem) 15 yards to the WESTVIR34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
21.9%
Justice Hill run for 10 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
20.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
20.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+4
21.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 4 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
20.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+5
20.6%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
7.0%
Justice Hill 5 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1913% → 12%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
12.8%
Will Grier run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
12.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Colton McKivitz) to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
12.1%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+21
11.6%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 21 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+58
12.3%
Will Grier pass intercepted A.J. Green return for 58 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:1294% → 98%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
5.8%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+19
1.9%
James Washington 19 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 32TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:284% → 10%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
3.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 9 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
4.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 3 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
9.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Marcus Simms for 68 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 33TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:2894% → 99%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
6.2%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+22
6.0%
J.D. King run for 22 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
5.4%
J.D. King run for no gain to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
5.4%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+7
5.3%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
5.0%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
1.0%
Justice Hill run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 34TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 2:162% → 5%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.1%
Will Grier pass complete to Gary Jennings for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
2.1%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
2.1%
Will Grier pass complete to David Sills V for 5 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+18
2.2%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 18 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
2.3%
Justin Crawford run for 14 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
2.6%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
2.6%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
2.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+15
1.9%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 15 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.3%
Will Grier pass incomplete to David Sills VSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.0%
Will Grier pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.0%
Will Grier pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Grier pass to David Sills V for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 35END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
2.3%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-4
2.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:38
Justice Hill 5 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)
-13.6
TD · Q3 3:05
Kenny Robinson 39 Yd Interception Return (Evan Staley Kick)
+13.4
TD · Q3 11:21
J.D. King 6 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Matt Ammendola Kick)
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com