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KSU

Kansas State 30 at Kansas 20

KU
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben Johnson KANSAS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior−32.4Home team on offense−5.1Garbage-time factor−1.2Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:25: Alex Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:26: Taylor Martin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +11.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:36: Alex Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:51: Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 60 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +15.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:21: Matthew McCrane 41 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 10KSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:43KU 4th & 3 at KSU 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:18KU 4th & 5 at KSU 25, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:15KSU 4th & 1 at KU 5, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 7 at KSU 35, down 1
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:44KSU 4th & 27 at KSU 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:54KU 4th & 19 at KU 10, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:23KSU 4th & 13 at KU 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07KU 4th & 14 at KSU 39, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%
    36% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:25KU 4th & 3 at KSU 41, down 11
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−1.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:21KSU 4th & 7 at KU 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:14KU 4th & 17 at KSU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:22KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:20KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:06KU 4th & 15 at KU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−4.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:35KSU 4th & 12 at KU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−1.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:37KU 4th & 10 at KU 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:21KSU 4th & 5 at KU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−3.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:21KU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:29KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:25KSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:26KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:36KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:51KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:1894% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
5.6%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+15
5.6%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 15 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
5.6%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+8
5.6%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
5.6%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
50
+28
6.3%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 28 yds Byron Pringle fumbled, forced by Dorance Armstrong Jr., recovered by Kans Tyrone Miller Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:486% → 8%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
6.4%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
6.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+16
6.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 16 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
6.4%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
6.4%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+47
6.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 47 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
6.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 7 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
6.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 3
OPP 11
0
6.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
7.7%
Gabriel Rui 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:077% → 9%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
7.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 5 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+19
7.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Deron Thompson for 19 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
7.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 13 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
7.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
7.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 11 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
7.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+3
7.5%
Carter Stanley run for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
7.5%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-3
7.4%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
9.1%
Gabriel Rui 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 61 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
9.0%
Alex Delton run for 11 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
8.8%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+38
8.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 38 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
8.6%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+11
8.6%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 11 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
8.7%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
8.9%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 60 yds · 0:5911% → 12%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
10.8%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+13
10.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 13 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
11.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 26 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
12.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Evan Fairs for 5 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+10
12.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 10 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
12.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
12.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
12.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
11.7%
Cole Moos punt for 33 yds, downed at the KanSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
12.5%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+6
12.5%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+22
12.5%
Alex Barnes run for 22 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
12.0%
Alex Barnes run for 21 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
11.5%
Delton, Alex pass incomplete to Schoen, Dalton, QB hurry by Lee,Mike, PENALTY KS illegal shift (Barnes, Alex) 5 yards to the KS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-7
11.8%
Alex Delton sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 22
OWN 42
0
12.0%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Alex Barnes, broken up by Joe Dineen Jr.Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 22
OWN 42
-5
12.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 27
OWN 37
0
12.3%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 27
OWN 37
0
12.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
15.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
15.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-9
14.5%
Carter Stanley sacked by Elijah Sullivan for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
14.3%
Cole Moos punt for 29 yds, downed at the Kans 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:4187% → 85%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
13.2%
Alex Delton run for 17 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
12.9%
Alex Delton run for 11 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
12.9%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
12.9%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 11
OPP 12
-2
13.3%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+31
14.6%
Matthew McCrane 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10DOWNS
16 plays · 41 yds · 5:1015% → 15%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
15.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
15.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+11
14.9%
Carter Stanley run for 11 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
16.2%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
16.4%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+10
15.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 10 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
17.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 6 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
17.8%
Carter Stanley run for 7 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
18.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben Johnson, broken up by Jayd KirbySimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
18.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-4
17.1%
Carter Stanley sacked by Kyle Ball for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
14.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben Johnson KANSAS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
17.5%
Carter Stanley sacked by Jayd Kirby for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 18 Carter Stanley fumbled, forced by Jayd Kirby, recovered by KanSt Jayd Kirby , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:2485% → 90%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
14.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+12
14.7%
Alex Barnes run for 12 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.5%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
11.1%
Carter Stanley run for 16 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
11.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
12.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
11.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 5 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
12.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
12.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+5
11.9%
Stanley,Carter pass incomplete to Johnson,Ben (Adams, Kendall), PENALTY KS offside defense (Kirby, Jayd) 5 yards to the KS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
12.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by D.J. ReedSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+37
11.6%
Cole Moos punt for 32 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 37 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:4690% → 93%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
10.5%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
10.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
10.5%
Alex Barnes run for 20 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
10.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
10.4%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-2
9.8%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
7.2%
Matthew McCrane 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
8.1%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+37
8.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 37 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
9.4%
Carter Stanley sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 17
OPP 49
0
8.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 17
OPP 49
0
8.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 17
OPP 49
+14
8.5%
Cole Moos punt for 40 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 14 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
7.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Byron Pringle for 20 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
6.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
6.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by KeyShaun Simmons for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 20
OWN 33
-5
7.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 25
OWN 28
+14
7.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 14 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 11
OWN 42
+13
7.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 49 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for 13 yds to the KANSAS 45 KANSAS Penalty, illegal block (19 Yards) to the Kans 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:257% → 21%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
7.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+57
7.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 57 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
8.8%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 36 Carter Stanley fumbled, forced by Jayd Kirby, recovered by Kans Carter StanleySimilar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+10
8.7%
Carter Stanley run for 10 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
9.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
9.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
9.4%
Herbert,Khalil rush for 1 yard to the KS13 (Tanking, Trent), PENALTY KU holding (Tovi,Andru) 10 yards to the KS24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
9.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 24
+19
9.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 19 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
20.8%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
13.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-3
13.2%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+10
13.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
12.9%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 9
50
-1
12.7%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
13.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+45
15.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the KANSAS 14 KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Shakial Taylor) to the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-5
16.1%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 15
OWN 1
0
16.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Denzel GoolsbySimilar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 15
OWN 1
0
15.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 15
OWN 1
+10
14.2%
Cole Moos punt for 35 yds , Byron Pringle returns for 10 yds to the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:2589% → 96%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
11.0%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+14
11.0%
Alex Barnes run for 14 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
3.8%
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:375% → 20%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
4.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+60
19.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 60 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0088% → 85%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
11.9%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-10
12.0%
Thompson, S. pass complete to Schoen, Dalton for 24 yards to the KU21 (Taylor,Shakial), PENALTY KS holding (Mitchell, Tyler) 10 yards to the KS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 21
OWN 45
+10
13.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-1
12.6%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
15.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan FairsSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
16.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Khalil HerbertSimilar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
15.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
14.6%
Cole Moos punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:5290% → 96%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
9.6%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-1
9.3%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+12
8.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 12 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
7.4%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+4
6.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Zach Reuter for 4 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+4
7.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
4.1%
Matthew McCrane 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+39
3.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 39 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
4.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan Fairs, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
4.4%
Carter Stanley run for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-5
4.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Steven Sims Jr.) to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+4
3.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Taylor Martin for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
3.4%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted D.J. Reed return for no gain to the KanSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:51
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 60 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q4 13:26
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q4 7:36
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com