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OKST

Oklahoma State 13 at Texas 10

TEX
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:46 · Michael Dickson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 75Pregame prior−12.0Home team on offense+1.4Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Time remaining+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 12:31: Matt Ammendola 19 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +11.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:08: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Texas 29 — TEX win probability +10.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 7 yds to the Texas 18 — OKST win probability +20.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Matt Ammendola 34 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +21.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 27 — TEX win probability +14.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 12OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:37OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26TEX 4th & 9 at OKST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:45OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:43TEX 4th & 7 at OKST 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:23OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:54TEX 4th & 1 at OKST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−1.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:46TEX 4th & 30 at OKST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:23OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:40TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:42TEX 4th & 4 at OKST 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−10.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:01OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:13TEX 4th & 23 at TEX 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−5.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:40OKST 4th & 17 at TEX 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:51TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−4.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:31OKST 4th & 2 at TEX 2, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−16.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:38TEX 4th & 10 at OKST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−4.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:39OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:54TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−3.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:15OKST 4th & 2 at TEX 12, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%−4.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−28.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:04TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%−2.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:46OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−0.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:14TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:19OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−11.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:51OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:59TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:1869% → 68%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
31.4%
Mason Rudolph run for 4 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
31.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Keenen BrownSimilar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
31.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
31.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
31.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:0832% → 33%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
31.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Toneil CarterSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
32.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 2 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+9
32.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 9 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
32.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 9 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
32.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Chris Warren III for 5 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
33.0%
Chris Warren III run for no gain to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
33.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
33.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Reggie Hemphill-MappsSimilar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
33.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 38 yds, downed at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3367% → 66%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
33.3%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
33.4%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
33.9%
Mason Rudolph run for no gain to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 8
OWN 11
0
34.2%
Zach Sinor punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5535% → 34%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
34.6%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+4
34.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 4 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
35.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lorenzo JoeSimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
34.4%
Michael Dickson punt for 36 yds, downed at the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 96 yds · 2:4766% → 70%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
34.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+14
34.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
34.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
34.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+7
34.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 7 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
34.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 29 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
33.5%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+20
33.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 20 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
33.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
30.5%
J.D. King 7 Yd Run (Matt Ammendola Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5732% → 31%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
31.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-10
31.6%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Shackelford, Zach) 10 yards to the TEXAS18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+3
31.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 3 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+12
31.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 12 yds to the Texas 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7FUMBLE
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:0769% → 70%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
31.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the OKSt 24, TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Holton Hill) 10 yards to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
31.0%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+15
31.4%
Justice Hill run for 15 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
30.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 7 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
30.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 7 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
30.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 2 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
30.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+23
30.8%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the Texas 27, TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Malik Jefferson) to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
30.3%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-7
30.2%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 14 Justice Hill fumbled, forced by Poona Ford, recovered by Texas DeShon ElliottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:3732% → 41%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-6
31.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Daniel Young for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 16
OWN 8
+90
31.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to John Burt for 90 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.5%
Sam Ehlinger 2 Yd Run (Joshua Rowland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2263% → 61%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
37.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 12 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
36.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 5
OWN 39
0
36.2%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
36.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 1 yd to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-5
37.1%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Breckyn Hager for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
39.3%
Zach Sinor punt for 41 yds, downed at the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 29 yds · 4:2940% → 43%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
39.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to John Burt for 9 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
40.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
40.7%
Reggie Hemphill-Mapps run for 6 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
41.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
43.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 15 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
44.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
44.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Chris Warren III for 7 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
44.4%
Chris Warren III run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
43.7%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
45.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-34
45.9%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Trey Carter for a loss of 34 yards to the Texas 39 Sam Ehlinger fumbled, forced by Trey Carter, recovered by Texas Sam Ehlinger , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 44
OWN 39
+14
42.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Reggie Hemphill-Mapps for 14 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 30
OPP 47
0
42.6%
Michael Dickson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:1760% → 60%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
40.5%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+8
40.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 8 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+4
40.8%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.7%
Justice Hill run for 10 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
40.1%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
38.4%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
38.5%
J.D. King run for no gain to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
40.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Reggie Hemphill-Mapps at the Texas 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3145% → 42%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
44.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+1
44.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Texas 13Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+2
44.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
41.8%
Michael Dickson punt for 62 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:3359% → 59%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
40.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
41.1%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+5
41.9%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
40.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 20 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-9
37.2%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Breckyn Hager for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 44
0
41.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:0745% → 53%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.9%
Chris Warren III run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
45.4%
Reggie Hemphill-Mapps run for 6 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
45.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
47.8%
Chris Warren III run for 3 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
48.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Reggie Hemphill-Mapps for 6 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
48.4%
Chris Warren III run for 5 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
49.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 23 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
50.2%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+11
50.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 11 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
50.6%
Chris Warren III run for 4 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
50.8%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the OKSt 4Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
52.9%
Joshua Rowland 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2349% → 47%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.6%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
49.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
51.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
53.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 43 yds , Reggie Hemphill-Mapps returns for no gain to the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:4153% → 51%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-13
53.0%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 13 yards to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 23
OWN 14
+3
52.7%
Toneil Carter run for 3 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 20
OWN 17
-3
51.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Toneil Carter for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 23
OWN 14
-2
51.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 49 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 35 Dillon Stoner fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:2449% → 42%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
51.0%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
49.0%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
49.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+5
52.4%
TEXAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
50.8%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+8
50.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
50.8%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-7
50.6%
Mason Rudolph run for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 46 Mason Rudolph fumbled, recovered by OKSt Mason RudolphSimilar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 17
OPP 46
0
55.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
57.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4058% → 56%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
58.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 5 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
58.9%
Chris Warren III run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-4
57.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
56.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:0441% → 54%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
59.0%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
58.9%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+15
61.1%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, James, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Hill, Holton) 15 yards to the OKLAST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
56.8%
Justice Hill run for 14 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
54.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
54.6%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
57.0%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
54.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 23 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
54.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 10 yds Chris Lacy fumbled, recovered by OKSt Dillon Stoner for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
55.0%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Texas 1Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
55.3%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q4 12:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
46.0%
Matt Ammendola 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:3956% → 54%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
56.2%
Chris Warren III run for 15 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
59.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Dorian LeonardSimilar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
56.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Dorian LeonardSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
54.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:5351% → 50%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 4 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
48.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
48.1%
J.D. King run for 10 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
45.4%
J.D. King run for no gain to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
46.7%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
45.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
50.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2855% → 52%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
55.2%
Warren III, Chris rush for 16 yards to the TEXAS35, PENALTY TEXAS holding 9 yards to the TEXAS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 19
OWN 10
0
55.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 19
OWN 10
0
55.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 19
OWN 10
-5
53.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 5Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 24
OWN 5
+15
52.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 15 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
51.8%
Michael Dickson punt for 66 yds, downed at the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:3150% → 53%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
49.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for no gain to the OKSt 14Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+66
49.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 66 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
41.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for no gain to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
41.8%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+1
43.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the Texas 12Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
46.7%
Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0457% → 53%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
56.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-2
60.4%
Chris Warren III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
56.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
53.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0250% → 45%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
50.2%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
50.8%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
51.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
54.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 48 yds, downed at the Texas 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2458% → 56%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
61.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
57.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
56.4%
Michael Dickson punt for 63 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:4846% → 46%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
54.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+13
54.7%
Justice Hill run for 13 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
52.0%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
49.3%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-5
48.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Deionte Noel) to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+1
52.8%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
54.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 45 yds, downed at the Texas 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:1356% → 61%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
56.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 9 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-1
60.9%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Justin Phillips and Jordan Brailford for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 7 yds to the Texas 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+1
40.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Texas 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
42.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
26.5%
Matt Ammendola 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30Uncategorized
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
41.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+15
33.7%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Joe, Lorenzo, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Green, A.J.) 15 yards to the OKLAST12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
41.3%
Jerrod Heard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+1
41.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 1 yd to the OKSt 6Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
37.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted, touchback. Ramon Richards return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-37.8
FG · OT 0:00
Matt Ammendola 34 yd FG GOOD
-21.5
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 7 yds to the Texas 18
-20.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com