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Oklahoma 42 at Kansas State 35

KSU
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.5KSU 50.6%Austin Seibert 19 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 21 · Q2 0:38
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:38 · Austin Seibert 19 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior−22.3Home team on offense+8.2Garbage-time factor+1.3Score differential+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:19: Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds for a TD, (Baker Mayfield pass to Dimitri Flowers for Two-Point Conversion) — OU win probability +24.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:40: Alex Delton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +31.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:16: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +26.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:25: Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +36.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:07: Rodney Anderson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +32.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 7:26OU 4th & 1 at OU 21, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:15OU 4th & 4 at KSU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−2.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:15OU 4th & 1 at KSU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−2.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−8.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:38OU 4th & 2 at KSU 2, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−6.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:11KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−2.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:57OU 4th & 6 at KSU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−8.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:53KSU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 1
    Close callPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:19KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:51OU 4th & 16 at OU 45, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 3.2 ptsWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%−3.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 14:42KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:16OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:26KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:15KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:16OU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:19OU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    73.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:40KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.8
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:16OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:25KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.9
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:07OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1814% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.2%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
14.4%
Alex Barnes run for 75 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:2386% → 85%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
14.4%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+23
14.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 23 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
14.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 11 yds to the KANSASST 40 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 9
50
+12
14.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 12 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
14.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 32 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
15.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3FUMBLE
13 plays · 63 yds · 2:3816% → 17%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.5%
Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
15.8%
Alex Barnes run for 19 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
16.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for no gain to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
15.9%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
17.1%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
16.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, offside defense (Du'Vonta Lampkin) to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
17.1%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 3 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
17.1%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 4 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+19
17.1%
Alex Delton run for 19 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
17.2%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dominique Heath for 2 yds Dominique Heath fumbled, forced by Steven Parker, recovered by Okla Steven ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
17.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+7
17.8%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+2
17.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 2 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
18.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 4:1119% → 26%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
18.9%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
18.9%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
19.1%
Winston Dimel run for 3 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
19.3%
Winston Dimel run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+39
19.4%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 39 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
19.6%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+11
19.6%
Alex Delton run for 11 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.0%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6INT
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:2075% → 76%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
25.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 8 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+31
24.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 31 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
23.9%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+32
25.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 32 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
24.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
24.3%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted, touchback. Denzel Goolsby return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:3128% → 42%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
27.5%
Justin Silmon run for 10 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
27.6%
Alex Delton run for 26 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
28.8%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+4
28.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+8
28.2%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
28.9%
Alex Delton run for 12 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
41.5%
Alex Delton run for 21 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 0:0061% → 63%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
38.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 6 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
37.5%
Trey Sermon run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
50
0
37.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
50
-9
38.3%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Tanner Wood for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 19
OWN 41
+15
39.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 15 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+16
38.0%
Baker Mayfield run for 16 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
36.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Trey Sermon for 1 yd to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+8
36.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 8 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
36.8%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
37.1%
Dimitri Flowers run for no gain to the KanSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
48.4%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
48.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for 3 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
47.5%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+46
48.3%
Alex Delton pass intercepted Jordan Thomas return for 46 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4952% → 49%
Q2 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
48.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
51.1%
Dimitri Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 2Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
50.6%
Austin Seibert 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11MISSED FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:3454% → 56%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
54.3%
Alex Delton run for 9 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
54.6%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
54.8%
Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+59
55.5%
Matthew McCrane 59 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3948% → 65%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
51.6%
Marcelias Sutton run for 4 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+31
51.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 31 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
49.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+16
48.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 16 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
47.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 7 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+4
47.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeff Badet for 4 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
34.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
40.3%
Isaiah Zuber run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-1
39.7%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+1
38.6%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
37.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for no gain to the Okla 33 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (12 Yards) to the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2756% → 58%
Q3 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+11
43.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 11 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
43.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 26 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
39.4%
Rodney Anderson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
39.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
39.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 5 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
43.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 5 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
38.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 12 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
37.9%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
37.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
39.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Marquise Brown, broken up by Duke Shelley OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
41.9%
Austin Seibert 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
44.8%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
47.6%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
47.8%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-2
47.8%
Winston Dimel run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+4
44.5%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 6
50
0
44.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 43 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 3:5454% → 83%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+36
46.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 36 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
42.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 15 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
41.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 5 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
40.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+18
41.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 18 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
39.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 1 yd to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
39.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+5
40.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 5 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
39.2%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
41.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 1 yd to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds for a TD, (Baker Mayfield pass to Dimitri Flowers for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.0%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
20.7%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 21 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
19.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Justin Silmon for 8 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
19.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 51 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 5 yds to the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · -12 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
18.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 14 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
16.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 7 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-2
16.1%
Rodney Anderson run for 8 yds to the KANSASST 46 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Smallwood) to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
16.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 7 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
15.3%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Eli Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the KANSASST 43 OKLAHOMA Penalty, intentional grounding (Baker Mayfield) to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 18
OWN 43
0
17.7%
Rodney Anderson run for no gain to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+2
18.1%
Kyler Murray run for 2 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 16
OWN 45
-15
19.5%
Austin Seibert run for a loss of 15 yards to the Okla 13 Austin Seibert fumbled, recovered by KanSt Colby MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:3227% → 58%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
26.6%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+3
26.6%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+7
24.6%
Alex Delton run for 7 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.7%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the Okla 1Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.1%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:1956% → 91%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+66
43.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 66 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
35.5%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
9.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5118% → 62%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
18.0%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 40 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
25.3%
Alex Barnes run for 11 yds to the Okla 24 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Isaiah Zuber) to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 9
OPP 34
-2
25.7%
Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+30
22.2%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 30 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
25.7%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the Okla 5Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
62.4%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 2:1254% → 94%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
46.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+10
44.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 10 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
42.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark Andrews, broken up by Jayd KirbySimilar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
43.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Rodney Anderson for 8 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
40.8%
Rodney Anderson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
50
0
39.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Rodney Anderson, broken up by Jayd KirbySimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
50
+13
41.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 13 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
39.0%
Rodney Anderson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
37.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Marquise Brown for 10 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
37.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
4.3%
Rodney Anderson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
5.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jayd Kirby) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · -19 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-19
10.5%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 19 yards to the KanSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:25
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+36.7
TD · Q4 0:07
Rodney Anderson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-32.8
TD · Q4 6:40
Alex Delton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+31.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com