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TCU

TCU 26 at Kansas State 6

KSU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—KSU 27.1%Jonathan Song 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 0 · Q1 1:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:43 · Jonathan Song 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−3.9Pregame prior−19.2Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:54: Kenny Hill run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +2.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:27: Matthew McCrane 38 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:01: Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +9.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:24: Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 10 — TCU win probability +4.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:44: Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song PAT MISSED) — TCU win probability +4.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:54TCU 4th & 7 at KSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:23KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:54KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:43TCU 4th & 7 at KSU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:53TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:44TCU 4th & 5 at KSU 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:37KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:27KSU 4th & 7 at TCU 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:43TCU 4th & 14 at TCU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:34KSU 4th & 10 at TCU 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:21KSU 4th & 10 at TCU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:21TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:07KSU 4th & 1 at TCU 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−2.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−7.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:44KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:36KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:46TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 22, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:27KSU 4th & 7 at TCU 36, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 3:54TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:01TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:44TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
26.5%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
26.5%
Winston Dimel run for 9 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
26.5%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
26.5%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Alex Barnes, broken up by Ty SummersSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
26.5%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+7
26.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 49 yds , KaVontae Turpin returns for 7 yds to the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
27.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Shaun NixonSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
27.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 3 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+10
27.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 10 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
27.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ty Slanina for 1 yd to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+2
27.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+16
27.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
50
+3
27.3%
Kenny Hill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
27.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-5
27.3%
TCU Penalty, false start (Cordel Iwuagwu) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 10
50
+3
27.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 3 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
27.4%
Adam Nunez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D.J. Reed at the KanSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
29.5%
Justin Silmon run for 4 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+1
29.6%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
29.3%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen, broken up by Niko SmallSimilar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
29.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 22 yds, downed at the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:0371% → 73%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
29.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 14 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
29.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 7 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+6
29.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
29.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
29.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-5
29.2%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (Sewo Olonilua) to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
27.1%
Kenny Hill run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
28.1%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
28.0%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber, broken up by Innis GainesSimilar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-3
27.7%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+41
27.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 41 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the KANSASST 42 TCU Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6FG
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:4573% → 73%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
27.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 33 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
26.9%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
26.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Darius Anderson, broken up by Tanner WoodSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
27.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
27.1%
Jonathan Song 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:3827% → 26%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
26.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 13 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.6%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
26.6%
Delton, Alex pass complete to Pringle, Byron for 6 yards to the KS31 (Gladney, Jeff), PENALTY KS pass interference (Schoen, Dalton) 12 yards to the KS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+12
26.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 12 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
26.1%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
25.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 64 yds, downed at the TCU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
27.5%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
27.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 1 yd to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-6
27.9%
Hill, Kenny pass complete to Olonilua, Sewo for 10 yards to the TCU22, out-of-bounds (Sullivan, E.), PENALTY TCU holding (Noteboom, J.) 6 yards to the TCU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+7
28.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 7 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
28.2%
Adam Nunez punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Byron Pringle at the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 3:0628% → 27%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
27.6%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+33
27.6%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 33 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
28.2%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-5
29.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Byron Pringle) to the TCU 10Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
28.2%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 11 Alex Delton fumbled, recovered by KanSt Winston Dimel , return for 1 yd to the TCU 11Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 0
OPP 11
-15
27.3%
Delton, Alex pass complete to Pringle, Byron for 11 yards to the TCU0, clock 08:49, PENALTY KS pass interference (Pringle, Byron) 15 yards to the TCU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 0
OPP 26
-4
27.1%
Alex Delton sacked by Mat Boesen for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 38 Alex Delton fumbled, recovered by TCU Montrel Wilson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:5473% → 77%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
26.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Desmon White, broken up by Denzel GoolsbySimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
26.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+38
26.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 38 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
26.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John Diarse, broken up by D.J. ReedSimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+16
26.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 16 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
26.2%
Kenny Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 9Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
26.2%
Shawn Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 8Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
25.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
23.4%
Jonathan Song 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
23.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dayton Valentine for 2 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
23.8%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
23.4%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
23.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 44 yds, downed at the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
22.7%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 24 Darius Anderson fumbled, forced by Reggie Walker, recovered by KanSt D.J. ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3326% → 27%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
25.8%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
25.8%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
24.6%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
26.6%
Matthew McCrane 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:4474% → 74%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.9%
KaVontae Turpin run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
25.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-9
25.1%
Kenny Hill sacked by Tanner Wood for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
26.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 38 yds , D.J. Reed returns for no gain to the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
24.2%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+15
24.0%
Delton, Alex pass incomplete to Pringle, Byron, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Texada, R.) 15 yards to the TCU43, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
25.2%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
25.0%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
24.5%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
23.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
24.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:5976% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
24.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
23.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-1
23.1%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
23.8%
Shawn Robinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
23.2%
Jalen Reagor run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
23.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ty Slanina for 10 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
23.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 9 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
22.9%
Kenny Hill run for 15 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (KaVontae Turpin) to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
22.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 5 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+18
22.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 18 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.0%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:3414% → 16%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+36
14.0%
Alex Delton run for 36 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
15.8%
Alex Barnes run for no gain to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
15.7%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber, broken up by Niko SmallSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
15.2%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+51
16.0%
Matthew McCrane 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
13.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
13.8%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 33Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
14.3%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (Adam Nunez) to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
14.4%
Adam Nunez punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 1:1715% → 15%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
14.7%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
15.4%
Byron Pringle pass incomplete to Alex Barnes, broken up by Montrel WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+30
14.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 30 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
16.9%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
15.7%
Alex Delton run for 15 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
16.0%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
16.0%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
15.6%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the TCU 8Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
15.3%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:2489% → 90%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
11.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
11.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+13
11.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 13 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
10.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 7 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
10.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
10.4%
TCU Penalty, false start (Joseph Noteboom) to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+11
10.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 11 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
9.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
9.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to KaVontae TurpinSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
10.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Byron Pringle at the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
11.6%
Justin Silmon run for 6 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
11.9%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
11.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 7 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
11.9%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Dayton ValentineSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-5
11.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Tyler Mitchell) to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+3
11.5%
Alex Delton run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
11.4%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+16
11.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 35 , KaVontae Turpin returns for 16 yds to the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1293% → 99%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
7.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
7.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 2 yds Jalen Reagor fumbled, forced by Trent Tanking,Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+37
7.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 37 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
6.2%
Kenny Hill run for no gain to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
6.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 7 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+16
6.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 16 yds to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
6.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, face mask (1 yards) (Trent Tanking) to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
1.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 14 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
1.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 4 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
1.8%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
1.8%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
1.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 44 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
1.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to KaVontae Turpin for 5 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
1.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TCU 18Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+4
1.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 4 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
1.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 34 yds, downed at the KanSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
0.9%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Byron Pringle, broken up by Ranthony TexadaSimilar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
0.9%
Alex Delton pass complete to Byron Pringle for 17 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-11
1.0%
Alex Delton sacked by Innis Gaines for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 21
50
+7
0.9%
Alex Delton pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 7 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+7
0.9%
Alex Delton pass complete to Zach Reuter for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
0.9%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
0.7%
Shawn Robinson run for 5 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
0.7%
Shawn Robinson run for 2 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-1
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:01
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
-9.3
TD · Q4 8:44
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song PAT MISSED)
-4.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:24
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 10
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com