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KU

Kansas 0 at Iowa State 45

ISU
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:44 · Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+39.9Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+0.3Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:32: David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +0.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:56: Garrett Owens 26 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:53: Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 22 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (J.J. Holmes) to the Kans 1 for a 1ST down — ISU win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: David Montgomery run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:48: David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ISU win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12KU made the numbers' call on 11 of 15
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26ISU 4th & 4 at KU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:27ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:58KU 4th & 7 at KU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:44ISU 4th & 6 at KU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:30KU 4th & 8 at KU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 11 at KU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:31ISU 4th & 8 at KU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:31KU 4th & 1 at KU 35, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:56ISU 4th & 4 at KU 9, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:56KU 4th & 10 at KU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:02ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:57KU 4th & 10 at KU 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00KU 4th & 11 at KU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 14:03ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 13:36KU 4th & 8 at KU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 10:48KU 4th & 18 at KU 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 8:43ISU 4th & 13 at KU 36, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q3 3:03KU 4th & 7 at KU 4, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 14:12ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 24, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  23. Q4 12:34KU 4th & 8 at KU 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  24. Q4 11:40ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 15, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  25. Q4 8:15KU 4th & 1 at ISU 44, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  26. Q4 6:03KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  27. Q4 4:48ISU 4th & 8 at KU 37, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:32ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:20ISU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:48ISU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:00ISU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:03ISU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
94.1%
David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+2
94.1%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
94.1%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
94.1%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to David Montgomery, broken up by Dorance Armstrong Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-3
94.1%
Kyle Kempt sacked by Isaiah Bean for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 16
+5
94.1%
KANSAS Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
94.1%
Colin Downing punt for 34 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for no gain to the Kans 46 Steven Sims Jr. fumbled, recovered by IowSt Trever RyenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
93.6%
Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
93.6%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+1
93.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
93.6%
Colin Downing punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kans 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+23
93.0%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Kamari Cotton-Moya return for 23 yds to the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4493% → 94%
Q1 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
93.2%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.5%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
93.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 6 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
93.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
93.3%
Cole Moos punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
93.2%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-2
93.3%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
93.1%
Kyle Kempt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+1
93.1%
Colin Downing punt for 56 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Kans 35 KANSAS Penalty, illegal block (5 Yards) to the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
92.9%
Ryan Schadler run for 1 yd to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+2
92.9%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
93.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete, broken up by JaQuan BaileySimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
93.1%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
93.0%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-2
93.0%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+1
92.9%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
92.7%
Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:328% → 7%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
92.4%
Taylor Martin run for 8 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 2
OWN 16
-2
92.4%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+6
92.5%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
92.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Taylor Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 18Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+4
92.4%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
92.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete, broken up by Brian PeavySimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+68
93.4%
Cole Moos punt for 46 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 68 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:307% → 7%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Deron Thompson run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Deron ThompsonSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
93.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Deron Thompson for 1 yd to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+18
93.3%
Cole Moos punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 43 , Trever Ryen returns for 18 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1494% → 93%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
93.8%
David Montgomery run for 18 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
93.9%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-9
93.8%
TEAM sacked by Josh Ehambe for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by IowSt Kyle Kempt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 17
OPP 46
+18
93.6%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 18 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
93.9%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
93.9%
David Montgomery pass incomplete to Joel LanningSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
93.7%
Kyle Kempt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
93.4%
Garrett Owens 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
92.9%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+6
92.9%
Peyton Bender run for 6 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+5
92.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Taylor Martin for 5 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+20
92.9%
Cole Moos punt for 35 yds, downed at the IOWAST 30 KANSAS Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:4894% → 95%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
93.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Trever Ryen for 7 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-3
93.7%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 49Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+20
93.5%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 20 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
93.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 9 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+7
93.7%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
93.7%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
93.7%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+4
93.6%
Kyle Kempt run for 4 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
94.7%
Garrett Owens 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete, broken up by Willie HarveySimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete, broken up by Marcel Spears Jr.Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Cole Moos punt for 55 yds, downed at the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.9%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 3 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
94.9%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Colin Downing punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · -3 yds · 1:586% → 6%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
94.2%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+14
94.1%
Taylor Martin run for 14 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.9%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
94.0%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+1
94.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Dom Williams for 1 yd to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 10
OWN 42
-19
94.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the Kans 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Cole MoosSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:3396% → 98%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
95.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 22 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (J.J. Holmes) to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.3%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.7%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
96.5%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.0%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
97.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ryan Schadler, broken up by Marcel Spears Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
97.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+45
97.0%
Cole Moos punt for 45 yds , Trever Ryen returns for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 23 IOWA ST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by Tyrone Miller Jr.Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Kyle Kempt pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 10
OWN 30
-3
97.4%
Colin Downing punt for 40 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
96.7%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-2
96.6%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
96.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
96.8%
Cole Moos punt for a loss of 2 yards, downed at the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:4698% → 100%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.8%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+2
97.8%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+19
97.7%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Allen Lazard for 19 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.5%
Taylor Martin run for 13 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.5%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-10
99.5%
Stanley,Carter rush for 6 yards to the KU46 (Lanning, Joel;Ruth, De'Monte), PENALTY KU holding 10 yards to the KU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ryan SchadlerSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 18
OWN 30
+1
99.6%
Cole Moos punt for 35 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 1 yd to the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.7%
David Montgomery run for 8 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+10
99.7%
Joel Lanning run for 10 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.7%
Joel Lanning run for 13 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.7%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
99.7%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-8
99.7%
Kyle Kempt sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 36 Kyle Kempt fumbled, recovered by IowSt Kyle Kempt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
99.7%
Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, downed at the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.7%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
99.7%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 4Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
99.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
99.8%
Cole Moos punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.8%
Kempt, Kyle pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen, PENALTY KU pass interference (Defense,Hasan) 15 yards to the KU20, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.8%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+9
99.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Chase Allen for 9 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Joel Lanning run for no gain to the Kans 9Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.8%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to David Montgomery for 1 yd to the Kans 8Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 8 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
KANSAS Penalty, roughing passer (Dorance Armstrong Jr.) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Peyton Bender run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by De'Monte RuthSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Cole Moos punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Colin Downing punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
Bender,Peyton pass incomplete to Sims,Steven, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Edwards, Evrett) 15 yards to the KU43, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben Johnson, broken up by Lawrence WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Cole Moos punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
99.9%
Noland, Zeb pass complete to Epps, Carson for 4 yards to the ISU17 (Dineen,Joe;Defense,Hasan), NO PLAY, PENALTY ISU holding (Foster, Sean) 6 yards to the ISU7.Similar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 16
OWN 7
-1
99.9%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 6Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 17
OWN 6
+9
99.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 9 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+8
99.9%
Colin Downing punt for 46 yds , Steven Sims Jr. returns for 8 yds to the Kans 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 31DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Carter Stanley run for 5 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 32TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+34
99.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Landen Akers for 34 yds to the IOWAST 22 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
99.9%
Warren, Mike rush for 19 yards to the KU3 (Defense,Hasan;Dineen,Joe), PENALTY ISU holding (Harms, Sam) 10 yards to the KU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 20
OPP 32
-2
99.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Jalen Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 22
OPP 34
+24
99.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Jalen Martin for 24 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 33PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Ryan Schadler run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Cole Moos punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 34DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Nick Leach run for 3 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Nick Leach run for no gain to the IowSt 36Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+25
100.0%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 25 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
100.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-4
100.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen MartinSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 35END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 9 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-10
100.0%
Stanley,Carter rush for no gain to the KU46 (Hummel, Jake), PENALTY KU holding (Saulsbury,H.) 10 yards to the KU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kerr Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Carter Stanley run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
David Montgomery run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q3 10:48
David Montgomery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)
+1.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:53
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 22 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (J.J. Holmes) to the Kans 1 for a 1ST down
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com