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TTU

Texas Tech 65 at Kansas 19

KU
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFUMBLETDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Cole Moos punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Home team on offense−49.0Pregame prior−10.2Score differential−31.4Garbage-time factor−14.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:19: Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 18 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK) — KU win probability +3.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:06: Desmond Nisby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +4.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:07: Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +6.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:49: Taylor Martin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KU win probability +7.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 3:44: Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 4 yds for a TD Chase Harrell fumbled, forced by Justus Parker, recovered by TexTc Justus Parker , return for 20 yds, (Michael Barden KICK) — TTU win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:43KU 4th & 1 at TTU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−0.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:28KU 4th & 1 at TTU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:59KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:04TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 23, up 21
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:00KU 4th & 8 at KU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:53TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:55KU 4th & 13 at KU 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:10KU 4th & 13 at TTU 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:14KU 4th & 4 at TTU 4, down 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:07KU 4th & 6 at TTU 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -2.1%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:28TTU 4th & 10 at KU 26, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:44KU 4th & 1 at TTU 27, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 17 at KU 28, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:37TTU 4th & 9 at KU 9, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:37KU 4th & 8 at KU 37, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:52KU 4th & 8 at KU 37, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:43TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:34TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:59TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:19KU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:06TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:16TTU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:49KU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:30TTU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:23TTU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:52TTU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1784% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
16.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
16.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Quan Shorts for 15 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
16.1%
Justin Stockton run for 10 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
16.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
16.1%
Quan Shorts run for 5 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
16.1%
Desmond Nisby run for 1 yd to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
16.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 7 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+7
16.1%
Tre King run for 7 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
16.7%
Justin Stockton run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:5517% → 17%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
17.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+14
17.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Quan Hampton for 14 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
17.2%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
17.3%
Carter Stanley run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
17.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 6 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
17.3%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the TexTc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:5083% → 84%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
17.2%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 5
50
+3
17.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+47
15.7%
Desmond Nisby run for 47 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
16.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+10
16.4%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 10 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
16.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
16.5%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+10
16.3%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 10 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
16.5%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the TexTc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:0584% → 87%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
15.7%
King, Tre rush for no gain to the TTU42 (Dineen,Joe;Ehambe,Josh), PENALTY TTU holding (Bruffy, Travis) 10 yards to the TTU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+13
16.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 13 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+18
15.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 18 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
13.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Quan Shorts for 37 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
13.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
13.9%
Cole Moos punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
12.9%
Justin Stockton run for no gain to the TexTc 14Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-10
12.9%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Josh Ehambe for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 4Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 20
OWN 4
+19
13.1%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Quan Shorts for 19 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
13.1%
Dominic Panazzolo puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:5314% → 17%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
13.8%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
13.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+2
13.6%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
13.8%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Khalil HerbertSimilar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
13.7%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
16.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 18 yds for a TD, (Gabriel Rui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:1484% → 84%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
15.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for no gain to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-7
15.8%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 9
0
16.1%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 9
0
16.2%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
16.8%
Peyton Bender pass intercepted Dakota Allen return for 26 yds to the Kans 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:3885% → 90%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
14.9%
Desmond Nisby run for 8 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+5
14.9%
Desmond Nisby run for 5 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
10.3%
Desmond Nisby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
11.9%
Carter Stanley run for 14 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
12.3%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
12.4%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben Johnson, broken up by Jah'Shawn JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
12.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Justus ParkerSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
12.1%
Cole Moos punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
10.4%
Tre King run for 8 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
10.2%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
10.2%
Nic Shimonek sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+3
10.3%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
10.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
10.7%
Dominic Panazzolo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
11.1%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ryan Schadler for 7 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
11.2%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-10
11.1%
Stanley,Carter rush for 5 yards to the KU27 (Allen, Dakota), PENALTY KU holding (Adeniji,Hakeem) 10 yards to the KU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
11.0%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah Booker, broken up by Jah'Shawn JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 13
OWN 12
+7
11.0%
Cole Moos punt for 48 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 7 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:2591% → 92%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
9.0%
Justin Stockton run for 23 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
8.8%
Nic Shimonek run for 3 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+2
8.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Mason Reed for 2 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+8
8.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 8 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
8.6%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
8.6%
Justin Stockton run for 7 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
8.9%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
8.6%
Desmond Nisby run for 5 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.6%
Desmond Nisby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
5.3%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Khalil Herbert) to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
5.6%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.0%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Taylor Martin for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+26
4.9%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Ben Johnson for 26 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
5.7%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Taylor Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
5.4%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
5.6%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Ben Johnson, broken up by Eli HowardSimilar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
5.5%
Cole Moos punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexTc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
8.7%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Cameron Batson for 5 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+4
8.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 4 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+2
8.5%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
8.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Quan Shorts for 5 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+8
8.6%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 8 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.6%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
8.5%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Keke Coutee, broken up by Joe Dineen Jr.Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
9.1%
Nic Shimonek pass intercepted Mike Lee return for 2 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:313% → 2%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+41
3.2%
Peyton Bender pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 41 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
3.5%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.5%
Peyton Bender pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.5%
Peyton Bender pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
1.9%
Gabriel Rui 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
3.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 3:533% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
2.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 9 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+8
3.0%
Steven Sims Jr. run for 8 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
3.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 11 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
3.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Chase Harrell, broken up by Damarcus FieldsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
3.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 9 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
3.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
3.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+2
3.3%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
1.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Quan Hampton, broken up by Kolin HillSimilar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
8.2%
Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2995% → 95%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
5.0%
Tre King run for 8 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
4.8%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
5.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 12 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
4.8%
Justin Stockton run for no gain to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
5.0%
Tre King run for no gain to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
5.0%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
4.7%
Michael Barden 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:395% → 13%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
4.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 8 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+7
4.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+45
4.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 45 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
5.6%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the TexTc 13Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
5.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Evan Fairs, broken up by Octavious MorganSimilar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+11
5.3%
Stanley,Carter pass incomplete to Booker,J., PENALTY TTU pass interference (Morgan, O.) 11 yards to the TTU2, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
5.8%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.9%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+55
9.0%
Justin Stockton run for 55 yds to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
8.4%
Desmond Nisby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
8.4%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the Kans 6 Justin Stockton fumbled, forced by Dorance Armstrong Jr., recovered by Kans Dorance Armstrong Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3310% → 3%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
10.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 10 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+20
3.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 4 yds for a TD Chase Harrell fumbled, forced by Justus Parker, recovered by TexTc Justus Parker , return for 20 yds, (Michael Barden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25INT
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
3.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 39 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
3.7%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
3.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
3.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Johnson for 7 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+6
3.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 6 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+25
3.9%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Justus Parker return for 25 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:2098% → 99%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
2.0%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Justin Stockton for 20 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
0.8%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 40 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cluck PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.8%
Taylor Martin run for 10 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
0.8%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
0.8%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-7
0.7%
Carter Stanley sacked by Kolin Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
0.7%
Cole Moos punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.5%
Desmond Nisby run for 4 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
0.5%
Desmond Nisby run for no gain to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+36
0.5%
Justin Stockton run for 36 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
0.5%
Justin Stockton run for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
0.3%
Desmond Nisby run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cluck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
0.2%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+7
0.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-6
0.2%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 22 Carter Stanley fumbled, forced by Eli Howard, recovered by TexTc Riko JeffersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30FG
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
0.3%
McLane Carter run for 12 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
0.3%
Tre King run for 2 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
0.3%
McLane Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.3%
McLane Carter run for no gain to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
0.2%
Matthew Cluck 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
0.1%
Stanley,Carter pass complete to Johnson,Kerr for 9 yards to the KU49 (Parker, Justus), PENALTY KU ineligible downfield on pass (Tovi,Andru) 5 yards to the KU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Cole Moos punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 32TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.2%
Demarcus Felton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
0.2%
McLane Carter run for 3 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
0.2%
McLane Carter pass complete to Antoine Wesley for 6 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
0.2%
McLane Carter pass complete to JoJo Robinson for 19 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
0.2%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
0.2%
Tre King run for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+32
0.1%
McLane Carter pass complete to Derrick Willies for 32 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cluck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 33PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Deron Thompson run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Deron Thompson run for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kerr Johnson Jr., broken up by D.J. Polite-BraySimilar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Cole Moos punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 34END OF GAME
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
0.1%
Demarcus Felton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
0.1%
Demarcus Felton run for 14 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
0.1%
Demarcus Felton run for 13 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 15
OPP 32
-5
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:49
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+7.1
FUMBLE · Q3 3:44
Carter Stanley pass complete to Chase Harrell for 4 yds for a TD Chase Harrell fumbled, forced by Justus Parker, recovered by TexTc Justus Parker , return for 20 yds, (Michael Barden KICK)
-6.8
FG · Q3 11:07
Gabriel Rui 41 yd FG GOOD
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com